WARNING: This Is Where Most Investors Mess It All Up! [This Is My Plan] Transcript, AI Summary & Key Points

We've seen a sharp move up in the DXY, that being the dollar index pushing towards the upside, taking the 10-year and the 30-year yield up with it as well. 10 year putting in also another sharp move towards the upside. And consequently, while some of the risk assets are starting to sneeze ever so slightly, but they're still very much in uptrends, high highs and high lows is the name of the game.

So, the question is, should you be buying the dip, right? That's the the big question. Is it a buy the dip opportunity or are you coming to a local top at the top of an expanding diagonal on Bitcoin? Well, that's also a possibility. The real question is, do you just have one more little pump up into the $90,000 region before you hit the top side of that expanding diagonal?

Well, if so, the buy the dip territory either way, whether we're going in for the dip now, we're going in for it later, the strong confluence zone is pointing all towards $72,000. I'll show you why in today's video. Stay tuned until the very end. And you can vote over here as well. While you smash the like button, let me know. Is this a buy the dip or the biggest biggest biggest bull trap ever?

Right? Why the biggest biggest bull trap ever? I can pull this up over here now. I'm not necessarily saying this is a base case. Let me find this on the other screen. But it's definitely something that you have to consider, right? We spoke about this as well where you also have an expanding diagonal and you have the potential for an AB C corrective wave.

Now again, not the base case when structures been broken on the lower time frames. You got to side with that trend until that trend breaks. And that trend so far is towards the upside. But you definitely have to ask yourself what if, right? What if over there? So we've seen the DXY move towards the upside. We're seeing USDT dominance as well tagging that mid-level region over here.

So we had spoken about it at the time with the rising wedge over here which is of course broken towards the downside which is what you'd expect and theoretically when you get to that midpoint that is TP level one right profit taking zone one and TP level two would be coming all the way at the bottom of this rising wedge over here. So that's confluent with what the DXY is doing.

The DXY slice completely through what is a potential resistance zone. Now we need to see is this going to consolidate here and flip this into support. So, um, we're going to be in an interesting space over the coming weeks because it's a either we're going to consolidate over here, which means this could or be macro reaccumulation, looking for higher prices on the DXY, which typically will add a lot of pressure onto the risk on market or B, because I don't know the answer.

Maybe you guys know the answer. I don't certainly know the answer of is this accumulation or are we about to go through macro distribution over here. This is why this has been such a tricky environment and you're seeing this rise in volatility within the rest of the market. So I take it one step at a time for now. We got these little bit of lower highs.

If this starts to reject and break down over here, you could be going for the macro distribution. The point is we have we'll have some kind of an answer over the coming months right into Q4. It's all lining up over there for the next move, right? So the USDC dominance, that's your mid-range level over there. You can see it. It's lined up actually exactly with that yearly open.

Here's your open. You can see the bulls in terms of the USDT dominance. bulls are fighting to defend that yearly open over there. And of course, the bears want a breakdown of that level, which will consequently cause more money flowing into the crypto assets and pushing them towards the upside. So, um, a lot going on over here. We're also at the 200 EMA on the 5day.

We've been looking at this for quite some time. You can see that stochastic RSI at least it wants to push towards the upside, but you don't have any real confirmation over here. So, uh, ultimately, what does this mean? And what do you do with this information? Well, what you do with this information is again you have to look for the best trade opportunities.

If you're completely sideline and 100% in cash, we've given those trade opportunities. A lot of the orders have started to fill deeper into the bottom of those triangles. Remember, we've been looking to scale into those positions like this. As price falls in there and gets deeper, you buy a little bit more, right? So, um, that gets you some level of exposure, but your major exposure can come in the form of if this bounces towards the upside and retest fills some of this candle over here, that's probably going to drop

Bitcoin down to about $72,000 and whatever the altcoins are at in terms of um, Bitcoin being at 72. If Bitcoin does go down to 72K, you basically just close your eyes and buy, right? That's the level that you're going to be looking to allocate. That's where you can size up your position. So right now I would be um very very very cautious cautiously long right cautiously long because you might only have one more squeeze towards the upside and there's a lot of pressure still in the markets because of the 10ear yield and

the 30-year yield. Now I have to remind you this is very uncharacteristic because we know that when the yields go up like this and the bond market crashes which is what's happening the Fed is usually forced to raise the interest rates. Now, they did raise 25 basis points and um we saw the market come down slightly. Maybe they're going to revise that and see that next time they have to go 50.

And if they go 50, that will almost certainly drop price and that could be the opportunity for anyone that wants to get a more sizable allocation should this be truly the start of the the bull market. Right? So, 10ear yield pushing up, breaking out above a very significant level. We had spoken about this way way way back all the way over here. We have the 30-year yield doing exactly the same thing.

And this thing's getting ready for quite a sizable move. So we have uh it's twofold, right? One is the DXY moving towards the upside alongside the 10 and30 yield. And the second uh thing is that we had big moves up over here on the Dow Jones, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ of which we've obviously been positioned for that. um specifically on the uh on the MAGS ETF for me personally and QQQ3 which you can see has moved beautifully towards the upside.

So a little bit of profit taking right those are the two things that are going on over here. A little bit of profit taking over there. So we got to keep an eye out on this. Um is this simply just going to be a higher low and this thing is going to rip towards the upside. Well I would side with the trend. The trend is definitely still towards the upside and you were within I mean you pretty much you did hit alltime highs right?

Even considering this bit of a pullback over here, you're still 1.58% from all-time highs on the S&P 500. So therefore, probably probably still a dip buying opportunity at least when it comes to the trady markets. Um, and this is going to be a significant zone, right? The breakout area, you really want to see this defended. Now, if you do see this defended, if you see on QQQ a consolidation over here like this, this is just going to be primed for another larger move towards the upside.

So, I'll maintain that long exposure over there. All of these positions are completely in profit. We're going long off of this triangle. We're also long down here. So, everything is looking good in terms of uh that particular trade. Now, just a quick one on the Dow Jones. I didn't execute this trade over here, but we spoke about this being a buy the dip territory.

I would still maintain that even if you're going to come down lower over here and take out these lows. Why am I not taking the Dow Jones trade? Well, it's simple. I have exposure in um in other indices, right? I don't need to take absolutely everything. And we know that a lot of the moves towards the upside have mostly been driven by the um AI and semiconductor sector which is going to be represented in the NASDAQ, right?

Which is why I'm I'm currently holding that as opposed to the Dow Jones. But either way, even if this does come down over here, I think all of this is going to be a buy the dip zone. The triangle represents smaller buys at the top and larger buys and more buys closer towards the bottom. Right? I hope that makes sense over there. So just keep an eye out on this one.

uh this is going to dictate what Bitcoin is going to do next, right? If this starts to lose some of these critical levels and really drop into a strong downtrend over here, then of course Bitcoin's going down to $72,000. So, very tricky environment at the moment. Um let's move on. Quick look at the uh MAGS ETF. Uh very very very up on the positioning over here.

Stop losses in a pretty safe space. Uh you don't want price to come back below here. If you start to drop below this, you're breaking all of those trends. Therefore, anything that comes back over here is an opportunity for anyone that didn't get exposure. We spoke about the potential for that maybe maybe to happen over here um on MAX. Right? So, that's just a quick update on that.

Quick look at Amazon. I am scaling into this position over here. So, I've set the my orders all the way down uh towards this red line over here. So, this was the trade setup that we gave uh yesterday. Give yourself a little bit of breathing room. Um if the rest of the markets bounce today, this may be the low and you're starting to for the first time shift into high lows on the low time frame.

Right? You can see over there, there is your breakup structure, right? You put in your high high. If you hold this level and you don't take out that low, this is your high low. So therefore, I want some exposure, but the strong level of support is coming in really over here at about 236. Um all righty, Google, same thing. It's not in the prime spot yet.

I prefer to get closer towards the the pink box, but at least it's low than what it was yesterday. Yesterday I said I wouldn't be looking at this one um yet unless it pulled back slightly. So it has pulled back slightly. We have a bit of a trend that's forming over there. We would like to see as well break of that for confirmation that this is going to move higher.

Um energy right let's have a quick look at energy. So moving on to the energy sector over here and I want to see this on the uh the daily bloom energy consolidating. As long as it's above 255 I think that it's bullish and probable continuation higher. Oil we spoke about this. It could come as low as about 94, but for now, yes, they're putting in a big move.

Um, so for the first time in a long time, we saw energy go up and the stock market take a bit of a dip with the yields also going up, right? Whereas the last couple of days, like earlier on this week and last week, we're seeing everything go up. Nothing nothing was giving, right? We said something has to give. So, is this the start of the cracks, right?

Uh, maybe, maybe not convinced yet. We need a bit more information. Okay, amazing. So, we got all of that out the way. Quick look at Palanteer. We had a huge move up yesterday. This was a trade that we gave as well yesterday. So, if you were positioned into this um you know, this moved up 9% and now we're looking for this to hold above this 190 region.

So, I'm going to continue to maintain long exposure over here um on Palunteer. And then let's have a quick look at Robin Hood. Um you know, if you missed it, you missed it. I would wait, right? If you get something like this, another drop back down to about 113, I think Robin Hood could be uh one to consider and look at. And then I need to decide what to do with this caterpillar trade.

It's really taking its time. I can give it a bit more time. Um yeah, I think at this point if you start to break below these lows, you got to just cut the position, right? It is what it is. For now, I'm holding this trade more or less at break even. Uh nothing has changed over here. Nothing ventured, nothing gained, nothing lost over here. Um but yeah, just wasting a bit of time.

If this is not going to move, we got to allocate that capital elsewhere. So those are the main things when it comes to the trady market. Let's move into uh crypto. Quick quick one over here. Where's the stop loss for Amazon, right? Let's quickly answer that. So let's quickly go to Amazon over here. Um look, this one's a bit challenging because I gave quite a tight entry.

Theoretically, that's the stop loss 242. But the complication with that is it just depends on how tight you want your stop and how much risk you want to take on. Personally, what I've done is I've set um grid orders like this all the way down, right? So, I'm basically buying in as this comes down. I'm willing to buy all the way down to here because I I don't believe that Amazon's going to zero anytime soon.

Whereas, if if it was a crypto asset, I would have very tight stop-loss because those do go to zero very often, right? Amazon is less likely to do that. So I'm I'm willing to hold through the volatility expectant that ultimately we are eventually going to trade up here to this target even if we do come a little bit low first before that move up. Right?

So um the scaled approach helps you to reduce the draw down and the volatility and get a better entry point especially when you buy larger closer towards these strong support levels. So um the only thing that concerns me with Amazon which is what we highlighted previously would be this right this is why you don't want to go all in on the trade. uh there is the double bottom over here and when you see two candles like that right next to each other this does oftentimes uh equal liquidity for the taking right so liquidity

for the taking you'll often times see price first flash that level um and I am open to that happening if it does happen I'll I'll probably size up the position a bit more there so Amazon's a more longerterm play for me personally um alongside the exposure with Mag X which by the way MAG X looks a little bit different to the Magnificent 7 still holding up this is more leverage bet.

So because yesterday was a down day, it trades at two times the magnitude. So this one has deviated this level. So you definitely want to get back above that very very very soon over the coming um you know probably into next week because tomorrow is going to be Friday and then the the stock market is closed. So by next week you need to see a reclaim over here of about 64 um for MAGX.

All right. So this is pretty interesting, right? When it comes to Bitcoin, we have over here the skew at 3.8%. 8%. It's quite sizable. Decent amount of skew over here, meaning that people are starting to short the market. And we did see a lot of longs getting liquidated. Not not as many as the shorts were the other day. The shorts were about 860 million.

So, it's about half of that. 446 million taken out over the last 24 hours. The good news is this, right? This is the this is our little liquidity index indicator, right? As long as the daily exchange volume is still holding up over here, specifically above that 25 billion uh over a 7-day period, this is an important uh zone, right? Everyone's complaining hardest.

You got to look here. Look at this. You got to message YouTube. You got to get the CEO on the line. Tell him we'll cancel his platform if he doesn't fix this problem immediately. Otherwise, Thomas is going to lose his All right, cool. Apologies, guys. if the if there's a glitch, right? If you've just tuned in and you missed the first part of the video, this is a YouTube processing thing.

We have no control over it. Um, all that we can do is cry and complain to them. Okay, they're forcing you to get YouTube Premium. You should get YouTube Premium, right? You know how much value and time you're wasting on adverts. It's so worth it. Like, I've I I think that people are insane when I look at them and they don't have YouTube Premium. It's mad.

Um, all right. Let's Let's not digress here too much. Let's move on. ETF lows. I expect another day recorded of outflows over here because of a little bit of a down day. Um this is something to consider. Remember the local tops do form off of um a lot of uh ETF inflows coming in which we got into that vicinity. If you look at the price history over here, we go back to the previous videos earlier this week.

We spoke about that or on my Twitter account, I clipped that video to explain it a bit deeper. Um and you can go and get the full insight into that. So I am watching that, right? I am watching that. Um, this is ultimately our bull market indicator. Very simple. As long as we're above that 21 EMA, it's all good. All hunky dory. And what we should do is we should also throw on very quickly.

Um, we have it the stop and reversal indicators all the way down here. Right? So, this is going to be rising each and every single week. And then eventually you're going to get a strong pullback whether that comes now or later. And when you throw back hard into these levels, which you can see is confluent right now around that 72 73k zone, this is going to be a very very very critical and important buy the dip territory.

And I I'm about to show you why, right? So let's do that first. Let's go on to this chart over here. Why? Well, if you use your anchored VWAP from the lows, now if it's a bull market, your expectation will be that you just like the bare market, right? every single test into the anchored VWAP as resistance, rejected price. If it pushed through it, it only held temporarily maybe 1 day, 2 days max, and then it starts to fall through.

So now you're going to use that in exactly the same way. And you can see the confluence right now. You have your um anchored VWAP, which is exactly in the same place as the 200 EMA. This the yellow line is your 50 EMA. So any strong throwback into that level, if you get a deep flush, right, you want to be positioned and ready to allocate into that for at least a technical bounce.

If it's going to fail and we're going through the big ABC correction on the monthly time frame, which means much lower prices, it you're still going to get a massive technical bounce first into some kind of a lower high before breaking down. But the chances are high they're not that this will find massive support over here. And this would be a big stop hunt as well because you can see um below those lows as well.

you'd be sweeping that 75k region to take out any stop losses that are probably placed over here. Now, we often see this right at the start of um a bull market just like in 2023, we had USDC which dep temporarily. That's what caused that flush down into these key levels that I'm talking about, the 21 EMA. Can go back over here. It was this candle. Um, so for those of you that were following back then, you'll you'll know that this is where I basically took any remaining capital that I had that I'd made during this

period and I just full allocated, full ported into that. This is the USDC peg. So if you see something like that, right, of course, when it's when it's down here, it's terrifying. Absolutely terrifyingly scary. But similar, you get the large candle, you come back to test that inefficiency. So if we see something like that, this is going to be a strong buy the dip zone over here.

we'll we'll reook what that looks like on the current um chart and where those price levels will come in and then you can see the overall conflicts. Right? So here it is. This is the large candle that kind of kicks things off. So therefore, anything that breaks back into this zone with a scare or flush, just close your eyes and bid, right? Uh bid and pray, bid and pray.

And ultimately look for your entry over there, which is confluence with the anchored VWAP. So keeping an eye out on that. Now in the short term, of course, we have the bearish divergence. We're at a critical place. You know, you could go in for triple bearish divergence, but you can see over here the RSI dropping. You can see price in an expanding diagonal.

It's just a question of do we have one more leg up, right? There is a chance that you just do something like this and you push up one more time. Now, this is going to make a big difference. This is a leg up that if you have no exposure whatsoever, you'll be feeling extreme levels of FOMO because for Bitcoin, that's a 15% move. for altcoins, they do 100%.

Right? 100% move. Double your money in that type of environment. So, it's noteworthy what's taking place over here. But I think it's probably going to be absorbed, right? I think that most likely you're just going to consolidate over here and you're going to go up for one more leg up and then we'll see, right? Maybe that into the next test of that expanding diagonal that leads to the deeper correction and the flush and you want to be ready for that confluence with these zones that we've highlighted, right?

So, keep that in the back of your mind's eye um when you go about with your your trading endeavors. Uh we got liquidity over here. It's not that big. $80,000 at $84 million worth of liquidity on the weekly. 24h hour period as well. We can have a look at that one. This one's starting to build above 17.5 million at $86,500. So, um the market is is in a decision point, right?

It's kind of consolidating, chopping about, and therefore it's most likely that the momentum will persist and you'll probably have still one more spike towards the upside, at least in in my opinion, right? Tricky environment. So, uh therefore, what is the best thing to do? Look, one of the best things to do is to just either leave your resting bids down there, large bids, any capital that you um would, if you got your entry, you would basically just close your eyes and and bid.

You may as well set those orders. That's one thing that you can do, right? You can set them by gridding those orders down. That's one idea. So, take that capital in case it happens while you're sleeping. You're not at your desk, you're not at your computer. Um maybe you you completely tuned out at the time when the flash happens and you've seen those wicks before.

You wake up and it's already fully fully pumped back towards the top side. So, that's one approach, right? If you see something like that, there you go. and you wake up and the candle's back up here. You know, you wanted to get allocated into that. The next approach, which is not anything new, it's something that we spoken about a couple of months ago based on the timing factors, is that you know over about a 200 day period.

That was when we're speaking about it back then, which is about uh you know just a little bit over six month period, you basically just want a dollar cost average. So you can simply come on every day and you can just buy whatever number is right for you. So, $100 a day, whatever is the number that's right for you. Um, there you go. BTC order filled.

So, this is on on Coinbase, right? I wanted to mention something about trading fees to just give you an indication and an idea over time how much money you can potentially save on trading fees. So, I have my um my spot account over here, which I just dollar cost average into, which is what I did. And then I also have the per account which has the resting bids which you'll remember we set at $72,000 and I've left those over here um on Coinbase.

Right. So just a quick mention on uh trading fees, right? What your trades actually cost you. This is something that a lot of new traders are not aware of and it's something if you are an active trader looking at the markets over time and you taking regular trades, I just want to show you how these fees add up and um how you can save. Right? So this is the same strategy, same size for two different people that I'm giving, but versus two different exchanges.

And here's what the fees would look like over time, right? So if we're looking at the uh three costs that most traders aren't ever looking at, it's these three, right? What are your trading fees paid on every fill? Whether that be a limit order or market order, there's small percentages of the total amount that you want to allocate. But most people don't actually sit and calculate because emotions and FOMO um are mostly driving them to just immediately execute uh orders, right?

They're never considering this. Getting money in, this is another big one. It depends if you're doing uh online transfers, so ETFs, uh electronic transfers is another word for it, or if you're paying via card, right? Card topups, conversion spreads, moving fiat into stable coins, you pay a fee on that, right? And then the cost that no, nobody prices in is when something goes wrong, right?

Who which exchange is holding your funds, right? So, this is an important thing. Now, let's talk about these two fees, maker versus taker fee. Exchanges will market these fees at different levels. Sometimes they'll make one zero, but the other one very high. Okay, so you need to look at both of those fees combined. A taker fee is when your order gets filled instantly against what's already on the book.

So market orders or limits price through the spread, uh you pay a high fee. And then the maker fee is your order rests on the book, meaning you basically going to be um waiting for that order to be hit. A limit order that isn't immediately match equals a low fee. So those are the ones that you just leave there over time, right? you patient and that's going to give you the best fee.

And that's what I just did. So, I just want to highlight, a lot of people don't know this. I know many of you do, but you can see the order book that's moving here on Coinbase. All you need to do to get filled, if you want to get filled immediately, as opposed to clicking over on a market order, which you're going to pay a lot more for, just go to limit order, click in the order book.

So, this is the closest seller to the current price. This is the closest buyer to the current price. We want to click the seller one if you want to buy and you want to click the buyer one if you want to sell. So we click the seller one. It fills that into the gap over there. I want to put another $100 in. Click buy. And therefore that's why it's executed immediately.

Do you see that? It executes instantaneously. That is your cheapest way to get executed. And I know guys for many of you probably know this, but for a lot of people that are especially coming back to the market now, they have no clue. I I can see Hottis nodding his head there. He didn't even have any idea about this. Now he's going to this is how much money you would save, right?

Let me give you the examples. So you meet trader A. Let's say trader A is trading over here on Coinbase Advance and then trader B is using a large offshore exchange which I've aggregated the average cost of these large offshore exchanges. I'm not going to knock any particular exchange and that's why we're just leaving it as an offshore exchange. All most of them are offshore exchanges, right?

You know, doiciled in tax havens. But this is what the fees look like, right? And you can go and check this against whatever place you're trading, right? So, if you signed up through a partner link, which I've arranged for you guys, with 80% reduction on fees, that's the best I could do. Basically trying to make it as free as possible for you to trade.

The link over there is below, right? You can see over here, you're getting 80% trading fee reduction. I'm trying to make it as cheap as humanly possible. So, you're already working with a cheaper platform. Spot maker take a fee is listed over there. Per maker take a fee is listed over there. And then fiat moving into stable coins is list listed there.

You get 80% off. That's a big savings, right? A big savings compared to trader B, which I know these just look like small minuscule numbers on a screen, but let me show you an example of how this changes over time. 20 round trips a month at $5,000 a trade over one year, meaning you're doing $200,000 of volume a month in buys and sells or $600,000 over 90 days.

This is what it looks like, right? So, it looks like this. Trader A would pay only $1,620 over here on Coinbase Advance, right? Trader A, that's if you're using limit orders. So, this is the difference between filling patiently and filling aggressively with a market order. Limit order is patient, right? What I just did and I showed you how you can click in the order book.

Order B is a market order. Price is pumping and you just you need to get in, right? You want to get in or price is dumping and you want to get out. You're going to click the market order and execute. Right? So, this is $1,620 versus $2,040 over this trading volume and time. Whereas on trader B, which is on the offshore exchanges of paying $2,400, this adds up, right, over time.

Now, sure, if Coinbase were a dodgy exchange where your money wasn't safe, but trader B was trading on the super safe exchange and you're paying a premium of anywhere from8 $400 to $800 more under the exa the same example, I would say just go to go to the offshore exchange, right? But Coinbase is not that. Coinbase, of course, is one of the most legitimate where most of the ETF buying is taking place, which is what I'll show you, right?

So, here's your pricing. trader A um kept 180 to 100 uh to to $240 over 90 days and $360 to $780 back in their pocket over um the one-year period. Right? So again, just giving you another example and then we'll move on to um altcoins in a moment because I know a lot of you are dropping your requests over there. Right? So this is what your totals look like.

Trader a savings savings savings, right? month one, month two, month three versus the other ones that incrementally rise over there. And what about if you're moving money from your bank into the uh trading account? Trader A pays 10 cents on $10,000. Trader B, that's if you're doing a bank transfer into a USDC pay on Coinbase is your cheapest approach.

That's the approach that you want to use. Trader B, fiat into stable coin at 0.1% spot fee pays $10. Significantly more, right? And uh your typical range can go up to $400, right? On a $10,000 payment depending on the exchange. Okay, so there's a big savings over here for you guys, right? So um look, again, just reiterating how exchanges stack up on security.

Uh you guys know that this is a tier one exchange. You know, they're listed company. Uh they've done everything right regulation wise, licensed in major different markets and jurisdictions across the world, whereas a lot of the other ones aren't. Independent security audits. They have that, others don't. Uh, proofs that you can check, you can look at their filings and audits.

A lot of the other ones have trust me bro, trust me broites, right? Which obviously is not a good thing. Okay. So, chosen by ETFs. Yes. Right. ETFs are custodying their funds over there, which is what you can look at over here. Um, Black Rocks, IBIT, ARX 21 shares, ARCB, um, of course, Micro Strategy as well, keeping all of their funds over there. And even the US Marshall Service picked Coinbase Prime in 2024 to custody the seized crypto that they have.

So a last thing over here to just make note of two more things that you need to look at is uh Coinbase's uh Coinbase advance using the partner link. This is the drop off in fees, right? So the more the the larger the amount is that you have on that account and that you're trading, the more you reduction in VIP services you get on the trading fees. All right.

So everything is listed for you guys there. Link is in the description below. Um the bonuses they're going to give you for those of you that weren't able to claim it. They were trying to um issue uh manual bonuses. They're going to issue a link. I'm hoping it's going to come next week for you guys. So for anyone that couldn't get it, you'll be able to click that link and claim your bonus yourself.

All right, let's go on into some of the trades that we have over here. So pump more or less at the same zone that we got our entry in. Right. So we're right here. You basically need price to bounce over here. Otherwise, it starts to get sketchy. But you're still holding, you're still holding the high lows, the lower highs. You're compressing over here.

Um, you know, there's a good chance that you do something like this and you compress before ultimately um, you know, hopefully breaking out towards the upside. I've been filling positions. You can see this is what I'm talking about with scaling those limit orders. So, this is just an update on my personal trades. Dropped in, got beautifully filled over here.

I still have more um resting limit orders that are actually coming all the way down. I'll have to double check, but it's it's all the way back down to the the range lows because I'm wanting to hold this actually for a longer period of time. But beautiful move up over there um off of the the orders that we have. Uh ponds one of the strongest, right? Why do I look?

It's come down. We we still above our entry because we're entering into this trade over here. I think my average entry is like 57. So, still up on this trade over here. False breakout. I've readjusted this. I've given it the line of best fit, which is this, right? Without breaking the rules of of drawing a trend line over here. We we are breaching the wicks, but we're going through the we testing the candle body, right?

We're coming into that wick over there without breaking the body of the candle, but breaking the wick. This is still a valid trend line. So yesterday we had it drawn a little bit more um I guess kindly or favorably towards the the bulls and it looked like a fake breakout came back down. So ultimately if this can start to compress and just get back outside here uh we should see a large move up.

So I'll manage this trade accordingly. One that I'm slightly worried about but I'm still holding the position is also pretty much at break even is um cash. Why? Well, because if we look at this, we're looking at it on the daily, right? And I've had the um There we go. I've had this drawn like this. It's kind of breaking this trend line. Now, I mean, I can't really draw it any more favorably for the bulls.

Like, at some point, you have to consider that trend line's broken, right? So, we really wanted to see follow through. Yesterday, we had this candle was a beautiful candle of there holding the strong horizontal moving towards the upside. And I had scaled my orders down towards the red line over here. So basically fully filled on this position. But if you have another red day over here, this could get bad, right?

So just be aware of that. Manage your risk accordingly. Um hopefully you see some follow through towards the upside. Another one to look at is FET, right? I spoke about this yesterday. You might get the throwback. So far you starting to get that. My orders are coming all the way down here towards like 172. So a lot of the orders have been filled. I still have more on the table.

Is this going to be a bump and run? At the end of the day, we've broken that trend line. This is as um you know perfectly as we can draw this from wick to wick through the wick it's broken right we've broken that level okay so therefore um I remain within these trades nothing has changed I have the pump trade on I have the astera trade I have the pond trade I have the cash cap trade I have the fed trade on the table for crypto related things um and yeah we'll we'll just continue to monitor that pending what Bitcoin

does next which I still think could have one more spike up in it you know theoretically Um, this is all a buy zone, right? Anything that comes into this, this is all your demand zone. Anything that comes into this is your demand zone. All righty. Amazing. So, let me know if if there is any other request that you guys have in terms of chart requests.

Marissa says, "Just my luck to choose cash to long." Remember what I said? I literally said, don't go all in on one particular trade. You have to split the trades, right? Even though one setup looks pretty decent because I'm pretty sure you asked me that question yesterday and you said, you know, out of these trades, which looks the best? And I told you, well, Cash Cat's closer to the invalidation zone, so from a risk-to-reward perspective, but ponds has the relative strength.

I'm sure you asked that question yesterday. All right. Um, cool. Let's have a quick look at Salana. What's going on on Salana over here? We're on the wrong chart. Just give me a second. Let's move back here. Let's go on to Salana and see what's going on. It's also fine, right? I think this is just a little bit of um you know, early market jitters. You can see over here, as long as you're holding this candle, anything that pulls back around here is probably going to be absorbed.

And this the the first pullback is the real test. This isn't even a major pullback yet, but um you'll have your answer in terms of what kind of market we're in if you find that, you know, over the next 24 to 48 hours things are trading back at highs. That's going to be interesting. All right, that means that bulls are are firmly firmly in control. If we're still consolidating over here, like 48 hours from now, show that maybe bulls are starting to give up a bit of their uh their grip and bears are starting to slowly

take back control. We've done we've done oil. We've done oil. Oil looks bullish. Um it can pull back a little bit more, but ultimately I oil still very much in an uptrend. All righty. Okay. Uh what else? What else, guys? Sure, we can have a look at Marscoin. Marscoin had a massive pump, giving up a bit of that, of course, after a 38% pump. That's a huge pump towards the upside.

Uh let's let's use the lower time frames over here. So, lower time frames. Yeah, I mean, a bit of profit taking. You got this range breakout over here. You really want to see this alongside the rest of the market defend these zones. So, this is definitely a zone that you want defended. You can see previous resistance comes down, resistance comes down, moves up, flips it into potentially support.

You want to hold this. Um, so ultimately, Marscoin, you really want this to hold this and start to continue to climb towards the upside. Uh, Popcat, sure. Yeah, we have these trades as well. Remember, I didn't take all of these with um with size. I have the Fcoin trade as well on a different account. Uh, threw back. We said we said you might get another opportunity.

This is it, right? This is the throwback over here into the zone. false breakout for now, which is definitely important to consider. Let's go on the daily for this. So, just a quick look over here. This is a long-term trend. Broken that false initial breakout. It's okay. It's fine for now in terms of the long, but it has to have followthrough. Now, if it doesn't have follow-through over the coming days, um those false breakouts can definitely um you know, trade in the opposite direction very very very quickly over

there. So, for now, this is a high high into a high low. And ultimately, you just you want this to start to bounce out of here now. Okay. Popcat still looking fine. Rejected off the trend line. Threw back a little bit. Next attempt it can hopefully break through over there. All right. How's useless doing? Okay. Similar to um similar to ponds, right, in terms of the structure, big move up, consolidates, compresses into this, breaks out, throws back into that.

Um probably a high low and ultimately likely to lead to continuation. All right, McDonald's. We can have a look at McDonald's. Uh we are short on McDonald's and it broke um where is Yeah, this chart over here. Uh McDonald's broke below the critical line. All right, that's it. It broke below the critical line. Pretty significant. So losing that line at 244.

Any bounce that occurs over here, I think it's going to be a lower high. I think that the trade entry is most likely safe at this point on this trade. So McDonald's for example, if you if you bounce up, I even think you'll struggle to get above um this breakdown area from what time frame are we on? We on the daily. So the the candle from Tuesday, Monday, Tuesday, I think you'll even struggle to get above that.

So I think any little bounce over here is probably going to do this and then ultimately you could start to see this falling through. I wouldn't enter into a short trade here now though. Um if you're not in this trade, if you didn't take this trade with us, I wouldn't execute it now. All righty. So that's looking good. So if the whole market unwinds at least this is going to pay us something.

SpaceX okay SpaceX also losing some critical levels deviating the zone. It's it's still okay but if you start to drop below you know 141 you may be coming all the way back down to 122. All right. This is for the for the trady stuff. Um how soybeans and wheat doing because I still hold those positions. Let's go on to the uh daily. Perfect. Nothing needed to change over here.

This looks really good. uh wheat pulling back. Look, this this must bounce over here. If this starts to take out specifically this low about like 650 658, excuse me, 658, that red line. Um yeah, I I don't really want to see this taken out for the bullish case to maintain like even over here. I'd prefer to see this starting to find support and grind up now on wheat.

All righty, Nike. We can have a look at Nike. Um I think it's still getting absolutely smacked. Uh there we go. Right. Yep. There is no bid on this. This is just down only. Absolutely brutal. Right. This is like a crypto or trading like a crypto. Let's let's mark off exactly from the high. What are we on now? Uh we are 80% down. There we go. 80% down.

I mean, this is a full this is an aggressive bare market for Bitcoin. Imagine like Bitcoin dropping 80% down. Ultimately, look, if you want to get position in this, there could be sharp reversals. I usually think of this as like a mean reversion back towards the key moving average. You sometimes see something like that which can be tradable. But realistically, this will range for a very long time.

Like I don't think you need to be in a rush, right? You can probably buy near the lows through a reaccumulation on Nike like literally in 2030. I mean, imagine. Oh my gosh, that's brutal. All right, VVV. Let's see how that's holding up. This is one of the the the coins with the most relative strength. Is it still strong? Yes. Look, guys, there's your opportunity.

You want something in a strong uptrend, that's probably a high low right here. That's it. Like, basically, you can just buy over there. Put your stop loss below it. 6.7% away. If the market is going to take off like a rocket, um you know, this thing is going to continue to outperform. So, this is going to be the trade confirmation. Once you break that, we tend to see this over and over again in a bull market, right?

You get the flush, you get the dip. Um you know, you basically allocate into that dip, breaks the trend line, and then it marks up again. All right. If this starts to come into here and rejects again, sure, maybe maybe you're going to distribute. But for now, uh, yeah, it's probably strong. It's just basically bull flag after bull flag when you are in a strong market, right?

You tend to see that big move up. So, here it is. Big move up, consolidate, consolidate, consolidate, break through, and then make another leg up like that. All right. Amazing. Amazing. Um, and then also I did drop in the Discord for those of you that are in there. Let me just quickly find this uh and we'll open this up. Uh variational. So a lot of you are farming the airdrop with me.

Um yeah well they finally announced right Q4 Q4 they are going to do the airdrop 32% of the total supply and that's for the VAR token variational token. This is a perpetual DEX. I personally think this is as bullish as um Hyperlquid and um and what do we call it? Lighter. So if you have a look at that, look at the look at these charts, right? I have a lot of tokens.

A lot of tokens. And I don't even think that I should sell them. So hyperlid lighter. Um let's actually see something over here. Let's ask Groc uh let's ask Rock something quickly. Uh what was the price of hype when they tged? cuz some of these tokens for variational are already selling at $25, right? People are are full clipping $100,000 um uh you know buys on to buy people's tokens before they even TG cuz we already have our points.

You sell your points, right? You sell your points. It's like pre-tokens. So you can see Hyperlid's token TGE was in November uh the end of November 2024. I want to remind you that was basically the the that was basically the one of the tops, right? It wasn't the top. I think Bitcoin went to likeund and we can look at it was like 120 something and then 126 was obviously the major top.

So, uh 204, okay, wait, we had 2025 was the major top. So, excuse me, I stand correct. That was 1:24, but it was a major major hype time in November, which is here. It was this period, right? So, we were we traded well into those highs at about 109. So, this was the first top 109, the second top 126. And if we go back to this, that's when hype launched and the token started trading at $3.20, right?

$3.20. And um yeah, basically if this is the start of the bull run, I'm I'm probably just going to hold those tokens, right? I'm may as well not even sell them. So I think keep an eye out on on variational. Check your accounts, right? Check your accounts. I don't know if there's any point now to start uh a new account and start trading there. Maybe just keep trading there if you already have an account because you could probably still acrue more points, but at least you have a date.

All right, guys. Let's leave it at that. Thank you all so much for joining. I appreciate each and every single one of you. Um, again, if you want that 80% off on fees for Coinbase, it's linked below over there. I'll see everyone on the next one hopefully tomorrow. Cheers for now, guys.