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00:00 This set of macro conditions is substantially better for Bitcoin than this last bull market was, which would put Bitcoin in the $400 to $500,000 range. Bitcoin is up 50% since its July lows. Ethereum is now up 85% since its July lows. A lot of people are wondering, is the cryptobull market back? Is this rally real? Is this the beginning of something much bigger?
00:27 How high can Bitcoin really go this time? Guys, smash the like button because I'm going to show you something that more people need to see. If you watch anything more today, do yourself a favor and watch two more minutes. In just two minutes, the Strive CEO lays out the bull case. Why Bitcoin is more bullish today than in its last bare market turned bull for two big reasons.
00:54 Send this video to a friend who's still wondering, "Is it too late for me to invest in Bitcoin?" Because guess what? It isn't. This set of macro conditions is substantially better for Bitcoin than this last bull market was. Take two minutes, listen for yourself. >> Strive CEO Matt Cole writes, "Our base case for Bitcoin through 2030 is 50% compound annual growth rate.
01:22 We believe that is conservative." that why is 50% compound annual growth rate conservative for Bitcoin? >> There's really two reasons. One of them is a backward-looking metric. So looking at Bitcoin in every historical bull run off of its uh 200E moving average and so obviously right now Bitcoin is already off of its 200E moving average. But when it goes off of its 200E moving average into a bull market, uh the annual kagger for the next 3 to four years looking forward has never been less than 60%.
01:58 And so we adjusted that slightly given that it's already above its 200E moving average. But the more important thing because the past is not always indicative of the future is what does this current macro setup look like and how does it compare to as an example the 2022 2023 bare market into the 2024 2025 bull market. And our view is that this set of macro conditions is substantially better for Bitcoin than this last bull market was.
02:26 And so we anchored to that last uh bull market which would be right now around a 50% kagger into uh 2030 which would put Bitcoin in the $400 to $500,000 range. But then we looked at those fundamentals and the fundamentals primarily being our base case that we think the dollar will be substantially weaker because Scott Bent the head of the treasury will be the house as he said he's the house.
02:51 We think he will over the course of the next couple years constrain the ability for long-end rates to move substantially higher, although I don't think he's done enough yet. And the release that will be the dollar and Bitcoin will reclaim its role as the fastest horse versus gold and it will go to the moon. Another huge thing, most people do not realize this or do not realize the significance of this.
03:13 The CFTC chair Mike Celig has just released the crypto bulls. This is very similar to what the SEC chair Paul Atkins did the other day. Crypto got crazy after this. Pumped 10 15% over the next 5 days. And you can tell that this is important to him. I mean, he's tweeting out these clips himself. So, the CFTC chair Mike Celig himself explains how our markets are rapidly evolving.
03:46 They're going onchain. Crypto is going to be a huge part of this and overall what to expect next is implementing these rules. >> Our markets are rapidly evolving. They're transforming due to technologies like prediction markets, but also crypto, artificial intelligence. And so we really have to re-evaluate all of our rules and regulations to make sure that we're ready and prepared for this transition to 247 onchain and these automated markets that are facilitated through the use of algorithms and agentic finance.
04:19 So it's an exciting time. We're taking that responsibility very seriously. We of course are on the uh you know weeks after this clarity vote and so we're considering um the next steps there. We've sent some rules over to Alyra for consideration, and we'll continue to modernize our rules and regulations for this new Frontier Fund. >> If you hold Bitcoin, smash the like button.
04:40 The more people who watch today's video, the higher Bitcoin's price is going to go. How could it not when I'm showing you things that most people have no idea about? Is the CFTC chair serious about all of this? He is deadly serious about this saying it is go time baby we're doing this crypto holders we are doing this and the agencies have a ton of existing statutory authority when we got together oh two years ago now as part of the president's working group on digital asset markets we looked at statutory authorities as
05:15 well as legislative authorities and if you look at the report we have a whole section in there talking about using our existing authorities and president was prepared for it we're prepared for it and so it's go time. We're going to continue to ship rules to make sure that we're ready to go for the new Frontier Finance. >> My name is Aaron. This is Altcoin Daily.
05:31 Subscribe to our channel. Join our team. Let me show you charts and data that show us that it is very likely that Bitcoin is in a new bull market. Bitcoin has reclaimed every one of its long-term moving averages. 200 day moving average, 365day moving average, 50week moving average. All right here. And you can see that it spent 300 days underneath these moving average and now this dynamic has flipped.
06:03 Holding above them could signal the beginning of a new longterm uptrend. This is significant. A new metric is flashing green just like back here. Just like back here. This is the same momentum signal that has started the last two bull runs according to glass node. It is called MVRV. We've talked about this before. And in this case, it has crossed its 365day moving average.
06:34 This is the same cross that we saw in 2019 and 2023 at the beginning of each other bull run. I'm going to like this video because I appreciate this account sharing with me valuable information like this and then I can share it with you. You know, all Bitcoin needs to do is close this month above 79,300 for Bitcoin to close September green. Now, 1 2 3.
07:00 Closing three green months in a row means a bull market. And even if we close today, let alone close the price we were a day or two ago, this would be Bitcoin's best September in all of history. H you heard it on Altcoin Daily First. Black Rockck has just put out a report stating that in their opinion, AI agents will drive demand for crypto in the future.
07:30 AI agents will be more of a driver for digital assets than humans potentially. See right here, our latest research paper explores the growing connection between AI and digital assets and explains why broad AI adoption may drive new demand, utility, and applications across the crypto ecosystem. So much is happening in crypto. I hope you are a part of it with us.
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08:29 Whether you are a beginner trader or expert trader, this is one of the crypto exchanges I really like and I use. My name is Aaron. This is Altcoin Daily. We have some big videos coming out this week, guys. So, subscribe to Altcoin Daily and tune in. See you tomorrow, my friends.