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If You See This Level HIT It's A Strong Entry! [BTC + Crypto] Transcript, AI Summary & Key Points

Crypto Banter · yesterday · News & Politics · 34:49 · EN-US

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AI Summary

Stocks, Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies are at a critical point where falling 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields could support a bounce, while rising yields and a stronger DXY could trigger a broader sell-off. The strongest equity bounce setups are Amazon and Google near technical support, while Tesla is weaker because it trades below its 200 EMA. Bitcoin has roughly a 60% chance of making one more upside move before a deeper correction, with a possible short squeeze toward $88,000-$92,000 and deeper high-probability buy zones later. Bitcoin's price is up 35% from the August low while coin-denominated open interest is down 20%, making the rally less dependent on leverage. A reclaim of 84,35 would improve Bitcoin's short-term structure, while a deeper pullback could reach approximately $81,000 or the low-to-mid $70s. Stronger crypto trends include PUMP, Solana, and FET, while ETH and XRP remain less structurally developed. Position sizing, staged entries, and risk management remain important because the market is still vulnerable to a sharp breakdown.

Key Points

  • The 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields could pull back and support stocks, Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies, but continued upside in yields could return control to bears.
  • Fed rate-move odds for the October 28 meeting dropped from approximately 70% to 44.8%; the 2-year yield and Fed funds rate are showing a divergence that may eventually resolve through lower bond yields.
  • The Dow Jones remains in an entry zone, with a potential technical bounce between 49,932 and current prices.
  • S&P 500 futures also have a high chance of bouncing from the current region, while QQQ has a possible bump-and-run setup if the 10-year and 30-year yields decline.
  • QQQ3 is a 3x leverage position, and MAG X is a leveraged position on the Magnificent 7 ETF; MAG X is backtesting prior resistance as support.
  • Amazon is being accumulated through a region around 243, with bullish divergence between lower price lows and higher momentum-oscillator lows, plus a confirmed green dot on the hourly chart.
  • Google is compressing into a symmetrical triangle, holding the 50% Fibonacci level, with momentum support and confluence around the 200 EMA.
  • Amazon and Google have the best individual-stock risk-to-reward setups; Microsoft is overextended, while Apple and Nvidia are trading well above their 200 EMAs.

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00:01 We've seen another shift in the probabilities of an interest rate decision. And consequently, what's happened is we're starting to see the 10 year and 30-year yield have the potential to to pull back, right? If that does pull back, that could make the difference at this critical junction that you find priced at for not only the stock market, but also Bitcoin and cryptos right on the cusp of uh bears potentially taking back control.

00:23 Right? So for the most part it's been bulls holding control for the last couple of weeks and the pendulum does tend to swing. So the question is will we see that swing in favor of the bears? We have again Asian market selling off coming into London session later and then New York consistently seems to be picking it up in the end. Right. So uh again right on the cusp price pretty much in exactly the same place as it's been for quite a long period of time.

00:50 We've seen some mega mega moves um within pump, right? One of the big trades that we've had in whail room, the pump token moving up beautifully over there. Now the question is should you be taking profits or should you just continue to hold those positions? Uh it's not the only position we have on the table. Pretty much everything is in profit. We have the individual trades over here.

01:08 Only one short trade which is McDonald's up over 100% on that. Fatcoin up, Apple up over there, and then a couple have started to pull back into the red over here. But up on BTC, Salana, Palentia, Robin Hood, MU, Micron Technologies, Bloom Energy pushing towards the upside once again. Intel as well up and now on the majors, right, the QQQ um is slightly down, but I think it's also right in the cusp of potentially bouncing out of that zone.

01:35 Apple also slightly down 2% and Amazon slightly down. But that draw down has been a scaled area whereby we building positions into those trades. And is it time to bail out, right? Is the trade idea failing? Would you give it a little bit of a chance to push up? Right, we'll discuss that today. First and foremost, I'll ask you the question, how is your allocation split at the moment?

01:55 So, give me an idea over here by voting in the poll. Which best describes your exposure to markets at the moment? Are you mostly in crypto with some traditional finance exposure? Well, that's 54% of you. It seems like the majority. Uh, we have mostly traditional finance. That could be, remember, stocks, indices, commodities, uh, bonds, etc. Um and then a little bit of crypto exposure.

02:15 That's 17% of you. Or are you diversified between crypto, stocks, bonds, commodities, uh property, uh that is so far 21% of you. If you have another combination, feel free to write that into the uh comment section. And then while you're voting over there, please do me a favor, smash the like button up top over there. Um and let's go. Right. So looking at the probability of a Fed rate move at the October 28th which is just around a month away uh meeting we saw yesterday that was sitting at like 70% and that suddenly

02:45 dropped down to 44.8% because there's been a whole lot of speeches over there. So will the lack of Fed panic right the Fed aren't panicking I guess despite the 10 year and 30 year old pushing towards the upside they say that the 2-year yield tends to dictate what they should be doing which is showing a massive divergence meaning the 2-year yield is um what is going on over here one second the two yield let's grab our pen is trading up here and we see the Fed funds rate trading down here so theoretically these need to

03:17 converge towards one another and if the Fed Fed are not panicking, does that mean that the bond yields will start to to go down? Right. Um ultimately we are starting to find a little bit of a local top over there. So there is the potential if we do if we do see a drop over here on the 10 year and the 30 look it's still broadly speaking very strong. But if we come in for a high low that pull down into the high low should ignite a little bit of a bounce across the rest of the market as uh most of the selloff has been due

03:45 to panic with this rising towards the upside. We've spoken a lot about that the rated which is moving towards the upside is more the scary thing versus it just slowly but steadily moving up. So all in all we have a bunch of trades on the table and I still in those trades. Let's actually have a look at the Dow Jones which is still in the entry zone right remember we took this long trade down here 75% profits.

04:08 I'm looking to reallocate that. So um still scaling into this position over here and I think that you should get some kind of a technical bounce. um you know anywhere between the lowest would be 49,932 and current prices. So scaling into that position over there that's signifying chances of prices bouncing are high. We see over here in the S&P 500 futures chances of bouncing from this region is also pretty high.

04:31 And then QQQ giving a second opportunity over here for a possible bump and run. So again chances of bouncing over here are high especially if we see that 10 and 30 yield come down. So, I'm still long on QQQ3. That's a 3x leverage bet. I'm still long on MAG X, this one over here, which is a leverage bet on the Magnificent 7 ETF, which is coming back into back test as support and therefore ultimately we might see some continuation.

04:59 I'm also long on Amazon over here, scaling into this region. So, this is not really a true representation. And I don't have a tight stop loss, but more so I'm willing to scale in uh and reduce my average entry with throughout this region over here. And then same thing on Google, which you can see is compressing into the symmetrical triangle. So if we look at those independently on the low time frames, that being both Amazon and Google, um you can see this beautiful trend line.

05:24 You can see from the local low to the local high, we have our key fibs that are lining up over here. And this is part of the course for a bounce zone, right? So around this 243, I'm looking for a little bit of a reaction out of here. Sure, you could stab a little bit lower. If we zoom in and we have a look at our momentum oscillator as well, we are starting to get a bit of a bullish divergence between price putting in slightly lower lows and the momentum oscillator putting in slightly higher lows with a confirmed green

05:48 dot on the hourly. So this move could come as soon as today. And we're seeing almost exactly the same thing take place on Google when we look at again fib levels pulled from the low to the ultimate high compression into that symmetrical triangle over here holding at the key 50% level and then highlighting of course the momentum oscillator giving the green dot and the potential to start to bounce out of that zone.

06:13 So all in all continuing to hold these trades um giving it final final final last chance. You can see on these dailies as well the confluence around that allimp important 200 EMA. Um and I think that we should get resolution relatively soon. So let's move on. We can go through just a couple of the others. That's Amazon right at the 200 EMA. Google at the 200 EMA.

06:31 Apple trading a whole lot above starting to pull back slightly. We have Nvidia also way above its 200 EMA. So risk-to-reward the best ones right now still Amazon and Google if you're looking for the individual stock trade. And I think that what they could do is similar to what we saw on meta which was also exactly the same thing right large move up compressing into a symmetrical triangle which tends to break out in alignment with the prior trend which has been towards the upside.

06:56 So um all in all we'll continue to hold that we have Microsoft also overextended so no trade over there and then we got the rejection on Tesla. So this is where we can start to look out for support to be found on Tesla. Tesla is different to the rest in the sense that it's trading below its 200 EMA. The rest of them are above the 200 EMA. So, this is slightly weaker, but I do think that there's a great chance that you're going to find support over here and put in a high low bouncing between 330 and 342.

07:24 Um, all right. So, moving on into the energy sector. Bloom Energy up beautifully over there. Uh, oil trade coming down. It looks like it actually might take out this low. This will be good probably for the rest of the market to start to push up. Um and this might lead into a high low but retesting I think anywhere between about 94 and in a worst case scenario if you're bullish that is down to 89 right so keep an eye out on that for the energy sector the metals got absolutely obliterated.

07:53 They're starting to put in a bit of a technical bounce. I'm not going to cover this at length. I think that it's really simple. Um in order to get back into a position of strength you really want to trade back above this red line 4360. Otherwise, you're going to continue to chop and you have a good chance of coming down into this red box over here, which is about 3,900.

08:10 And then same thing on silver. You don't need to over complicated. This thing to get back into a position of strength really must get above about 6750. Otherwise, you have a good chance of moving down to 54. Everything in between there is simply just rangebound and chopping. And then we got our individual trades over here. I'm happy to continue to hold long on this.

08:30 This is Palente. Another long trade that we have. We spoke about the throwback into key support for Robin Hood. So, if you're looking for a trade of the day, probably one to put on the list. Overnight trading already up at 119. We know that um the uh CEO of Robin Hood came out yesterday at the conference. I don't have all the details on it but um he effectively came to start to challenge uh the protocols like FOMO effectively creating um you know a much more crypto friendly platform as well to draw some of that

09:02 liquidity towards Robin Hood. So I guess the market likes that and that's why you're getting a little bit of a bounce and of course it's just magical lines on a chart that coincidentally said that something like that would probably happen at key support, right? Of course this is the way the charting works. So, looking for the bounce out of here. Pretty decent.

09:19 MU still holding up. It's okay. Intel holding up. It's okay. Caterpillar still long over here. Starting to move into um profits nicely over there. AMD probably going to put in a little bit of a consolidation or pullback. So, I definitely wouldn't be going long over there. SanDisk, I think, is fine. Continue to hold the long trade. No need to change that.

09:36 And then you got to be careful on the South Korean stock market, of which Samsung and SKH Highix make up the majority of it. You got these trend lines that's starting to add pressure into it. We are in profit. But if you go up to the the actual stock market over there for them as the Cosby, remember this is the picture. It starts to get dangerous if you begin to take out these swing lows at 6560, right?

09:59 Breaking below there. You have a bit of support with the 200 EMA, but once you start to lose that, things can fall apart very quickly. Um, and this is one of the things to be cautious around, right? So although there's a lot of conflicting information with the 10-year 30-year yields moving up, the DXY as well pushing up quite aggressively over here and potentially right at the breakout zone.

10:19 Uh many may ask, well, you know, why go long on these um you know, other markets like individual stocks? Why go long on the um magnificent 7 and QQQ? Well, my answer to that would be that it's you got to trade the chart that's in front of you, right? That's ultimately all that it comes down to. you got to trade the chart that's in front of you. So, be aware of all the background noise that's taking place, the uncharacteristic um you know, up only across various different charts that don't typically move up only

10:51 together and just trade the chart that's in front of you and be aware that something could break. And if this explodes towards the upside and the yields go ballistic towards the upside, something could break, right? Which usually would result in a big sell-off within the stock market. But if you're managing your risk accordingly, uh you know, you should be okay.

11:08 So, uh that is the charts that are in front of us when it comes to the trady market for those of you that want to take advantage of the final final final day um of the special for Bitfunded if you want to pass a prop firm challenge to trade with other people's money. Final call 50% off link is in the description below. Uh use it or lose it and let's move on.

11:27 Right, let's go on to crypto. So, still slightly negative on the skew. We're also seeing on the uh deltas on high block capital which showcases the majority of um traders orders. They're also negative, right? Which means people broadly speaking are net short. We've had the huge reset in the open interest and this is why things are sitting right on a knife's edge where you could see another short squeeze.

11:50 I'll show you what price-wise where that would take Bitcoin. Quick one. It's pretty much between about 88 and $92,000. And I think that would complete um you know, probably a local top for the market. And then you're going to be looking for a deeper pullback where you can profit take off of that local high, one more pushup, profit take off the local high, reallocate into the next major pullback, which could still be in the low 70s or mid70s, right?

12:16 We'll get to that point. No guarantees, only probabilities. But right now, we seeing things squeeze in terms of the total liquidations. They're not that high because most of the leverage has actually already been taken out. Daily exchange volume still coming down. So, precarious spot where you do want this to start to push back up. And a quick look at the um ETFs which are almost going negative over here, right?

12:37 Not quite yet negative, but almost going negative. So, we can also go through the trends regarding um you know the high time frame moving averages that we use over here, the three, the 9 and the 30 moving average specifically on a 5day time frame. And you can see that this is the early innings if this is going to be a bull run. This is pretty early.

12:57 You need all of these moving averages to start to angle towards the the upside. And your powerful moves take place when the yellow, the green, and the purple are actually trading above the white moving average, which we haven't got to that point yet. And you can see the structure beginning to shift across um other uh assets in the cryptosphere as well.

13:16 Right? So if you look over here at ETH, it hasn't even yet reclaimed um that white moving average. We can have a look at pump for example. This is starting to look really strong. So this is one of the ones that are pretty strong trending moves. So I'm going to continue to hold those positions over there. Price above the yellow, yellow above the green is exactly what you want.

13:34 both angled up and um green above the purple which means the shortest is above the medium which is above the high time frame moving average and all of those are angled up. So although it's tempting to take profit on something like pump right now this tells me um hold it right don't get uh don't be too quick on taking profits this could be very quickly absorbed you know even over the course of today and I'll just quickly highlight that move right on is another one that we had a look at for the long trade but let's just

14:01 quickly go through um to that pump trade over here uh and take a look right breaking out of that triangle I think you know this can very very very quickly accelerate uh percentage- wise before finding any kind of resistance another 50%. Which is a pretty sizable move if if you've allocated with um quite a large position which I have. Uh this is great money.

14:23 Now you can see if you look at things like ASA another one of the trades that we have only just starting to reclaim. Look at that last 5day candle. Um strong reversal held that level over there. It's looking good. Ponzi is not going to have enough chart history. We'll go to FET. This is Fetch AI. Another one of the the trades that we have on the table.

14:40 As long as you don't take out these lows, these could potentially be the start of trends within motion supported by those EMAs. Um XRP, right, still very messy, hasn't fully reclaimed. Salana looking decent, more similar to pump, right? It's got those um moving averages moving beautifully towards the upside and these trends can really get going, right?

15:00 So, um keep an eye out on that, right? Before you get uh you know, you're trying to short to new lows or anything like that, you'll probably become part of the liquidation stats. So just be aware of that. So right now we're right in the demand zone. It's a tricky environment because there's theoretically a lot of demand that comes down here and it's just a question of how deep it goes.

15:18 So you always have to have a positionsized plan in terms of how much allocation you're going to have within the market. The strongest buy zones still remain over here. If you're lucky enough to get a throwback into that zone, this becomes a really really strong entry point. uh which you know in a worst case scenario that's like 67K and in a best case scenario um you get a pull back down to like 735 to test right around that anchored VWAP and the 50 EMA.

15:43 So we've been looking at this for quite some time. Um it's just what comes first, right? I do believe that there will be a good chance of a flush down into these regions somewhere here at a later point in time. It's just a question of do you first put in one more move towards the upside which I'm inclined to think is possible more likely only marginally more likely.

16:04 It's not extremely extremely high probability. It's just slightly over 50% I'd say 60% chance that you have that move up and about a 40% chance that you don't and you do something like that first. But ultimately at some point in time um even if it's after that move you will get a deeper flush and that deeper flush is going to be your first major major high low after you put in the low next macro high low that becomes um a strong buy zone right so be patient but what we have seen is the BTC uh price is actually rallying

16:35 on much less leverage than it previously did. So price is now up 35% from the August low um while coin denominated open interest is actually down 20%. I'll show you this on another chart visually, but you can have a look over here. It's the lows since March, which makes the rally less likely to be a leverage flush, which we so often see where longs get absolutely obliterated, and actually more likely to start to put in a low time frame short squeeze.

16:59 So, I've marked it off on the chart. Not only do you have the technical um support over here in the purple box, so previous support, resistance, resistance, resistance, little bullish order block pushes price up. Sure, you may come down a little bit more to like 81k. Test that as support. I've marked off over here. Um, also where the open interest actually was on those previous lows.

17:23 So, the the open interest, you can see, is significantly less. If we work it out as an average, you know, the open interest is about 15% down versus where price was over here back in November in 2025 versus where price was over here um at 59K in February versus where price was also over here at 59K back in June and then where it dropped down to the lowest point so far was in the 57k region in July.

17:49 Right? Where's the where's the open interest? It's been mostly wiped out. So when you see something like that, well that tells you that if the bulls can uh you know pull it back, which I'm I'm focusing also on the RSI, which is being compressing over here like a lot of the charts that we've seen. If think of think of um Google, think of Amazon compression, right?

18:10 We're having consolidations, compression, pushing into those levels. And therefore, um you know, if this RSI comes down here, I would expect a bit of a bounce and the next move up should take out this high. So, uh, right now to get that RSI trending back towards the upside, price must reclaim the orange line, 84,35. That's the number to beat. You do have again the moving average support.

18:31 So, the 9 and 18 EMA on the daily is a good one to look at for short-term bounce zones, right? So, here you lose it temporarily, but not for long, and you recapture it. And this is uh supported with these FIBs from the local low to the local high over here. That's why I say maybe maybe you sweep down into like $81,000, but it will probably get um brought up once again for that final final push up.

18:56 Um because this is an expanding um wedge over here that you have, right? So you can see that one more move up, you know, could take you into the top of that wedge and then you're going to be looking for a deeper correction down. And this is where again, I'll just quickly uh draw a circle over there. this deeper correction down lines up with all these things that we're looking at over here as your high probability buy zone later on if you get that deep flush.

19:19 Right. All right. But what if you don't get the deep flush? That's why I'm saying you got to have a little bit of exposure on the table. So liquidity is actually stronger above price than below. You can clearly see it by the strong yellow band over there. Again, just supporting the possibility that this open interest has been flushed and you might just get one more run towards the upside before finally putting in that local top.

19:39 So, we can move into the altcoins. Let me know in the comments. Um, if there is anything in particular that you want to have a look at, of course, we'll go over some of the trades that we have and what to do with those. Uh, most of them are up, one or two of them are down. Um, and we'll we'll talk about how to manage the risk around that. A quick mention as well for those of you that watched the video yesterday, I I explained how the points work on variational.

20:03 There's a link over here. um you know you got a little bit more time that they do the airdrop um of your points in 1 hour and six or one day 16 hours it's every Friday right every Friday you'll get your points air dropped over there so if you go trade there if you do swaps if you do trades um so perpetual trades and normal swaps you'll be rewarded in the form of points currently priced at about $30 per point okay um so good good opportunity for those of you that are already trading if you want to take advantage of that

20:34 all right let's move on. So, moving on to pump. Look, um, if I look at the daily, it removes a lot of the noise. It was a very strong candle that happened yesterday. So, I have no reason to close this trade. Uh, in fact, I think there's a good chance that this will close green today. Just like every day, Asia sells off. London kind of holds it down there and then the US pushes price back towards the upside when the US markets open, especially considering the confluence of what's happening in the trady market right on

21:03 that critical point. And if the 10 and 30 yield come down over the course of today, that could be a really positive sign to just bring a little bit of liquidity back into those markets, get things moving back towards the upside. That should take crypto with kind of like a tailwind, right? Of course, if those yields keep pushing up, that's going to be a headwind as opposed to um a tailwind.

21:21 All right, AA also long and strong continuing to hold this. Again, nowhere near the position size that I want because I've scaled or orders all the way down to I think like 58 or something at the range low in the event that we get a flush. But this is a longerterm hold. No changes over there. We're seeing a nice push up over here on ponds testing into the 50% level.

21:39 This has got a lot of work to do and this is the one that I question for myself, right? I need to see this thing break this um you know at least by mid-occtober. So, I don't know if I'm going to have the ability based on the funding rates that I'm paying to hold this this damn position open, but um because it's getting expensive, right? The if you're holding this on purp, it does become expensive.

22:01 You need this thing to move. So, I I'll reassess. I'm going to give it more time, more opportunity based on what I think the stock market could do um to give it the ability to push through. Right. Something that we saw as well um you know put in quite a large move out of nowhere was also Marscoin right so it sits around there and then suddenly out of nowhere you very quickly start to get these pumps 100% move so I think you could see something similar over there I'm not adding any more into the position my position

22:30 size is large enough but I'm still holding ponds cash pretty much the same thing right very key support you need to break this trend line probably better seen for example on the 4hourly you can see the way that it's grinding into there and of course you're going to have um that compression once again. So you should get this answer pretty soon. FET we up nicely beautifully on this chart.

22:50 Ultimately at this point you can pretty much say hard stop loss over here below these lows. This is your big candle back testing into the yellow line which is your bump and run. Of course you do not want to retrace that. Um otherwise the whole trade unwinds. So you pretty much need to turn from uh somewhere around here. We can mark off maybe a more accurate uh zone.

23:11 We have we have a little hourly fair value gap. I think it's probably already been hit though. Uh there it is. Yeah, it's already been hit over here. So line up with the key fibs as well. Let's just see. Um have we we've tested the golden pocket. Don't really want to see this hourly come below there, which is currently working on doing. But um yeah, hard stop loss down here on FET at about 1908 would be the level.

23:33 All righty. So those are some of the main positions. I left those ones up top. Um and uh okay, there has been there's an announcement obviously there's going to be a big uh lighter unlock, right? So the lighter token there's there's a lot of coins coming onto the market. This one's significant because yesterday's candle's officially taken out that as a swing low.

23:52 So you now have a break of structure, your swing low, any bounce into a lower high and you can pretty much take the rest of your profits. Um I don't think this thing will get, you know, completely destroyed. I just think that you'll probably go through profit taking now like this and you'll most likely come back down into this zone over here which is going to be just under $3.

24:11 Okay, just under $3 over there. Uh how's Hype doing? Also a bit of profit taking over here on Hype. Um still a big untested fair value gap at 6470, but I'm not in on this trade. Okay, so we'll we'll keep an eye out on that. Uh let me know in the comments, guys. What else? What else over here? Um, Marscoin we just covered that's okay. Let's look at on the lower time frame.

24:36 So Marscoin lower time frame. Look, this is the big resistance area. It needs to get through like 20. If it can get through 20, that's going to be looking good. Um, the hourly trend is definitely very much towards the upside. You have a beautiful trend line coming into play. Of course, you don't want to take out this 11506. All right? You don't want to take out that level over there.

24:55 Uh, bonk bonk is starting to position into strength, relative strength. I I mean it's still pretty wrecked overall, but relative strength considering the rest of the market is coming down and structurally this is still holding up after breaking that downtrend, starting to put in its very first higher highs and high lows. So, I'm not going to give you an entry on this now.

25:14 I think it's just for your own uh viewpoints. It's it's an idea trade that you can keep an eye on. All right, VVV. Let's have a look at VV, one of the requested charts. Um, still okay. You didn't get the you didn't get any kind of a flag breakout over here. This is continuing to drop down. So, uh, let's go on the low time frame. Let's mark this off over here.

25:34 Let's just check it out. Um, all right. Definite some distribution taking place. Right. Do we have any confluence over here? Little bit of confluence with that trend line. It's not super strong. I don't love it. Uh, what about our key fibs looking from the origin of this move? That's probably something more significant that I'd look at. I I'll look for a deeper drop down into this 50% level and then some strength to come in after reclaiming that at about 25.

26:04 So, I think you'll you'll likely come into this 25 at least stabbing a few wicks into there. All right, but it's it's not a it's not a beautiful chart for an entry right now, right? It's not that clean. We need a little bit more work from this. Um all right, we can have a look at Circle. Uh that's part of the stocks. So, and let's quickly see McDonald's while we add it.

26:23 All right, this trades fine. overnight trading slightly up. Uh it seems like you see how inversely this trades to the 10 year and 30-year yield, right? As those are moving up. McDonald's is going down. If those put in a local top now, then expect McDonald's is probably going to bounce here. All right. So, we got to keep an eye out on that one. All right.

26:44 Let's go to the uh requested chart, which was circle. I think I have it over here. Here it is. All right. circle rejecting off of the mid-range and the 200 EMA. This is of course on the daily time frame. Look, it's going to chop about, but I think that there's a good chance that these are major lows that have occurred over here. So therefore, anything that comes down um into that 60 zone is most likely a buy for circle.

27:10 Anything that comes down into here is most likely a buy zone. This is probably going to be reaccumulation for circle. All right. I wouldn't short it. I know Integrity by Design saying short circle. I wouldn't necessarily short it. Sure, if you're a low time frame trader, maybe maybe you can um get a short position in, but I don't know. I think I'd rather just look for the longs off of that range low.

27:34 Clearly a significant range low. There's a possibility that that is your uh wackoff accumulation with your spring phase, right? Throwing back down into this big volume as it runs up. So, keep an eye on that. Any sweep over there, look for the swing failure pattern if you do happen to get another sweep. So if you see something like that uh and you take out this low that again is going to be an opportunity.

27:56 All right. Amazing. Amazing. Um okay guys, also just we'll go to Nike as well. Just to quickly let you know um tomorrow I will have no YouTube video. So please don't wait around. Especially those of you that stay up late in the US, please sleep. Uh I will be on a plane. I'm going to Singapore for the conference. So, I'm not going to be available at all tomorrow and potentially not on Friday as well, but I'll let you know about that.

28:19 Just follow me on Twitter if you want to find out about Friday. I'll let you know about Friday on X. Okay. Um, let's go to what was the request over there. Let me just quickly go back up. Uh, I've lost it now. Apologies. All right. I've lost that. Oh, Nike. That was it. Nike. Let's quickly go to Nike as well and see. Uh, I've allocated, right? So, I put in a very small buy.

28:41 I'm obviously prepped to uh allocate more. There's no rush. There's no rush, right? I have a tiny tiny tiny position relative to my net worth. Um but you know, I'll be watching this. Anything around here, I'll start to look uh for you. Usually you'll get a little bit of a slow down phase before um mean reverting. So Nike still extremely extremely weak in a downtrend.

29:03 You know, you can use those super low time frames uh to look for some kind of a shift. A meaningful shift for now for me would be on those low time frames would be get above here. Okay, that could be the first meaningful shift. Start to basically get above here. At least reclaim that uh 200 EMA. So you can see that 200 EMA on the hourly is downtrending.

29:24 Usually what will happen is this will flatten out if you get above, right? You're going to see something like that and then you're going to chop through that attempting to reclaim before moving up. All right, so that's what I'd watch for on Nike. All right, so just do it. Just do it if you want to. Uh, all right, guys. What else? What else? AA. We've done Astera.

29:47 We've been through Aster over there. Tibber. We'll have a look at Tibber. Let's quickly go to Tibber. Tibbr. Um, all right. It's this one over here. Tibber all the way on the bottom. Man, what a brutal rejection and sell off. At least that that on the hourly, even the daily. Oh my gosh, that looks terrible. Uh, look, it's not it's not this could be an illquid coin.

30:12 So, I unfortunately I don't have um all the information on this. If it doesn't look like this on other exchanges, it's probably fine. Maybe it's just a messy mass liquidation over here at which point I would say it's actually bullish. Let I'll have a look. Let's have a look on another exchange over here and just see. Let's go to um don't they have like Binance or something?

30:32 USDT? I guess we'll have to look at WEX. That's that's going to be the next option over here. So, let's look at WEX. Put those next to each other. Does it have that same daily? It does. Um, this one looks very different. This is clearly an illquid coin. It's very hard for me to come comment on something like this. I would say if this wick is not represented across other exchanges, it's actually bullish.

30:53 Um, and you could probably have stops down at like 26. But if this is across all exchanges, I don't know. It's it's illquid, right? It has this kind of like cup and handle look over here to it. But guys, I'm sorry I can't comment too much on this because because of that wick over there is throwing me off a lot. All right, useless. Let's have a look at useless.

31:14 Uh useless, the meme coin, I think it was coming down slightly if I'm not mistaken. It's in a tricky spot over here because that was quite a strong candle that came down on Monday and now you're consolidating at those lows. So, this can easily fall through. I wouldn't chase price over here. uh if you if you want allocation into this, you got to utilize the low time frame to at least flip that back into an uptrend like more regime like this, right?

31:36 Then you can start to to get a position in and hope that that trend continues. Um otherwise, I would just be treating this as rangebound and you can just reassess with any kind of pullback. Good chance that you come down here to like 1879. All right, 1879. All right, we've done ponds. We've had a look at that uh render. We can have a look at render.

32:00 Let's go on the daily for render. All right. Kind of in no man's land. Honestly, a lot of these things are in no man's land. Um I don't know. Are these lows going to be safe? That's the question. So major resistance overhead. If Bitcoin rallies to like 92, you're probably going to see render trade up to about this 270 region, which is going to become huge resistance.

32:20 But you're sitting right in the mid-range. If you're treating the white line as the range low, the top over here as the range high. This is approximately the mid-range. You probably need to hold that for a couple more days or weeks before you can start to look at a bigger move up. But there's no entry on this right now for render. All right, for those of you that are looking for a free hit, um, you know, not life-changing wealth, but still free money, $25 bonus, the link over here to Kulchi, trade $50 in per get $25

32:48 and that you'll be entered into the $500 giveaway, which is I think it's once a week. Um, so here's Culture. You can of course go to the per section and uh everything is listed over here for you. All right, Q&T. Let's quickly check out Q&T. All right, Q& still sitting at those lows. I I feel like we get this one often. Am I on the right one? Just correct me if I'm on the right one.

33:18 This is This is uh Q&T on NASDAQ. Surely there must be a crypto one. This is in in a straight downtrend. I'll try it again. Q& USDT. Maybe it's this one, right? Um Q& one that I was giving you. Okay, this one looks very different. Uh let's see the weekly. Powerful move. Yeah, I mean super powerful move. Weekly starting to turn green again. Man, you're going to I don't know if you if it's a good idea to to chase this, but maybe assuming you're already in on this position.

33:51 Um, worth holding, man. Tough, tough, tough. When you if you're up a lot and you took this position, look, it's respecting this trend line. I guess just monitor that. If you start to break down this trend, then things can unwind quickly. Otherwise, yeah, we'll just hold the long, but I wouldn't enter into a new trade over here. All righty. Okay, guys.

34:16 Let's leave it at that. We've been through a whole lot. Thank you so much for joining. Um, so I will see all of you potentially on Friday. Otherwise, it's going to be on Monday and I will be in Singapore. If you're coming to Singapore, let me know in the comments. Let me know in the comments below. I'd love to know if any of you are going to be in Singapore. Um, if not, I'll see the rest of you on the tube on YouTube. Cheers for now.