Roughly 162.7 SOL — about $20,000 at today's ~$120 price — could be enough to retire by 2030 or sooner, if Solana merely holds its current ~11% of the $164 trillion tokenization market, yielding a 256x to about $30,720 per SOL and $5 million for a 4%-rule retirement income of ~$200,000/year. This assumes multiple chains win tokenization, not just Solana, and the timeline could slip to 2028, 2035, or never.
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00:00 And you know that the people that are my age in this industry, 40 years of experience on Wall Street are going to be using Salana for the backbone of real world asset tokenization. >> How much Solana realistically do I need to retire by 2030 or sooner? Let's actually do the math. And with the SEC allowing the tokenization of the stock market, >> the regulatory world, tokenization, >> meaning the tokenization of US equities and bonds and real estate moving on the blockchain, moving into crypto for the first time in
00:33 history and Solana absorbing a mass amount of capital in that transition. Just how big could the price of Solana grow to be? I'm not a financial adviser. I cannot see the future. I'm just sharing my journey in crypto. what works for me. Click subscribe to Altcoin Daily for one video per day keeping you informed. And to understand where the price of one Solana could be by 2030 to then determine how many we need to retire, let's first understand the fundamentals.
01:02 So number one, investing in Solana is investing in the mega trend of tokenization is the thesis. Sana hits the mega trend. Solana's RWA ecosystem, realworld asset ecosystem, meaning tokenization, has again hit a new all-time high. In fact, we're seeing the entire global market of tokenization ever since mid 2025 really start to explode. We see primarily US Treasury debt, commodities, stocks, and even some real estate, the major assets that are being brought on chain.
01:39 And of course though if you want to include stable coins meaning tokenizing the US dollar that's the major mover but tokenization of the US dollar has been happening for eight plus years. The tokenization of the global equities market and the real estate market which is hundreds of trillions that's just started. Sana just hit this major milestone. But how does this compare to other blockchains?
02:01 I personally believe the winner of the tokenization race has not been chosen yet. But we are seeing clear blockchains break away from the pack. So actually comparing Ethereum right now is still the main winner for tokenization. BNB chain is second and Solana is a very close third. Meaning this metric on its own tells me that he actually want to be betting maybe on all three.
02:26 Ethereum, BNB chain, Solana. That's number one. Number two, it tells me Solana still has room to grow, right? Big reason Ethereum's up here is because the they're winning the stable coin race, but the stock market in its full hundreds of trillions of dollars form is still up for any chain. And number three, let's check back on these numbers as the year, as next year, as the cycle develops.
02:49 Click subscribe to altcoin daily. We will be smarter investors. We'll actually keep tabs on the growth and the data. And as of this month, more fundamentals are improving. Solana has had the highest quarterly DEX volume for the past eight quarters, meaning that Solana is beating Ethereum in Binance Smart Chain and the Ethereum L2s as the blockchain of choice to actually trade on.
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03:45 Pay 10% less in trading fees when you sign up through Altcoin Daily's link and grab a $25 bonus when you deposit your first 100. Take advantage of the opportunities linked down below, meaning that Solana is beating Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain and the Ethereum L2s as the blockchain of choice to actually trade on and how this affects you. The more trading or the more usage on a network, the more fees that drives, the more revenue that goes to, which means the more value back to Solana holders.
04:19 This interview on CNBC from Solana Foundation head LiyLoo, she gave this interview right around here. Think of the growth we've seen, especially on Solana since then. But this interview was right around here. Solana was used then. Solana is a whole lot more used now. Let's watch then react. >> Give us your your forecast for Salana not only for the end of this year but for the end of next year as well.
04:46 >> Uh so I think in terms of um Salana's usage uh we are already the most used chain. Uh and that's not even uh by a little bit Salana uh throughout 2025 is more used than the entire rest of the industry combined times 2 to three. So Salana is already the most adopted blockchain. Uh and when you think about uh value creation for blockchains outside of Bitcoin, when you think about the infrastructure blockchains and how they create value, what it is is like any other tech platform, there's usage which results in fee
05:19 revenue which results in because you know these networks are userowned infrastructure uh that that fee revenue ends up uh going back to token holders at the end of the day. So for everything outside of Bitcoin, uh what really matters uh is revenue and revenue comes from usage. And in that sense, even though blockchain can be a little bit confusing for folks, uh uh sometimes at the end of the day, it actually comes back to uh like many other uh tech platforms, users means usage means fees means value.
05:53 >> We also understand that Solana is faster and cheaper. This is sort of obvious, but it's uh another narrative that institutions in big money can easily understand. Solana is faster and cheaper. We can look at the real numbers. Solana's transactions per second are 95x higher than Ethereum's transactions per second. That's where it is right now. And in theory, Solana's max theoretical TPS is 273x higher than Ethereum's max theoretical TPS, which is around 238.
06:24 Also, if the entire stock market, the US equities market, maybe even the real estate market is going to be on chain, you want those transactions in in seconds, not minutes. Solana's finality is 98.33% shorter than Ethereum's finality. Also, Solana's Alpenlow upgrade is currently in test net. This is going to target a 150 millisecond finality. So, it's coming.
06:54 It's in test net now, but mainet is coming and it's going to target 150 millisecond finality against the current 12.8 second finality. If you're tokenizing the stock market, you want whether they choose Solana or not, I'm saying narrative-wise, this is a big reason for big money to understand the value of Solana and use Solana. But does this translate to price go up?
07:18 If it's faster, if it's cheaper, even if it's being used, does this translate to price go up? Well, price is supply and demand. And if we're looking at just supply, the mainstream media doesn't share this with you. I share this with you. I keep you informed on this. There's another big upgrade that has passed. It's called a double disinflation to reduce the inflation schedule by increasing the disinflation, which makes it more scarce.
07:48 Increasing the scarcity rate from the current 15% to now -30%. Price is supply and demand. And this upgrade affects the supply. Tokenization affects the demand. And to explain what this changed for you, how this changed the supply schedule, Solana expert Mert explains on the Paul Baron podcast. Watch this, then I'll react. >> The double disinflation.
08:14 This of course the threshold has been met. Uh what comes next? >> Basically what it does is Salana already has a token issuance curve and that token issuance curve is deflationary obviously, right? So the amount of coins being issued reduces over time in line with a predetermined curve. And what this proposal does is it speeds up that curve by 2x. Right?
08:39 So to get to the terminal inflation rate of Salana now will take half the time. >> So point is Solana validators back proposal to burn 14x more soul daily in speed of disinflation. Soul is becoming more scarce. All while demand for tokenization which Solana is taking a significant piece of is clearly picking up. So what could that do for price and then what would that mean for how much soul I need to realistically retire by 2030 or sooner?
09:11 Well, I think we should assume that Solana will not be the main winner. There will be multiple winners. I'm bullish on Ethereum, right? I think a lot of you saw my video how to retire on Ethereum by 2030 or sooner. And we should not assume that there will be one winner which absolutely takes all. So in today's video, let's do the safe assumption, right?
09:32 Altcoin Daily tries to we're not going to just give you the hype. We'll give you try to be realistic, but let's just assume Solana doesn't gain any more traction than this is about 11%. It has about 11% of the total tokenization market right now. Let's say ETH continues to get bigger. Other chains continue to continues to get bigger, but Solana keeps about 11% of the market.
09:57 Now, what's the market? The market is the $164 trillion equities market. You can also include the bonds and the real estate. But again, just to underpromise and overd deliver, let's just look at the equities. If Solana can take 11% of this market, what does that mean? Well, 11% of 164 trillion is about $18 trillion. Right now, Solana's market cap is only about $70 billion.
10:24 So, how much of an X increase would that be? If Sana just captures 11% of the tokenization market, that's a $256X per soul. Right now, one soul, let's just say, is going for $120 per coin. Well, a 256x would bring the price of one soul to about $30,720 per coin. Again, if that captures just 11% of the total equities market, and by the way, doesn't have to happen by 2030, maybe it doesn't happen till 2035, maybe happens in 2028, maybe it never happens, right?
11:04 I'm not telling you to go all in. I'm just saying there's a chance. Well, if one Solano reaches about $30,720 per coin, we remember in my video, how to retire on Ethereum by by 2030 or sooner, we looked at the number $5 million. You need $5 million for the 4% rule to comfortably, and I overplayed this one. Many, you yelled at me saying, "I don't even need 5 million."
11:28 But if you had it, you'd be able to comfortably withdraw about $200,000 per year and have an income of 200k per year in your retirement. And how much Solana would you need to reach that number? If Solana reaches $30,720 per coin and you need $5 million, let's be sure. $5 million to retire. You need 162.7 Solana today to retire comfortably by 2030. Based on today's prices, that's about $20,000 in Solana today to retire by 2030.
12:05 And then, of course, if you want to stake it and get about 5% on your principal. You don't even have to sell that Solana. And this is not a sponsored thing. I personally there's many many platforms you can you can use. I use Marinade to stake mine. Again, not sponsored. I'm just saying if you want to retire, you have you should stake it. That's passive income.
12:23 That is crucial. Passive income is crucial for retirement. So, we looked at Ethereum. We looked at Solana. Name one more coin I should do a video on. How much of that coin do I need to retire? Most comments wins. See you tomorrow.