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BITCOIN: NEXT TARGET!!!!! (will happen fast) Transcript, AI Summary & Key Points

Ivan on Tech · 9 days ago · Entertainment · 54:07 · EN

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Answer

Bitcoin's next target is 100K, and it could happen quite fast, although Bitcoin could first retrace to 82K and still remain bullish.

AI Summary

Bitcoin is at 85K after reaching 87K, and a weekly higher high above the prior 82K high would confirm a bullish structure. The next major target is 100K, potentially after a pullback to 82K to retest the breakout. The trading approach emphasizes following trend signals and mechanical rules rather than relying on Bitcoin's four-year cycle, accepting probabilistic outcomes, limiting downside with stop-losses, and adapting in real time. Bullish trend conditions are also discussed across crypto assets, US stocks, and selected projects, while Cardano receives a strongly negative assessment because of low DeFi activity, limited liquidity, weak fees, and poor execution.

Key Points

  • Bitcoin is at 85K after pumping to 87K, and it has formed a higher high for the first time since Q4; a weekly close above the 82K May high would confirm the bullish structure.
  • Bitcoin could retrace to 82K to test the breakout and remain bullish before moving toward the 100K target.
  • Benjamin Cohen said he was wrong about the market outlook; market outcomes cannot be known with certainty, so trades should be managed through probabilities and risk controls.
  • Bullmania's mechanical rules are intended to limit downside through exits while allowing profitable positions to ride the trend.
  • Trend following is favored over Bitcoin's four-year cycle because the trend signal in early September was out of sync with the cycle and trend following can apply across different assets.
  • Trend following has been used for over 100 years and is discussed through the book "Big Profits" as a rule-based approach with extensive historical study.
  • Fidelity indicated that Bitcoin might be entering a new bull market, while the analysis argues that a weekly close above 82K would make that bullish interpretation especially likely.
  • Fidelity's Bitcoin-gold relative-performance figure turned positive after reaching minus 100%, and Bitcoin was outperforming gold.

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00:00 for clicking the button as soon as possible. Oh yes. Oh yes. Oh yes. Guys, welcome to another episode. Then as you can see right now, Bitcoin is at 85K. Yesterday when we spoke about Bitcoin, it was somewhere here 83 80 81. Now it pumped all the way to 87 yesterday and now it is back at 85. This is very very important guys. As you can see, we did a new high right here which is higher than this high.

00:27 This is the key most important thing from technical analysis that Bitcoin goes from making lower and lower highs. For example, here you had high right here in October, then lower high in January, then lower high in uh May, June here, late May. Then we now for the first time since since Q4 have a higher high. Of course the week still has to close but with this kind of strength as long as we close above this 82 uh high in from May I think we have confirmed the bullish structure guys very important and also we are in bull

01:07 trend already since beginning of September right here we have been accumulating in the buy zone below 200 moving average once it fle bullish we turned into bullars even more even more so so it is time to be bullish bullish bullish bullish And Bitcoin could even uh track back all the way here to uh 82 and still be super bullish. The fact that we went to 87 is insane.

01:30 Literally insane. If we go back to 82, it wouldn't surprise me. It would just be a test of the breakout. Okay? It would just be a test of the breakout. So, uh could definitely happen and would still be very very bullish. Just keep it in mind that it's not like you have to continue forever. You could come back, retest 82 and then explode to 100K. But all in all the next target for us as you know it is 100k.

01:54 100k is the next big fat target. It is the round number. It's going to happen quite fast. I think most people don't understand how fast it's going to happen because once the former kicks once the bears start giving up. By the way, Benjamin Cohen almost cried yesterday. I don't know what happened. Big shout out to Benjamin Cohen. He basically almost cried yesterday because yeah, he said he was wrong.

02:15 Let's uh let's look at this >> through the May high. Um, this is not what I had on my bingo card for this year. And so I just wanted to say I was wrong and leave it at that. Uh, there are other people that were right and I think they probably deserve your viewership more uh, right now than me. So, we're going to wrap it up there. Um >> my it was only like two three minute video and I I mean he almost cried.

02:49 Big shout out to Ben. Big I mean Ben is a great guy but at the same time why corner yourself so much. I mean no one knows what's going to happen in the market. I actually tweeted about it. Like there's no need to make it so dramatic. I mean no one knows what's going to happen in the market. No there's you know by saying I was wrong. Why? Why you wrong?

03:07 Why you? I mean you don't have to be wrong. Just manage risk. No one knows what's going to happen. I mean on this channel I'm very humble. I'm telling you, I don't know what's going to happen just based on probabilities. We're so freaking good at playing the market. But, you know, it's not like I can ever be wrong because we have risk management. You know, we're ready for everything.

03:23 And that's how you trade the markets. There is no such thing as know right or wrong. It's more or less you have probabilities, you position yourselves using mechanical rules to those probabilities. And then sometimes, even if you have the best probability, it can still go against you. It doesn't mean that you're wrong. It's just how trading works. There's no way to know the future.

03:41 And no one knows the future guys. You can only learn strategies how to play your cards in the best possible way. I don't think in terms of oh right or wrong. It doesn't work like that in the markets. It doesn't I mean I wish it worked like that in the markets that you could be you know 100% right. But by the way we have been so freaking right. We're almost there.

04:02 But I'm humble enough to say that we have a very nice system with mechanical rules that allows us to maximize that that probability. But uh I think Ben is a bit too harsh on himself. I mean no need to be harsh on yourself. No one knows the future. There's no way to you know say 100% corre and is 100% correct. It's all about managing risk. And that's by the way one of the first things people say when they enter Bullmania.

04:26 They tell me Ivan it's such a relief. I don't have to be right. I don't have to try to be right. I just have a system that puts me in the best possible position with mechanical rules on all trades. Even if they go against me, I have limited downside and unlimited upside because if it go if it goes up, we ride the trend. If it goes down, boop, limited downside.

04:45 We're out. We're out. Okay. And they say, "Wow, it's so nice to finally not have to be right or wrong. We just deploy the mechanical rules and they work so nicely, man. They work so so so nice." So, all of you who are watching, you need the mechanical rules otherwise you're going to round trip. You're going to get wrecked. I mean, you know the drill.

05:02 You've done it already five times in five cycles. Go to bullmania.com. We are opening up a few spots per day. Go to booming.com. You can watch the free training and then most importantly sign up for the weight list because once Bitcoin hits 100K, guys, we are increasing prices like there's no tomorrow in Bulmania because the demand is crazy. We offer insanely good quality coaching with 101 ones, educational material.

05:28 You get access to my trading secrets. You get access to the mainline minus scanner, boom, AI, everything. Everything everything. Like this is such a nice tool that we only open a bit at a time. A bit at a time. And when Bitcoin goes through specific targets like 100K, we have to we have to take the price to Valhalla just like Bitcoin goes to Valhalla.

05:44 The same is with Bullmania. Very important. But big shout out to Ben. I mean Ben is a great guy. I love Ben. I love Ben. I think he's a bit too harsh on himself. And uh there's I mean no one is there's no way to be right. I don't think about right or it's quantum physics. Do you guys know quantum physics? Are you educating quantum physics? It's all probability you know and atom is here and is there you know don't worry too much about comparing what Bitcoin did you know October 5 years ago or now just follow the damn

06:15 trend that's the most bullet bulletproof thing and that's that's the key to success in this market I mean at the end of the day the scoreboard is the P&L the scoreboard is how much money you make the scoreboard is how much you take home okay look at looking at you know previous cycle what happened in this November that November. I think it's interesting also I mean sometimes the it it does work like for example in October when we went to riskov based on the money line it it coincided with the 4 cycle but for example

06:42 buying in July uh we bought it based on the mechanical rules with the 200 week moving average and then also now we go bull trend which happened at the beginning of September that was completely out of sync with four year cycle and it was way better than the four year cycle. So, we're not four-year cyclists. In fact, we said that we're outperforming and we're absolutely killing the four-year cycle performance because it's way better to follow the trend.

07:04 Uh, the trend works in any asset. It works in, you know, here are we the four-year cyclist, they're cycling, they're doing to tour the France. Uh, you see, we are outperforming the four year cycle cyclists over and over again because we use the mechanical rules. We respect the trend. Sometimes for cycle will overlap like sometimes they did that like for example in October.

07:24 There is something in the for cycle for sure but it's not the main thing because also it doesn't work on all assets. I mean with mechanical rules we can be cycle you know we can we can use it in any asset in stock everywhere ever for your cycle you're only in bitcoin and maybe it works and in most cases you are just uh you know you have like three data points four data points and anyone who's been educated at a higher in higher education like yours truly computer masters in computer science you know that you cannot

07:53 have a you cannot draw conclusions from a small data set you cannot draw conclusions from a small data set sometimes it may look like it's overlapping this and that. But you know how many cycles we had like three or four. So you cannot draw conclusions and put your net worth in that. Instead the trends you can the trends are a proven by hundreds of years of performance.

08:12 Actually write it here in my book the big big profits that trend trading is has been around for over a hundred years and it has a hundred years of proof. Okay this is very important that this is not a century of proof. You see here, you see in my book, see, have you, have you read big profits? Because it's very important, essential of proof. So, before we get into specifics, I need you to understand something fundamental.

08:36 This isn't some fringe idea I invented in my bedroom. I mean, trend following is not something that, you know, I I just invent from thin air. Rule-based trend following trading is one of the most extensively studied and validated approaches in the history of financial markets. And the evidence is overwhelming. And then I I educate you for a long time in the book about it.

08:53 Anyway guys, I think you understand. Go to bullmia.com. Uh, join the wait list. When Bitcoin hits 100K, we increase the price. As soon as you join the weight list, you confirm your email in the wait list. And as soon as you get the the spot in Bulmania, book the call with our team. We need to speak to you. We need to know who the hell you are. We don't let anyone in.

09:10 We don't we need to speak who who you are. We need to understand what you you have been through in the market so we know that our thing will work for you because your success is our reputation. Okay? We only accept you if we think we're gonna help you and if you are serious, you are open with us about how you trade, we we will definitely help you. So guys, do that.

09:28 Big shout out to who? To Guzman also. Big shout to Guzman. Look here. Uh 8 trillion Fidelity just said Bitcoin might be entering a new bull market. Well, I can tell you it it's not might. It's not might. It is entering guys. It is entering you. It's absolutely I think at this point especially if we close the week above 82 it will create that very fantastic high higher high fantastic yeah I think it's very like extremely extremely likely Fidelity says Zcore for Bitcoin gold fle positive after hitting minus 100% so now

09:59 Bitcoin is outperforming gold very nice America's number one RIA Rick Edelman Rick Edelman to speak at Bitcoin Treasury conference very very good Bitcoin makes the first higher high just like we said. Very, very good. Bullish analyst GE van Lagen says Bitcoin has broken its one-year downtrend. Yeah, basically what we said with when you create a higher high.

10:22 Fantastic. The Michael Sailor is buying 950 Bitcoin and repurchasing 174 million of Stretch. Uh bullishness is back to to Micro Strategy and to Stretch. Uh last three months, Micro Strategy has grown quite a lot. Very important. You see here the markup increases. It is now in bull trend. It's now in bull trend since some weeks ago. Let's check check here.

10:44 When you go into bull trend, you're bullish. Uh it went bull trend here at the beginning of um of uh September and it's up 22% since then. Since the bull trend. Very nice. Next, uh crypto is surging just days after Clarity Act failed. You remember we discussed that if Clarity Act fails, don't worry. Bad news doesn't matter at the end of the bare market.

11:08 It does not matter. Bad news only matters uh at the beginning of the bear uh and uh we're at the end. So yeah, at the end bad news is actually bullish because the market sees that uh nothing dumps and that's bullish when the market sees that nothing dumps and everyone understands that the sellers are exhausted. Uh thing of beauty bitcoin was so bullish did not even retest 200 day EMA let alone the short-term cost basis.

11:31 Yeah, just up and up and up and up and up. Now also looking at the stock market, you see here US stocks posted their strongest session since early August. S&P, NASDAQ all up a lot. Uh led by tech, Meta, AMD, uh and also oil dropping a bit. If we look at the stock market here, we look at S&P um uh yeah, basically going to new new highs. Basically going to new highs.

11:56 Uh that's why don't worry about oil this and that. People worried about oil, Iran. As long as the asset is in bull trend, you're bullish. No matter Iran, no matter the oil, no matter anything, if it's bullish, it's bullish. NASDAQ also wants to go to alltime high. Isn't it crazy? I mean, Trump Trump is here to pump the markets. As long as Trump is in power, the markets are going to be pumping that.

12:17 They will be pumped. Okay? It's a fantastic performance in the first term of Trump and second, I mean, the market is his specialtity. His is his specialtity. He is pumping them in a very nice way. Oil, not oil. Iran, not Iran. You see that? Still it's up. Even even though oil, not oil, still it's up. Still it's up. So yeah, great to see. And uh we keep it simple.

12:39 You see, we're we're humble. This this is an example of humbleness. Instead of trying to see with the oil, what's happening with the oil? We're just humble. We're just bullish because it's bull trend. We're simple people. We're simple dudes. We see the bull trend. We're bullish. We're not over complicating. We're not envisioning ourselves to be some kind of market messiah or whatever with oil that you can somehow connect the macro.

13:02 Uh you cannot connect the macro. Instead, just be humble. Take it easy. When you see bull trend, you become very bullish and uh you you take risk. Okay? When you see bull trend, you take risk. It's actually super simple. But simple does not mean easy. Just like losing weight, it's super simple. You just eat less than you cons than you consume in calorie.

13:25 Your body consumes in calories. It's it's simple but it's not easy. Okay. Some some things are simple but not easy. So that's why in boom may really teach you all of it properly. Uh but uh yeah I know for most people even when I say easy things simple things for them it's not easy. So yeah uh it t it takes it takes effort. I mean everything takes effort to learn.

13:44 Strategy is back in the spotlight. It's up and uh yeah very good. CFTC submitted new crypto market rules to the white house. So, uh, Clary act does not even matter now because CFTC is doing their own rules. Um, and also X has launched the ticker trading. So, if you use X in the near future, maybe already today, does it work already today? Let me let me check.

14:11 They added now that you can connect your Kraken your exchanges and you can trade from the timeline basically. So X is uh moving that feature and uh yeah it's perfect feature because for them they have all the traders trading is the number one use case of X discussions like trading and politics. That's what people use X for in order to discuss. Now uh in terms of the market let's see the biggest pumpers over the last 24 hours.

14:36 We obviously have Bitcoin plus 5%, ETH plus uh 3%. Uh BNB 2%, AXRP 7.5%, Solana 4.9. Let's look at the biggest ones in the top 100. You have Akido up 45%. Okay, Aikido. Let's check this one. It is uh yeah, straight up. Let's see liquidity. Let's see liquidity. Very low liquidity, but it is on Kraken. It is on Kraken. So yeah, you could deploy mechanical rules in that.

15:07 Uh you have uh PEPA uh up 24%. Let's check PEPA. Let's check Pepa. Peppa USD. What's happening with Pepa is going bull trend. And if it closes the week, we have a weekly bull trend confirmed. Very, very nice. On the daily, it is already bullish here since late August. So it's up 23% on the daily since the bull flip. And on the weekly, it's going to bullish.

15:32 Yeah, basically now. And you know with a lot of these things now in the early days of the bull market people are asking am I too late Ivan am I too late like with Peppa here am I too late am I too late guys it's impossible to be uh too late uh in in current situation where we're just in the beginning it's it's impossible you should still manage risk you should still follow mechanical rules but in general this is not the place to ask if you're too late it's another one of the simple simple things the the place to ask if

15:58 you're too late it was last October okay that that was the place to ask when you're too late. When Bitcoin already did all of the alltime highs and we had all of the all dog with hat went to five billion that that was the place to ask if you're too late. Now we had a year of down. It's only now that we're going to new bull weekly trends. Now is not the place to ask if you're too late.

16:19 Obviously, it's better if you have the money line so you can buy when daily flips bullish. That's the best. But overall, it's not it's not the time. It's not the place to ask if you're too late. Bit tensor. Oh, look here. Bit tensor is up today also. Let's check to Tao USD bit tensor up and see it's recovering back into the flip level very very strong.

16:40 Uh yeah if it if it can close here the week above the flip level which was right here back in March. Uh could go very high. It could go here towards the 480 mark quite fast. The next the next high right here. So all in all, this one is potentially now for the first time ever creating a higher high instead of just, you know, high and lower high and lower high.

17:05 Now this would be a higher high. So that that that that would be quite monumental for for Bit Tensor. So keep an eye on it. Uh let's see. Hideera 11%. Yeah. And then some small pumps. But all in all, the market is coming back. The market is just in the beginning. Will there be pullbacks? There will be pullback. Overall, if you look in the coming let's say two three years, how how are you too late in the in the coming two three years?

17:29 Uh the bull market is is just the beginning. Okay, it's just the beginning. And let's let's see last time how many weeks it lasted uh for Bitcoin just to get some idea, you know, whether you're too late, whether you're not too late. Oh my god, am I too late? I want am I listen how you're too late? Uh if we measure here the last bull market, we start from here until the real bare trend in on the weekly.

17:55 It was 147 weeks. 147 weeks. Okay. Um now we are how many weeks we are from this bull? We are in like week three. Okay. So, you have basically 144 left. If it will be like last time, I obviously we don't know what's going to happen. No, no one knows for sure. You see, we're not four year cyclists. We're not for your cyclist. We're going to be adapting in real time.

18:32 Uh and this is the problem with four year cyclists because they would just be say telling you, yeah, it's like 144, but who the hell knows what's going to happen? We're going to be adapting in real time based on trends. And uh that's why we're outperforming the four-year cyclers both when it comes to becoming bullish fast enough but also becoming bearish fast enough because in this situation it the the miss with the for cycle was that they did not become bullish fast enough but next time it could be that they they will

19:03 not become bearish fast enough. I mean you have to understand that at the end of the day with so few with so few data points in the four year cycle we literally have just you know three four data points in the four year cycle you cannot make any conclusion all of the coincidences can be broken at any time and so that's why trend following is the no-brainer that works no matter what sometimes it overlaps with the for cycle some someone is some sometimes it doesn't but when it doesn't those that are trend followers they

19:30 make money they're good and for cyclists they then have to cry that they were wrong. Big shout out to Ben. Big shout out to Ben. I don't think that Ben was wrong. I mean, it's markets. You cannot be wrong. You can just manage risk. Like I I I disagree with the whole framing of this video. I was wrong. How you were not wrong. You You just needed to manage the risk, the downside risk.

19:50 If I mean, again, are you wrong? Just think about it. No one knows the f we're on the same page. No one knows the future. No one knows the future what's going to happen. If someone claims that they know the future, they're a scammer, a fraud, and forgi. No one knows what's going to happen in the future. So let's say so if you don't know the future, you can only work with probabilities.

20:08 So let's say you had a probability 90% of one outcome and you bet your money there and then 10% of another outcome. What does it mean? It means that those 10% they can still happen. They're unlikely. Betting on them will would not make sense from a risk perspective, but it can still happen. If you made the correct bet on the 90%, but then still the other less likely outcome happened, were you wrong?

20:33 You're only wrong if you don't manage risk. If you went all in, you leveraged, you got wrecked, liquidated. Okay, then you're wrong. Don't do that. That's why we have mechanical rules. You have stop-loss. Never enter anything without stop-loss. In Bulmania, mechanical rules are the first thing we teach. How to enter, how to exit. Before you enter, you should already know when to exit, how to exit, whether you should ride the trend to Valhalla or you should take a bit of profit first or and then you ride only when the

21:05 and then you exit the rest only when B like there are many many scenarios but I I don't buy the premise I was wrong. I don't buy it because it's the markets. It's the markets. But if you think about you know right or wrong then you cannot be successful in the market to begin with. So yeah big shout out to Ben. He's a great guy, but I I get a bit concerned that that he's thinking in this right or wrong.

21:24 Why are you thinking in terms of right or wrong? Think in terms of I manage risk, I did not manage risk. Okay, that's how you think about it. And because also it's a bit bad for the overall, you know, crypto plebbe because crypto plebbe wants certainty. Crypto plebe wants uh you know the correct the correct crypto plebe who loses money every day. They want certainty.

21:45 They want you know tell me exactly exactly exactly what's going to happen so I can go all in. I can leverage. I can sell my house. That's what the crypto plebe wants. So when crypto plebbe sees, oh, I was wrong. Crypto plebe the retardio retardio crypto plebber thinks that it's possible to be 100% right. While my message to the crypto plebe is that listen, no one knows the future.

22:10 We can only bet on the highest possible uh probability outcome and we could and even if we do everything correct, the market may still go against us. We have risk management. You understand? Do you guys understand or I'm speaking to a wall here? Can can you please confirm that you understand it? Because I get so worked up and I get very passionate about this because the crypto plebe and guys to be fair many of you are crypto pleb but it's okay.

22:34 It's okay. Like I was also crypto pleb, you know, big shle. We love the pleb. But this is where I get so passionate because that's the thing that needs to click for you. It needs to click. If it doesn't click, you're gonna be thinking in terms of right or wrong, and that's when I know you're a pleb. I'm not saying that Ben is a pleb, but I get a bit concerned when he's thinking in terms of right or wrong.

22:56 I get a bit concerned when he's thinking. Big shout out to Ben. I love Ben. I mean, Ben is great. He's honest guy. You know, he was he saying, "I was wrong. I was wrong, guys. I was I mean I I like him from that, you know, honesty perspective. I just I I don't think that is the way to is the correct way to think, man. I I I would never think like that.

23:12 Oh, I was wrong. Yeah, I have risk management because if you are wrong, okay, the only way to be wrong is if you did not manage risk, you got liquidated, you multiplied yourself by zero, you multiplied your portfolio by zero. Okay, then you're wrong. Then you're wrong. You understand? Then it's wrong. Then it's wrong. Then it's wrong. If you manage risk and the market went against you, you're not wrong.

23:34 You're not wrong. If you took the uh highest possible um probability outcome and the market went against you, so your stop loss hit you're not wrong. I mean that's that what what else could you have done? You understand? Oh yeah. Guys, let's go to Q&A questions, answers, debates, discussions. If you don't understand what I said, go and rewatch the stream a million times.

23:59 Put yourself in a simulation to rewatch it because uh this is the key, guys. If you don't get it, I mean, no one can help you. No one can help you. You are doomed forever to be the plebe. The plebbe. And yeah, that's it. Let's see if we miss some some news. But yeah, uh the oil's coming down a bit. Uh what else? Um cryptos bullish many things flipping bullish on the daily.

24:20 By the way, on the two-day, on the daily, avax. Uh oh, let's let's check suy. Let's check suy. Someone said check sui. Check suy. Let's check suya. You know, in bull market, we're bullish. Suya. In the bull market, we're bullish, but not yet. We're still bearish, guys. We're still bearish. Sui has not gone bull trend yet. Okay. Uh once it goes bull trend, okay, Valhalla, Valhalla.

24:41 Now, don't touch it yet. We're not Maybe it gets rejected. I mean, these things uh I I need them to be bullish. I'm not touching until they're bullish. Then we become bullish. Okay. Then we ride it back from this flip level. Then you go back. Yeah, you go back back here like 100% to the to this resistance and to this high. It is like 400%. So, could be could could be interesting.

25:01 Once they go bullish, but before they go bullish, we don't touch. We don't touch. We don't touch. Uh yeah. So that's that. Uh let's see. What else? Let me just check the GME. GME GameStop. You can check GameStop apparently weekly flip. Uh let's see the angle breadth is real on the weekly across crypto US stocks and especially leverage crypto tech. So basically US stocks bullish, crypto bullish, fantastic.

25:30 Oil going down very good. uh CFTC is doing the rules now. SEC is doing the rules now. Clarity Act and Senate they're not doing any rules because they are bickering. It's you know this politicians politicians talking and talking and I don't know what they're doing. Nothing is happening. They're debating but SEC is taking action. CFTC is taking action and that's very very good.

25:53 Ship on tokenized assets. Let's see what he's saying. He's saying that tokenized assets are bearish for Bitcoin. No, it's not bearish for Bitcoin man. It's not bearish for Bitcoin, but okay. Uh, no, no need to comment. I mean, this guy, I don't even want to spend time. It's more like a fun thing to read what he says and just say that it's wrong. I mean, tokenized stocks is just talk.

26:12 It's stock. It's not Bitcoin. If you want, you want Bitcoin for different reasons, then you want tokenized stock. It's very different. So, uh, Europe, Rails, Chain Link, uh, I'm not buying any of this. The chain link, Ripple, and they need to go bull trend. If they're bull trend, we're bullish. Let me just double check link. It went to bull trend yet or not.

26:31 Oh, it went to Good, good, good, good. Yeah, that then is That is Good, good, good. Uh, yeah, memes this and that. Pepe is back. Bonk is bonk pumping. Bonk. Not pumping. Not pumping. Only Peppa pumping. Um, does that gaming all gaming is a scam? Like Kagi says, I asked Kagi, you know, the gaming YouTuber. Um, is gaming good now? He said, no, everything is a scam.

26:59 He said all of the gaming founders, they're just scamming. They're fleecing the audience. They're just scamming and scamming and scamming. And is Kagi in the chat now? Kagi Kagi, are you with us? Kagi even said that he considering he he considers becoming a scammer. He He's very disappointed in the gaming industry. He's very disappointed in the gaming industry.

27:23 Let's see here what he said. So basically guys, gaming is non-existent. Uh let me see where is he. Here here. G I'm really thinking about becoming a scar. It pays well in this industry and there are no consequences. Recently a founder told me, I don't agree with your tactics. And it got me thinking. So he collaborates with people who that blatantly scam their audience.

27:48 But my tactics, which uh is just basically speaking my mind straight up, is the problem. N man, this industry is good. Yeah. Yeah. Oh, yeah. Yeah. Um, let's see what else. Strong. He's He's chilling strong, guys. He's chilling strong. Uh, what else he did? What What's happening? What happened to Pangu? Alenu did not pump yet to the to the bull trend.

28:09 We checked it yesterday. Axi, is Axi doing something? Let's check. Axi, is it alive? Axi Infinity. But I think we should have new gaming. It should be like new gaming assets. Should we, you know, it should be like new gaming coins. This old dino coins. Yeah, maybe they're going to come back. Maybe not. But it would be fun with some new stuff. Now with AI, it's so easy to, you know, vibe code the game.

28:32 We should have like many of them. But yeah, let's see. All in all, guys, you have Suie coming back with volume spike XRP ledger batch payment upgrade. Are you guys using this XRP I've never seen anyone use it, but maybe it's maybe it's big. Are you guys using this XRP stuff? You're using it? I I have not used any XRP actually. Yeah, with XRP the only Okay, to be fair, sometimes we use it in Bulmania because sometimes people who join, they want to pay us with XRP.

29:03 They need a lot of help in their trading. They're like, "Holy shit." But sometimes they pay, okay, in XRP, but the No, no. So XRP actually, let me correct it. XRP in most case they're actually quite okay. The ones that need most help is those that pay with ADA. They ask me, Ivan, do you accept ADA? I'm like, what the hell? Where? Let me pull up some other.

29:24 Then I discovered the ADA wallet, like one of the main wallets. It got freaking hacked. Like, how how is it possible? I I was checking, this was uh maybe two months ago. I was checking like one of the our main wallets in ADA, like we have just one wallet for for ADA. And we had it in this like in this wallet that got hacked and it was like the biggest wallet on other how it got how it get hacked man.

29:53 So I had to switch to another one. Now Cardano guys uh it's very tragic very tragic what's happening on Cardano TVL alltime low. There was this girl let me see where she is now. Uh was his what's her name? Linda. Linda. Is that her name? Let's see. Linda. Where is she? She did she did a video on Cardano that it is Fenito basically guys. It's Fenito.

30:16 It's Fenito. It's Fenito. Uh let's see what she says here. But uh I think she was one of the biggest supporters of Cardano. I don't know if if she still is, but yeah, she went through here and said, "Oh my god." Yeah. She showed also that the protocols are making like $500 per day. You you could open a lemonade stand and make more money than Cardano Defi.

30:36 Look at this. Now the stable coin market cap also sits at only 65 million at the moment which is really tiny considering how big Kadano actually is. The DEX volume on Kadano is just over a million on Salana is almost 2 billion. So when we look at the actual DeFi deps on >> wait you're see this is this is the interesting thing where people put Cardano and Sana as peers.

31:04 Sometimes you hear you know you can buy Solana or other as if it's similar you know sometimes people say oh but you know it's like Coca-Cola Pepsi you have Solana you have other you know this and they're like the same but I mean you you you see the difference you see the difference you see the difference in in Dex volume Dex volume in uh in ADA uh I mean just see yourself >> and now they're sitting at just 1,000 times less >> Dex volume 24 hours is 1 million like you know man you can have a whale will do this volume

31:36 like just one person can do this volume on Salana. You know, you you do a few trades with 100K bum bum bum bum bum. Like it happens all the time. And man, come on, man. Charles and Charles said this is like that because he's honest and everyone else is scamming. Everyone else is scamming. Okay, but he's honest. That's why everything is because he's honest.

31:59 He's doing fair work. You know, you know, it's not much, but it's fair work. You say it's honest work and everyone else is scamming. >> Yes s. So the general metrics for Kadano don't look too good right now. The stable coin market cap also sits at only 65 million at the moment which is really tiny considering how big Kadano actually is. The DEX volume on Kadano is just over a million.

32:23 On Salana is almost 2 billion. So when we look at the actual D5 deps on Kadano, Defi Llama actually lists about 63 protocols. Some of them have already shut down like um Deltafi, Yam4a, JPEG store and so on. But we can see that only >> guys the biggest decks on Cardano makes $3,000 in 24-hour fees. You can literally again you can make like um drop shipping.

32:57 You can be a drop shipping scammer. You can make more money man. What's happening? What's happening? What after all the it's one of the oldest projects also you know Cardano is not new. It's not new. It's one of the oldest projects. How can be so so little man? How how how it's such horrible execution. you know the I don't know how you say in English but in Russian you say that your arms are growing from your ass like you know it's when you cannot execute properly you know even if you have good idea your arms are

33:29 growing from your ass so you know you can do nothing can do your disgrace you understand that's the problem yes you can there it's one thing to speak about smart things and and and the yap but as a okay see we're doing the show here If you are content creator, you yap. If you're a founder, you I think Charles is confusing a bit. Is he content creator or a founder?

33:55 Because the founder should not yap too much. Should freaking build. Freaking build. You invest in a coin. Founder don't don't do yapping. Leave the yapping to the professionals. like yours really. But no, he's going to do sixh hour trilogy uh content series about why they're moving to Discord from Twitter. Come on, man. You have the fe. You look at this.

34:22 They the they the Dexas, they make no money. Nothing is happening on your chain. about one, two, three, four, five, six of them even generated any fees and revenue in the last 24 hours. And a lot of it is actually really negligible when you look at it. So I would say we're only really looking at min swap liquid and strike maybe Sunday swap and wing riders as well.

34:48 So we've only got one DEX, one lending platform and one perpetuals platform that sees some activity. >> But look at the TVL, man. TVL 14 million meaning and that's the whole liquidity across all the pairs 14 million that's liquidity across all pairs man you have uh freaking memecoin on salana having 100 times more than that okay you understand guys what's happening your cardia you you kardaniacs what are you doing what are you doing what are the hell you doing nothing exactly >> of kadano looks pretty bleak now also

35:26 just keep in mind that to take these numbers with a grain of salt because there's still some activity. >> Anyway, so what's the conclusion from Linda here? >> Fundamentally don't care about DeFi that leaves a genuinely small slice of existing ADA holders who are actually a realistic target market. So the point I'm trying to make here is that the actual addressable market from Kadano's own existing base is tiny.

35:52 >> Yeah. And also like a problem is that Charles is not really jelling with anyone in terms of um collaboration. He he doesn't collaborate too much, you know, and he says, "Oh, is we're so decentralized, so we we don't talk to anyone, you know, like there's no USDC, you know, there's no jelling. There's no jelling." And yes, you can have that view that you're so decentralized, you're so holy, everyone else is a scammer because they work with USDC.

36:16 But you see the result, man. You see the total addressable market is so small because there is no one there. There's no institution. There's no big liquidity providers. No one cares about it. You can argue that your plebs should be making up all the volume and activity, but you see the result. You see the result. Anyway, that's that. Uh big shout out.

36:35 Maybe it's going to change. I mean, listen, we're fair, guys. We are strict, but we're fair. We're fair. Should the numbers change, man, I'm we're going to be loving Ada. We're I have nothing against Ada. I have something against incompetence and bad execution. I have a lot against that. I have a lot against that. I have no tolerance for that. Uh and also one of the things that you need to keep an eye on is of course the price trend.

36:58 Should the price flip bullish here, it's very very close. All of this tech stuff doesn't even matter. Then we just write the pump and dump this bull market. Exit as soon as it goes by trend again. All of the other holders, they're begging for a recovery. But you can literally enter here the the new bull trend. You can ride it even to this resistance.

37:17 It's already 100%. And then you dump back on the ass. You know, the hard holders, the hope for high, you just dump back on the ass. Get the 100% gain and bam, dump it back. Or if it breaks above, okay, go here and then dump it back there. Okay, big shout out to other holders if you're here with us. Fantastic, fantastic, fantastic. I mean, I love you guys.

37:36 I love you guys. We love other holders. Other holders, we love you. We love you. But see, this is the problem with hodddle. I I hate the hodddle. When people say hodddle, hodddle, hodddle, I hate it because here's what h what's happening. You hold all the way down. But the problem is when you recover, you have new traders like us jumping in and then dumping on your ass because we have a big profit already even before you you hit your break even.

37:58 Okay? So it becomes just harder. But listen, new bull trend is new bull trend. New bull trend is new bull trend. So yeah, there you go. Snake, guys, what's doing what's happening? Snake, are you guys alive? What's happening? Snake is spamming. Snake is always spamming me on Twitter and everywhere. Uh let me see the Cardano memecoin, you know. Can it come back?

38:20 Guys, if you believe in the crazy recovery of Cardano, uh yeah, it's uh but you see you see why it's so low liquidity, volume, pathetic, everything is but yeah, illquid as hell. Ilquid as hell. But should Cardano, should Cardano get back, I guess this is going to do, this is gonna do. Okay. Okay. Snake guys, man. Snake guys. I I think guys, this snack is like the only community that is doing something for Cardano.

38:49 That's the only thing that's working for them is the snack. Everything else is for guys. Everything else is I don't know what they're not executing. They're not working. They're sleeping. They're lazy as hell. I don't see them anywhere. Snake guys is the only guys I see spamming and like promoting and and with good vibes. With good vibes. Most importantly, good vibes.

39:07 Snack always good vibe. I've never seen anyone from Snake come and complain and say, "Oh, Ivan, why you don't cover? Are you trying to uh unfairly censor Snake?" I've never had anything like that because there there's another community which is a bit retardio that says it all the time. Snake never had any bad vibes. So, yeah, let's see if if if anyone can save Cardano is probably Snake.

39:28 Charles will not save it. Charles is he's not he's not going to save it. But, um let's see, guys. New bull trend LFG. LG. So it's because they want to pump. Yeah, I mean everyone wants to pump their assets obviously. Obviously, but there are different strategies. Some people they want to pump their asset and they become angry like Ivan, why are you not covering us?

39:52 We deserve to be covered. No one cares about your your crapcoin, your crapcoin, your crap community. No one cares about it. Okay, that's my answer. When someone is is demanding demanding you demand from from me anything I tell you you are a crap coin with a crap community no one gives a hell you know flying duck about your crap community you're pumping dump okay your illquid pumping dam no one gives a crap with so that's one strategy that they can use in order to try to promote and another strategy is good vibe good

40:20 vibe good vibe sharing streams in their community giving me viewers you give me viewer okay the different equation Give me more viewer. Share. Tell viewer to get into the newsletter. Okay. Get your community in. Okay. Every day you post my stream there. Tag everyone. Tell tell everyone go watch. Go. Go. See that? Okay. That is different. That is different.

40:52 So Q&A. Where were we? We started the Q&A or not? I don't remember. You guys ask some question which Dex on soul is best one to use nowadays. So Jupiter just use Jupiter. Jupiter is the aggregator. Just use Jupiter. That's it. That's it. Uh in terms of exposure um you you can buy Jupiter coin or you can buy also radium. Radium is a bit cheaper. Actually pumps are faster nowadays.

41:17 Radium. Radium versus Jupiter. If it's interesting let's check radium versus Jupiter. just if you compare them uh radium now is leading. This is a chart of radium divided by Jupiter uh just you know the price ratio and uh I mean for now at least uh radium is in a bull trend versus Jupiter. So in terms of allocation radium is a bit better now because it is in bull trend versus Jupiter.

41:42 Uh and uh that's the actual deck. So I wouldn't use radium directly because you can use Jupiter. It's going to route you better. But underneath Jupiter is radium. Okay. Do you know near well? I wouldn't say I know it well except that it's bull trend and it's pumping and outside outside of their confidential transactions and the privacy use case. But everything else not really because they change so much.

42:12 I mean near now it's not the same like idea or concept. you know they try to find product market fit. What they found nicely is this uh privacy aspect. So that I'm uh that I know uh I know the price I mean I mainly care about the price trend uh not tech for guys that much but then also what do they do in AI now that you ask about near how is near connected to AI?

42:34 Let me ask Bulman AI this because I near is classified in our Bulman AI system as AI also. So let me just clarify on the on the AI but I I mean everything else with this near that you know you have I we spoke with the founder long time ago maybe 2022 and he explained how you know near can like control accounts across different chains like at that point it did not make any sense.

43:01 Now they found a use case for it which is the privacy. So that's good. I mean that's actual use case. You can take things cross crosschain in a private way. That's that's good use case. Uh and now maybe they also do something with AI. So basically you know near is an example where they they hustle they try to find product market fit in uh real time and they quite successfully by the way and there's nothing wrong with that because that's the nature of startup and business.

43:27 you try to figure out your freaking product market fit. Most startups don't have it. So let's see here with AI. So near protocol AI how they're connect has moved well past the old fast sharded L1 story is now explicitly building the infrastructure for AI agents. Look here private inference verifiable execution and the ability for those agents to hold.

43:52 Guys, c can can we just pause for a moment and give a big fat shout out to Bullmania AI? I mean, I love it so much. Look, all of the cards, all of the cards, the freaking influencers, guys, if you are in Bulmania, use the Bulmania AI. Use it, use it, use it. I now added it to our education to uh when you enter Ivan Trading Secret course, I think Ivan's trading secrets in the first uh uh section there is Bulman AI, guys.

44:19 Use use Bulman AI. usable. So in traditional crypto smart contract is the program near framing a agent is the program. Okay. The model does the thinking. The blockchain enforces the limits. Okay. Okay. Okay. Interesting. Near AI cloud models runs inside. Okay. That's interesting. That's interesting. Letting an agent ask for you only works if you check what it did.

44:40 Near a cloud runs every request inside a hardware seal. Okay. Okay. There we go. There you go. So yeah, I guess it's both good. See, you always need to focus. I mean the simplest idea to execute well you need focus. So when they do both privacy stuff and like AI stuff maybe they can do it. Listen if you have good enough founder maybe he can execute on it but it's just harder.

45:05 But this is good. It's good that they have AI narrative. Everything is pumping in AI. Near is also now bullsh. So I'm super bullish near let me be clear. just you know having built stuff knowing the challenges of building like things that uh that that are a bit different like privacy and AI it's a bit different like to to have the best privacy tech and AI let's see if they can do it but it the narrative is good I mean it's needed it's it's perfectly needed and also looking back at Cardano you see they cannot even focus

45:35 on getting freaking dexes to work you know just the simplest thing that seem easy okay we do a chain we have a DEX it seems Easy, like a no-brainer. We do a chain. We do a deck. You see with ADA, they cannot even get the freaking decks. They have TVL 13 million in the whole freaking decks in their biggest decks. 13 million. Like what? What's happening?

45:55 What's happening? Please focus, focus, focus on something. But anyway, so near is both privacy and AI and bull trend. And this far they have been executing well. I mean, their privacy is very well adopted. Voices are pairing AI agent layer with chain abstractions. Uh yeah. So all in all near is both privacy and AI narrative from and and most importantly bullshed from exchanges like XMR in the past because of being a privacy coin.

46:36 Uh, I don't think so because with Zcash it's not it can also be not private. So exchanges they they just use the public version of Zcash. So they found a way I mean it seems to me at least that they found a way where they can still trace the addresses. They know which address the transaction is coming from. So I guess that's the uh difference. Uh but this is the kind of stuff I want to ask Boomania AI because that's my you know off-the- cuff thought but let's let's actually see maybe there is more nuance here.

47:13 uh for example did does Mika for example does Mika allow it uh because it's it has a nonprivacy mode like you know the normal mode of Zcash is non-private uh then you can have confidential transactions but if you use an exchange likely it's going to be the non-confidential uh mode can go to $1,000 over the next three It's possible. It's possible. But you see, it's possible, but it can go bare trend before that and then we're bearish.

47:48 But it's definitely possible. I think it's going to go above 500 bucks this this cycle. But um it's one of these things that if if if it turns bare before that, we're going to be out before that. I mean, it's that simple. But yeah, in terms of how high it can go, it could go to 500, could go to one. I mean, the sky is the limit, man. When crypto pumps, it pumps.

48:06 when crypto pumps we just uh become very how say humble and we just are thankful for the pump whether it pumps to 500 or I mean it's one of these things I can tell you don't worry too much about that because no one knows and let's say it goes to 999 and you don't sell and it goes then back to 100 which can happen in the next bear you don't want to be in that position so avoid the round number trap I also write about it in my book big profit Um, oh, by the way guys, you should subscribe to the newsletter.

48:38 It's in the uh in the description, bullman.com/subscribe. I will be emailing you out a link uh later today to everyone on the newsletter to get Bullmania book with a big fat discount. Everyone's going to get in the newsletter a big fat discounted link. If there's anything you should read on the holiday or just before the bull market, you should read the big profits, the big fat juicy amazing profits.

49:08 You should read it. Okay, so go to newsletter link below. We're going to be sending it out to you. It's going to be great. You're going to love it. It's one just the book changes people's lives. I mean, sometimes people when they join Bulmania, they say, "Man, I read the book. Wow, I got goose goosebump." Because the first chapter here, you know, the first chapter we got people like, "Holy I got goose goosebumps because I I recognize myself in your story, Ivan."

49:30 They tell me, "Oo, yo, yo, guys. Uh, am I seeing is correct? Polka dot revenue is 25 in something like that." Yeah. Yeah. Poling pul It's a ghost chain. It's a ghost chain. No one using pol. Let's Let's check that. Let's check that as the final thing. Maybe Polot is going to be back, but yeah, it's uh not not really doing that. Great. Polka dot. No, no, no.

49:54 It's not 25. It's $26. What? What? Why are you fudging, guys? Why are you fudging? It's not $25. It's $26. People spread fat. They want to They want to dump Polka to buy cheap. So, uh, inflow is zero. Active address is three. No way, man. Is it three? Really? Is it correct, guys? Is it correct? Maybe it's incorrect. But it won't surprise me. I mean, I I don't know anyone in You can buy Exactly.

50:40 You can buy like a two cheeseburger. They would be better off selling two one cheeseburger. Two cheeseburger. What's the inflation now? How much is one cheeseburger? Oh yeah. Yeah. Let's see. Salana active addresses. 3.1 million active addresses on Salana in the last 24 hours. I mean this is these are proper stats guys. These are proper stats. Let's check Robin Hood chain.

51:02 Active addresses. Where are they? Why is it not saying here? Uh yeah they they don't have it. Volume here is 1.5 billion. On Sana it is it is yeah they also have per DEX volume 3.7 and then per 1.2. Let's check Bosch what's happening. Binoshen one point even Bosch is doing better. Tron Dex fe DEX volume actually not that much because Tron is mainly used for stable coins so they don't have too much yeah trading and stuff.

51:37 So guys that's it. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Smash up the like. Subscribe to the channel if you haven't yet. Uh big shout out to Guzman for timestamping us. And the most important CTA of today is to go to number one Bulma newsletter. So you get the discount to the book going to be emailing emailed out today. That's number one. Number two is bulmania.com for the weight list.

52:01 You come here, you scroll down, join the wait list here. join the weight list because Bulmania we are releasing spots this week and the price of Bulmania is increasing when Bitcoin hits 100K. Okay, very important to join otherwise all the mistakes will be repeated and yeah you you know the drill. Um what else? Oh, yeah. Yeah. Final thing, guys. Final thing.

52:21 I forgot. Uh, Kalshi Kalshi starter pack below. Click the link. Also, enter your email. You're going to be getting Kali signup link. And Kali is giving out $500 to everyone. Sorry, not definitely not to everyone to someone to someone who trades at least $50 uh every day. So, it's every day a random person gets $500 and you are part of that pool of random people if you trade at least 50.

52:46 And uh this is fully confirmed. If you go to my Twitter, I tweeted it and you see here Kalshi saying LFG. So this is fully confirmed. They're the ones that are distributing. I mean I don't even know myself who they give to they but they for sure for sure like a million% they are distributing to a random person every day $500 if you trade at least 50.

53:12 So, I asked them to tweet to to comment because uh we get no I mean I I don't know exactly who but they are for sure saying it happens and I trust them because they're US regulated and if you're US regulated you cannot have like a fake uh giveaway. So giveaway is 100% legit. 100% legit and uh they do it I mean we do it every day. We do it on a daily freaking basis.

53:37 So go below Kali starter pack enter your email. You're going to be emailed a list of links for Kali and other exchanges. Join Kalshi using our link and then you're going to be participating. Guys, thank you very much. Yo, Kagi Kagi Kagi, go back and watch. I talked about you. I talked about you. I talked about you. You're going to find out if you watch the stream.

53:57 Have a good day and goodbye, guys. Goodbye. Goodbye. Goodbye. Smash up the like. Bye-bye. Big shout out to Guzman. So many CTAs, guys. We have too many CTAs. Shout out to