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00:00 Happy FOMC day if you're celebrating today. I'm not really expecting too much from this event today. We know that there is a 90.6% chance that Kevin Warsh is not increasing rates today. There's also a 90.6% chance that he's not going to say anything today because the guy basically says nothing. So, I'm not holding my breath that it's going to be a big FOMC event, but I think we have to cover it.
00:22 There's one minute to go until the announcement. Let's watch Bitcoin on the three-minute chart while the announcement is coming out. This is the Bitcoin on the three-minute chart, not moving. Looks like it's dying. Let me just refresh my page in case there's something wrong here. Okay, let's go. Let's go. Okay, we've had, I'm watching it on the three-minute chart.
00:34 Is the announcement out yet? No, there's about 60 seconds until the FOMC announcement is out. Will he raise? Will he not raise? I read from Kabisi that they say it's going to be a hawkish pause. Let's see. Is it going to be a hawkish pause? We'll know in about 30 seconds. So 29, 28. Guys, welcome, welcome. If you're new here, my name is Cryptomanran.
00:54 I'm here every single day bringing you crypto love and crypto wisdom, covering all the big events. And this is a big event. Well, is it a big event? I don't know. Is there anything happening yet? Okay. The decisions should be out and there's some movement with Bitcoin. Bitcoin likes what it sees. Doesn't like what it sees. Doesn't like what it sees.
01:16 Likes what it sees. Let's go to 247 Newswire and just see what we're getting from the FOMC. 247 Newswire on Twitter is the fastest newswire in the world. Let's have a look here. Let's see what they reported. Fed holds rate. Okay. I mean, duh. We knew they were going to hold rates at 3.754%. What else can you tell us? What else can you tell us around that?
01:39 I'm getting, let's have a look here. So, Fed is, Fed held rates steady. Let's quickly read what changes. The Federal Open Market Committee approved the following statement for release. The committee decided to maintain the target range. Remember the last one, they raised for the Fed's fund rate by a nothing but to see in support of blah, blah. Economic activity is expanding at a, instead of solid, they said strong pace.
02:04 So economic activity is expanding at a strong pace. While uncertainty remains elevated, owing in part to geopolitical developments. Domestic spending has been resilient. Productivity growth is strong and capital investment is robust. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, blah, blah. Inflation remains elevated and they said that today's policy action, this was last time, the accumulation of more information will help the committee determine policy stance appropriate to ensure timely return of inflation to
02:28 the Fed's 2% goal. Voting against the monetary policy action were Lisa Dook, Beth M. Hammock, who preferred to raise the target rate by a quarter percentage point. In summary, and it's, I mean, everything about Kevin Warsh is in summary because it's all like, in summary, it's all like very, very small. It's a very summarized statement. Nothing really, they kept the rates standard.
02:56 Two of the Fed officials wanted to increase rates and didn't, and obviously didn't. So you have two what they call descents and I guess we got what Kabisi called the hawkish pause. What is the hawkish pause? It's when the Fed holds rates. The Fed will hold rates unchanged but lay the groundwork for a December hike. Now we've just had the raise. Now let's look at, quickly look at, so I haven't touched this.
03:20 Okay, so now let's refresh this and see what it says for December. 80% chance of a raise in December, which is interesting because we're going to have the midterms now. Midterms happen in three, in four days, five days. The midterms are early next week. It looks like, I mean, right now it looks like it's a, there's a Democrat clean sweep on the table.
03:40 67% chance that the Democrats win both the House and the Senate. I think that Warsh is looking at, I mean, PCE and, basically all the inflations, right? So like all the different inflations. But all the inflation's on the rise. Obviously inflation's on the rise when you have the wars happening and you've got, look at this. So Brent crude oil broke out, now at $116 a barrel.
04:04 This is an election game. So the Brent crude oil is an election game that the Iranians and everybody else will play just before the elections to get Trump out of power. So imagine you're going into elections on an oil breakout. Oil has not been higher since June 2022. So you can see that this is a game that's basically being played pre-elections.
04:31 The big question is what happens after election. So like you almost want to think about this election push as both sides exercising the muscle that they have, the maximum muscle that they have, before election day and then after like they run out of muscle, there's elections, etcetera. Speaking of elections, holy moly, let's talk about the Brazilian election.
04:53 So you remember that there were two candidates, there was Lula and Bolsonaro. And Lula won the elections today. Bolsonaro was, steps into a private jet in Miami after President Trump approved his entry into the United States. Why? Because Lula and, Moray, who's, who's the head justice there, effectively, or the, yeah, I think he's the head of the police, the head justice there.
05:23 He basically, they said that Bolsonaro must hand in his passports. That's what usually happens just before they arrest you. Bear in mind, his dad has been arrested for challenging the elections and basically disrupting democracy. So he fled to Miami. He's actually, he's in Florida at the moment. And right now we've got the Israeli elections which are happening.
05:38 I mean, not like with the Israeli elections, let me quickly find it. I think as far as I know, the last time that I checked, there was no winner there. And now they're going to have to go into coalition discussions, which in Israel is like a really, really normal thing. Like every, every elections that they have is, it just basically goes into coalition announcements, etcetera.
06:01 And usually there's multiple votes, etcetera. So that's where we are. I am watching multiple screens here. We are going to be joined by Dylan and Degen Dave who are going to Degen trade with us. Tomorrow we've got PCE results expected. PCE results are expected tomorrow and they are expected. Andre, what is the expectation tomorrow? 3.6. That's my 3.6 and last time 3.4.
06:22 So inflation increasing, obviously inflation increasing, oil up, inflation up. Easy mathematics. Don't have to be a genius to work it out. What we know is from what we know from previous FOMC's is that if Bitcoin goes up into the FOMC, it drops after the FOMC. If it goes down, it basically goes up after the FOMC. So, where are we now? Did we go up or down into the FOMC?
06:53 Let's look at the 4-hour chart. We went up into the FOMC, up. So, that means that if the trend holds, the logic is down. I want to also test this thing over here. There's this one that I also wanted to test. So, what is this? It's the FOMC announcement creates two manipulations before the real move happens. Two fake moves, the top trader. So, the manipulation one goes up and down and then it goes up and then it goes down.
07:22 Okay. Well, let's wait and see how that actually plays out. Right now, Bitcoin is basically telling you this is exactly what I expected. So, if you look at when the announcement came out here and Bitcoin was at 80,700. It went up to 81,000. It came back down. So, they're waiting for Warsh to speak. I don't know why they're waiting for Warsh to speak.
07:40 The guy doesn't talk much. He's not going to say anything. Like, he's not going to say anything. Dude is not going to say anything. You know that. He's going to be short and sweet. He's going to say, good day. He's not going to say, probably say good afternoon. He's not going to say that. Yeah, people questioning whether, whether I abandon my correction thesis.
08:01 No, I'm not. I haven't abandoned my correction thesis. If we go up above this level over here, if we go up above this level over here, which is 85,000, then I will abandon my, I will semi-abandon my correction thesis. If we go above 87,000, I will totally abandon my correction thesis. Until then. I mean, I don't want to be the bearer of bad news, but you can kind of see that this is a lower high and then there's another lower high here and then, you know, it's, I mean, it's kind of following a beautiful, line
08:29 down here. Just have a look here. So, that's beautiful trend downwards. It could bounce up. There's no guarantees here. I just right now, I guess it all comes back to how much you're invested. And what I mean by that is I'm 93, 94% invested in the market. Like for me, the last six or 7% that I have in cash, I want to deploy only if there are bargains, right?
08:55 So I don't want to go and buy retail prices. If there's a bargain, I'll buy something on sale. That's the way that I see it. So like for you, if you're not invested or if you got less than 50% invested, yeah, I would start investing now. But for me, I'm looking for bargains. So I'm waiting for the correction, right? Let's talk about some other things that have basically been happening.
09:15 So big earnings week. This week there's actually Google earnings today. We had SK Hynix this morning. They did very well. So like if you look at SK Hynix, they did super, super well. SK and they basically restored the, here we go. They basically restored everybody's faith in AI, up 13% today on their results. Very, very strong results. I actually had the results for us here for us to look at.
09:43 So they, $80 billion in a quarter. Holy moly. Okay. Operating profit 62 billion versus 58 billion. Can you trade this on Variational? I think you can. Do you guys feel like mining another, another exchange like at the beginning? Tell Johnny to put up a TX Flow. Put up TX Flow first. Show you guys how you can make some free money here. Meanwhile, let's look at your Anthropic trading at 1.8 trillion.
10:11 SK Hynix, SK. Yeah, it is. You can trade it here. Up, up, holy moly. Yeah, I mean it's up a lot today. It's up a lot today. As it relates to my positions, as you can see, I'm doing exactly well as I predicted. Every single one of my positions is down. Don't worry. I will be back. You'll see, I'm not going to close any of these positions and they're all going to come back into profit.
10:38 All right. We are waiting for Warsh to speak. Not Powell, Warsh. Warsh to speak. Powell used to speak. He doesn't speak anymore. Yeah. What else can I tell you? Let's quickly go and look at some altcoins and see what's going on here. I did see some moves here. POND went up yesterday. The reason why POND went up is, I mean, it's still a complete vibecoded piece of rubbish app.
10:56 The only thing is that Robinhood actually had results yesterday. The results, not great. Not great. The Robinhood results weren't great. They promised a, or they estimated a $1.4 billion net revenue, they got 1.42. Their earnings per share was estimated at 56, they got 51. And their estimated revenue, crypto revenue was 114. And they beat the crypto revenue actually saved their assets.
11:26 You can hear Vlad actually talking about it. Good guy. Trading which is near and dear to my heart, literally, I'm wearing the vest right now. So wait, our agentic, that's the agentic trading that you're speaking about, which you did actually speak about. But let's talk about crypto of higher Gold adoption. Finally, let me get to global financial ecosystem.
11:49 So, on July 1st, just a few months ago, we launched the Robinhood Chain mainnet and in its first quarter, it's already a top five chain by volume and revenue. So far, we've seen over 100 billion in DEX volume. So that's 100 billion in decentralized exchange trading volume and over 50 million in chain fees. DeFi perpetuals, it's an interesting, innovative product, have seen solid growth on the chain as well.
12:21 So in recent weeks, we trenches bros making lots of fees. Welcome, sir. After today, after the FOMC, this is the Google earnings. I mean, let's see what Google comes out with. So earnings week, basic earnings week basically continues. Let's see what else we got in the docket today. SK Hynix, good results. We spoke about that. Oh. Oh, here's a nice story for you.
12:45 MicroStrategy is starting to pay daily dividends. So on the STRC product, the STRV product, they're starting to pay daily dividends. You get your dividends daily. Okay. Airdropped. Still the STRC is not at $100. And Michael Saylor has basically spent $2 billion buying back STRC. So, well done to everyone that voted. Congratulations. What else? What else is happening in the world of altcoins?
13:10 We are here to watch the FOMC, but as you can see, not much happening on the FOMC except elevator music. This is a good song. It is a good song. When I was younger and we used to watch German adult films, this was the music they used to play. Okay. So, you know, if you know. Let's see what Bitcoin is doing at the moment. Bitcoin is not moving. He's not.
13:34 Please, can we have movement in the FOMC because I have guests with me. Well, you know, you got to be nice when the guests are around. I have guests with me and they're going to be trading. Dylan, share your screen so we can see the one-minute chart and the 30-second chart and the 4-second chart. Uno, I'm not that bad. You know, I'm not that Degen.
13:57 I keep it civilized. I go like 45 minutes is my, I draw the line. All right. Degen Dave, is your screen also sharable? So, we can like, we can all like, we're going to trade. We're going to watch. It's going to be a festival. Yeah, it's going to be a festival. It's going to be a festival. And I heard you say rubbish coins and altcoins. I don't know which word you used.
14:20 And I like, I'm like, you called, you rang. I've got every flavor. I've got the full buffet for you guys. And Dave's got some big swing trades as well. Good, good. So, lots going on here. Okay, I can see. All right, good. So, a couple of things that we should pay attention to. It's Zcon today. Zcon is the Zcash 10-year anniversary and also a festival in, not festival, DevCon in Cancun.
14:42 I was supposed to be there, but instead I'm here with you all. Not much came out of there. Zcash, like, I mean, hasn't really moved. Andre, Andre, come here. Come here. Yeah. Okay. Andre is one of my researchers, right? And he prepared the show today and I mean he let me down big time. Like big time. Big time. Andre, because of that, I want you to sit here and I want you to present your show.
15:08 You went through all of the show till now. Here we go. Your AERO sections over here. Your VVV sections over here. Please go ahead. Go ahead, bro. Save me on AERO. Please. One second. Where do I use the, oh, you actually put a sections up. So, yeah, guys, Ran went through all the big sections that he was supposed to do today and he doesn't want to go through the same altcoins because he thinks that he already spoke about them and it wouldn't be cool to speak about them again.
15:36 Even though he has conviction in all of them and he likes all the tokens in question, which is VVV, which the other one is Cards. By the way, where's the Cards? Where do you have the Cards tab? I don't want to hear the same story. Where have the Cards tab, bro? Where's that one from? Where have the Cards? Where's the one from this morning, bro? Which is the one from?
15:54 Andre gave me alpha this morning. Andre, what alpha did you give Dylan this morning? Dylan? Yeah, they didn't speak to. Oh, we spoke to. I give KNTQ. KNTQ. Oh, you guys are late to that trade. You, they don't have leverage. I can't trade spot. I'm allergic. This is the one that I missed. And it's called KNTQ. KNTQ. I'll give you the rundown here.
16:18 It's on Hyperliquid, right? It's one of the few correct calls that Andre has ever made. So he's taking all the credit for it. What they're doing is they're launching, what's it called? Elysium, right? They're launching a Layer 2 on Hyperliquid. And so it's like the one trade that's actually gone up that he's bought. Yeah, AERO is a good one. AERO is becoming a competitor to Uniswap.
16:41 The only real competitor to Uniswap that we've seen. Like, I mean, we keep buying AERO. Hey, we keep buying. Keep buying. Okay. I like this. You know what I think we need to do? We need to look at your positions that are underwater. Look at those charts and then see where you must add. No, the ones that are underwater. I mean, I know exactly what the thesis is.
16:57 Don't worry. Come and save you. I'll show you in a second. Let's see what other altcoin have I got. Oh, let's talk about Cards. Cards. Cards is worth talking about. Right. So, Cards is the Collector Crypt. It's the tokenized Pokemon real world asset players, right? And they have their, they've had their biggest earnings week in a long time. So, this is the biggest revenue week that they've had in a long time.
17:23 But, okay, there's a catch here. Initially, they had a partnership with pump.fun. We dug under the hood and it seems like they've stopped using Cards. So, it looks like pump.fun has actually moved from Collector Crypt, dug under the hood, to Fidget. Okay. Again, I want to say that Andre was the one who discovered that. He's discovered two things this year.
17:42 That's it. Giving him a hard time, eh? Of course, I'm giving him a hard time. What else is there? There isn't really much else going on. We want white Ran. Oh, you want the white guy? Okay, tomorrow PCE and this also, by the way, a message from Andre. Tomorrow there's PCE. It's a forecast at 3.6% which is higher than 3.4%. So, we're going to wait for Warsh to speak.
18:06 Not Powell. Powell's not allowed to speak anymore. We're waiting for Warsh. New, Dylan. Dave, next move on Bitcoin. Up or down? Like next big move. Dave, go first. Big move. I'm talking about big move, Dave. Big move, man. Like, is it 95 or is it 60? Oh my gosh, those are big. That's what she said, bro. I mean, look, if we get, if we go down to 76, 77, I'd like to see the move up to 90 after that.
18:40 76, 77. Yeah. Yeah. My levels are slightly different. My levels, show you my levels. My levels say the following. Also, by the way, Andre came up with this in case you're wondering. So the first level would take us down to the 50-week moving average. That would give us 75,600. Right? Why do I say that? Because in every other bull market, once we've gone through the 50-week moving average, we don't come back.
19:12 We never go under unless we wick, we wicks here. We wicks here, but we never went under as you can see. Right? So, generally that's my next move is 75, 76. If that breaks, and I think it will break, then I'm looking for this level over here. I'm looking for this level over here, which is 72, which is the bull market support bands, which is here.
19:36 So, I'm looking for that level. It's funny. There's so much stuff in those zones that tie in with what we're talking about here. So, yeah. I mean, we're all on the same page. It just looks different, but let me give you, let me show you what my page says. My page says the following, right? You want a correction, you got to change from greed to fear.
19:51 That's basically what a correction is. Correction is not about price. It's about changing people's sentiment. Right now, we're neutral. So, we were at extreme. You see, we were here at extreme greed and now we're at neutral. So, the question is, what is it going to take this dial from 51 to 20? Because that's when the correction ends, right? Okay.
20:13 Now, the question then becomes, do I think that a measly little four grand, five grand move in Bitcoin is going to do it? Absolutely not. So, that's out of the question, right? That's out of the question. So then I say, "Okay, well what is?" And then I'd say like, "Would 72 do that?" Probably 72, 72 could have some people scared, you know? Yeah, guys will be bricking themselves at 72.
20:35 That's also the 200-day moving average, which is a massive marker for some TradFi. That's why I think 72. That's fair. I have got opinions and I have read opinions from people that said that we're going to go under 60,000. Like we're going to go and rip out those previous lows, you know? I don't believe that though. How does the background that says crypto banter?
21:01 Can you make it black or is it like impossible? I just like the blues is in my eyes like squint. You don't have to do it now though. You don't have to do it now. Yeah. Let's see. Let's see what else can we say. Dylan, have you traded on Variational? I haven't. Sir, very good DEX. I tell you that much. But if you want better DEX, I'll give you one now.
21:22 Did Johnny do what we asked him to do? Let me just, Johnny, let's see. Let's see if Johnny says. I messaged him, but I think this, I'll show you guys where you can make some money today. Today, I'll teach you guys how to make money. Free money. Okay. In the meantime, here we are waiting for the Fed, listening to elevator music. Quite relaxing. Okay, so that's coming.
21:49 Don't worry, he'll be here in 10 minutes. You got 10 before this thing starts. Can you, at the beginning of your stream, you spoke about a false move that you see in FOMC? Can you bring that up again? Every single time, sir. Where is my chart here? Here's my chart. So, just bring that up again. So, is it a false move on the day that you're looking for?
22:05 What was that? What does that go? Every day. So, no, if you go, if you take the move the like couple days before goes to FOMC, it goes exact opposite. So, couple days before, this is daily, I think. This is a daily chart. So every candle is a day. So if you look at if we were going up for before, we go down. If we were going up before, we go down.
22:24 If we were going up before, we go down. This is on the daily. Okay. So let's go to our daily if the pattern holds. I don't think the pattern is going to hold. We've been going down. So maybe we'll go up. Then maybe my thesis thing must be finished. I mean, what is up, though? How up? What are we talking about? Multi-day move higher. Yeah, multi-day.
22:49 You see this? It's all days. We're talking about this is all days, bro. Every candle is a day. So, we've got like a dream long zone. I must actually check with Dave, but like when I last looked it was a sweep of 79. So, 78.5 give or take. Wipes out a lot of liquidity and then gives us a little bit of a pump there on BTC. So, this is the 2-hour. So, this is what I was talking about today.
23:14 We're a little bit bearish now, but you see these lows, these market makers come and they take this liquidity, they trap you. So, we're looking for that and that could be like a multi-day push to the upside if we get a little dip here tonight. So, that's like we got midterm elections. We have midterm elections in 5 days. Like, you got to think about all the different options about what can happen in the midterm elections for 5 days.
23:35 My trading zone is day by day, literally. Sometimes we trade for like 30 minutes, so kind of less interested. Dave's the swing trader. Yeah, he might be more interested in a longer-term play there. But yeah, in terms of a long to lock in tonight for me, 78.5 looks quite fun. I think tonight 78.5. I don't think we're getting 78.5 tonight. I don't know.
23:54 Unless we're looking at different coins. You're talking about Bitcoin. We don't know what he's going to say in the speech, right? We can't assume. He doesn't say. Okay, we do know. He's going to say nothing. He doesn't, he never says anything. Always comes out extra hawkish and then everyone always comes out and says nothing and everyone bricks themselves.
24:10 But I think they might be getting used to his nonsense. Yeah, guys, we got seven minutes. Hold on, Johnny. Okay, Johnny. Johnny. Johnny. All right. Here, let me show you. So, you know, let me show you what I was talking about while we're waiting, right? So, you know that, well, let's see what CNBC is talking about. Okay, there's no one there. Okay.
24:32 Okay. So, you know that Hyperliquid had one of the biggest airdrops of all time. Then we started farming Variational. We think that with Variational, let me just quickly find that the trade here. Are you still showing my screen? I can't see. Yeah. Okay. Let me just switch screens. So, we think that Variational is going to do, we know it's going to be doing an airdrop sometime between now and the end of the year.
24:56 And the trading fees are free, just so you know. The trading fees are free. By the way, guys, I told you that my core position would eventually break even. Here it is. It's even again, which is great because I bought a whole lot of Arweave today on another account. So, that one's now evens. So, if you trade here, you trade with zero fees and you farm points and the points are worth between 30 and 100 bucks.
25:20 So that, that's Variational. Now, there's another one of these where you can start farming points. Again, to farm points, all you have to do is actually trade. What is it and how does it work? It's called TX Flow. You're very early to this one. If you start mining now, you're part of season one. Season one gets the most points because you're the flow.
25:38 So, let me show it to you. So, there's a link over bottom. Bottom. Move it to the top, bro. Okay. It's called TX Flow. You come in there, you put the code banter, and you get a points boost. You can trade any asset here. You can trade real world assets, etcetera, etcetera. It's one of the best DEXes that I've seen. If you farm this, you're starting to get points immediately.
26:00 Like, I got 4,000 points last week. If the points turn out to be worth anything, let me give you a points multiplier just so that you can understand like how good the points are. So let me show you this. Show you how good the points are here. So remember you got to start farming these things early. If it comes out at a billion FDV, which is probably like where it would come out, you're getting $6.34 per point.
26:21 Okay, that's $6.34 per point. I got 4,000 points last week, which means in just my small trading, I got $25,000 worth of points potentially. So, I don't know. If you want, if you're looking to farm or to trade, there's a link that below, use TX, use our link because then you get the points kicker. What else? While, while we're waiting, because we are waiting for Kevin Warsh, and we are waiting for Bitcoin and Bitcoin is waiting for Kevin Warsh and Andre is shooting Instagram videos here.
26:50 Andre, let's get an alt entry from Dave. Let's get a trade set up from Dave and then we'll talk about set up in the terminal. Yeah, you're going to have to bring Dave's screen up there. That's mine. And then we can talk about the terminal. We preset some, our AI here is not working so well. Hold on. Our hottest AI is not working so well. We have to just, I've got to switch to the screen.
27:18 Okay. You can switch. Okay. Degen Dave screen. Let's see what it looks like. That's Jesus Ding. Bro, bro, our audience, my audience here, they don't know how to do so many lines on. We don't know how to do so many lines, bro. Look, I'm looking if we get some kind of crazy dump first and we sweep those lows that Dylan's talking about. I, I've got eyes on Injective.
27:44 We've got a point of control at 769. We got a 50-day moving average right below that. And we also have a 382 fib from the MAX extension which again there's a lot of talk there. But yeah, just ultimately looking for, you know, whatever. Have you ever seen a chart like this, bro? This is insane. What the heck is going on here? Jeez, I know it looks like magnificent.
28:12 You know when you drop your laptop and the liquid leaks all over the screen and then look, it's all different colors. That's what it looks like, bro. Is that a chart? This, the TA guys, the purists, they get like froth at the mouth when they see this stuff. And the OCD people, my OCD is out of control. I'm reaching for my silver balls that I can't find here.
28:29 My OCD is going crazy. What the heck is this? Now's the perfect time. Okay, so Dave's got a setup on Injective. Uncle, is Injective still a thing or is it going to zero? It is a thing. Yeah, it is a thing. It is a thing. Definitely a thing. You can still buy it. Yeah, you can still buy it. I mean, yeah, this is your cheapest. Yeah, there's some institutional stuff behind this.
28:49 But yeah, look, if there's a dip, I'm going to grab a long on this one. If there's, bring me my other laptop there. Bring me the other laptop. I want to try something. Bring me, yeah. Just bring, give, bring me the other laptop there on top of the Formula 1 book. Just, yeah. Give it to, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. That's it. Bring, give it to me. Bring me that.
29:10 I'm going to drop it quickly and see if this, if I break the screen, if it looks like yours. Okay. Ready, steady. Okay. Bring it here. I'm joking. It was a book. Let's see. Yeah. Dylan, I've got a cap for you, bro. Cap. I got a cap for you. Hold on. What do we got? I feel like it's a trick. What's it say? I can't trade. Trade bigger. I like that.
29:44 I got a nice play. Is it from? Do you want one of these? Yes, please. Open a Kalshi. Open a Kalshi account now. But you're not in the States. I bet on VVV. No, but you can do, you can use perp, bro. And if you sign up with a perp account, you get a cap like this. Anyone, anyone that signs up tonight gets a cap like this. I'll make sure, I haven't pre-approved this from Kalshi, but anyone that signs up using this link tonight.
30:11 I will send you a cap like this. I don't know how you wear this cap because it's big. Okay. You just got to be more bullish and you have to have a big ego and then it will fit. It's nice. Yeah, it's fine. Just be more confident. It's more like for like when you're going to the beach and you really don't want to get burnt. This is what to think. Hold on.
30:31 Someone just sent me a thing. Josh just sent me a thing that says the most insane chart he's ever seen. Oh, that he's talking about the Chart Hackers chart. He's talking about Degen Dave's chart. Dylan, just show us your art again. Just show us your chart again. What the heck is that? That is science in there. That's all science. So, yeah, we got a blue reversal dot here on the oscillator.
30:50 We got the VWAP as resistance. Looking for the sweep of the 618, possibly the 50 here with Monero. Scooping up a long at 550. Okay, we're going to be live with. Do you understand what he just said to you? Not a chance. Basically, just Dave, give the entry there. What's the number? What's the buy zone? 550, guys. We're full. 550. 550 buy Injective.
31:13 Lock it in. 5% stop. Hold on. Is the Fed not live? Are they late for their own meeting? They're live. Oh, they are live. So, where's the link? Okay, here's the link. Oh, here he is. Fantastic. All right, here they come. So, which, where should I watch it? Let's watch it here. You know what we should do? We should actually break up the screen like we always do as a service to the people.
31:34 We should, we have the talk here. We have the talk here. He's not talking yet. So, don't worry. You haven't missed anything. Okay. And let's put the screen like that. And then we must get some three-minute charts going so we can all degenerate the three-minute chart. The first thing in your chart is he going to say good, good day or what is he going to say?
32:01 Good day. Told you this morning the FOMC decided to maintain the target rate for the federal funds rate at 3 and 3/4 to 4%. In support of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. Economic activity is expanding at a strong pace. While uncertainty remains, owing in part to geopolitical developments, domestic spending has been resilient, productivity growth is strong, and capital investment robust.
32:28 Job gains have kept pace with the workforce and the unemployment rate has changed little, but inflation remains elevated. The committee believes that the accumulation of more information will help it determine the policy stance appropriate to ensure a timely return of inflation to the 2% goal. The committee will deliver price stability. At each policy meeting, my colleagues and I assess the economy by looking out the window.
33:04 It's what we call interrogating reality to gauge what's really going on. It's got a good, not a task that has grown easier. So what exactly do we observe? Economic growth has strengthened. The GDP increase in the first half of this year was revised up from an earlier estimate of 1.8% up to 2.4%. And the third quarter appears to have brought an even more rapid advance led by healthy consumer spending likely running above 3% growth and business investment, investment likely rising at about a double-digit pace.
33:43 Capital expenditures are at a historically high share of GDP. High-tech investment is leading the acceleration, but there's also been a broadening in other C categories, and these trends bear watching. What about the jobless rate? The jobless rate is lower than a year ago, and payroll growth is noticeably above last year's pace. The four-week moving average of unemployment insurance claims continues to run at the lowest level in generations.
34:11 So on the employment side of the Fed's dual mandate, conditions are quite positive. And yet Americans, of course, are still dealing with inflation that has been running above the committee's objective for close to six years. It's our responsibility to get inflation down. That's the reason the FOMC's discussion over the last couple of days focused mainly on the price stability side of our remit.
34:45 Since our policy action in September, we have started to see some changes in financial and credit conditions. Can you imagine how boring their events are? They just talk about inflation for like 3 days. Much as we would expect, market participants are becoming somewhat more discerning in their capital allocations. And while overall financial conditions are tighter, I'm unwilling and unable to call them tight.
35:10 But broadly, these developments go in the direction of achieving a longer, more durable period of economic growth and price stability. Over the last couple of days, the committee had a good discussion of the changes in the economic and financial landscape that marked this inter-meeting period. We discussed geopolitical developments and fast-moving changes in technology.
35:37 We observed but were not surprised that financial markets showed bouts of volatility and shifting correlations. So as we widen the frame to survey the broad economic and financial picture, real activity is clearly pointing in the right direction. That's good news. But inflation is too high. Energy and related prices have moved higher again in recent weeks.
36:00 And our job is to ensure that relative price changes in some sectors do not broaden out across the economy and that inflation expectations remain as they are anchored. While these uncertainties are real, there's no lack of clarity in our purpose at the Fed. Since becoming chairman just 5 months ago, I've been honored to work with FOMC policymakers who are unambiguous in their commitment to stable prices.
36:35 We've made clear our readiness to act as circumstances require and we have shown our willingness to act. Basically, the information we receive over the coming period will help us determine where we want policy to be. And at every turn, good or bad, our job is to get monetary policy right. And that's exactly what we're doing. Now, with this objective in mind, we've decided on a change in our FOMC schedule starting next fall.
37:03 Whoa. We believe eight meetings per year is the right number for the FOMC. But in 2027, one meeting will focus exclusively on broad monetary policy strategy with neither a vote on the federal funds rate nor a policy statement anticipated. The rest will be regular FOMC policy setting meetings. And I expect that in 2028, we'll have two meetings dedicated to discussions of strategy and six for setting policy.
37:32 Now, what's the reasoning behind this change? To me, it's quite straightforward. Getting policy right involves assessing near-term developments at timely, regular, and information-rich intervals. But it's equally important we reserve time and space as an intellectually diverse group for strategic deliberations, for thinking anew about big questions, looking out over longer time horizons, focusing as I say on the left side of the decimal point.
38:11 I believe the setting of the meeting schedule and agenda is more than some administrative detail. It's an institutional choice affecting the nature and the quality of our deliberations and ultimately the wisdom of our decisions. It's yet another change to get the conduct of monetary policy on the right track. I appreciate your attention this afternoon.
38:30 Now, my time is yours and I welcome your questions. I love his script writing. He's got George Bush's old script writer writing for Kobe Smith with the New York Times. There's been essentially no progress toward the 2% inflation target. The labor market remains stable as you suggested in your opening statement and most of your colleagues seem to be on board with raising rates in December.
38:52 So why not just raise rates today? So it's a good question. I will say I read your stories the last day or two, so I must admit I sort of saw, saw that question coming. What I said in my prepared statement was information coming in the coming period will help us tell us where we want to be, but I suspect you want a little more than that. So let me give it a shot.
39:17 Ensuring price stability, Colby, quashing inflation is not about some fixed, individual date on a calendar. Same way it's not about some isolated data point. If it were about those two things, this job would be easier and we wouldn't be suffering from nearly six years of inflation above target. So what's this about? It's about ensuring we have clear objectives and it's about a monetary policy strategy which might sound to your ear and others like a change from the last several years.
39:52 So let me step back. In the 5 months or so that I've been around, we've put in place what I describe as new monetary medicine. Well, what's been in that package of medicine? First thing we did when we showed up with my colleagues is we doubled down on the 2% inflation target. We said, "We own it. We're taking responsibility for it. And if you think that we're tolerating some inflation target somewhere in the twos, let us disabuse you of it."
40:24 That was the first part of this new monetary medicine. Second part is we took responsibility. No anguish of central banking here. No blaming others. It's the third thing that we've done. We laid out for you and the world our framework. I did it in Jackson Hole. Was part of the discussion the last couple days is the framework that many of my colleagues to as well.
40:46 This is how we think about how monetary policy should work. These are the transmission mechanisms and this is how we're going to deliver. Then what do we interrogate reality. We do that periodically. That's a very useful thing to do. But we don't just talk, we act. And so in September when we last met, we acted. We removed a dose of accommodation.
41:10 So what are the signposts about how this new strategy is going? Inflation compensation as measured by swaps prices, many other measures. Inflation compensation is going in the right way. Inflation expectations, the world is quite unsettled. If you'd say absent the Fed, what would have happened to expectations? They might have gone the wrong way.
41:32 They've gone the right way, too. So, I feel good about those signposts. The period right in front of us is information-rich. There is a lot that's happening in the world. My colleagues and I are keen to take notice of it. So, in this coming period, what do I think we're going to be able to do? We're going to be able to figure out what's the appropriate protocol as part of this package that we started to deliver five months ago to deliver price stability.
42:00 I'm encouraged by the progress we've made in a short period of time. But if the crux of your question is you haven't delivered yet, you haven't achieved price stability, you're right about that. But we're working on it. Wow. Thank you, Chair Warsh. So if I could, this statement says that the accumulation of more information will help the committee determine the policy stance appropriate to ensure a timely return of inflation to the 2% goal.
42:30 Does that mean that the current level of the Fed funds rate might already be the right one? Well, we got to determine the appropriate protocol with Warsh talking. If you were listening next to me in that room the last couple of days, the overwhelming consensus, the overwhelming judgment is that what we've done in this monetary medicine is starting to work some, but there's no firm conclusions.
43:02 If we had a firm conclusion about the conduct of monetary policy, we'd announce it to much fanfare today. What we decided to do was to Colby's question, take stock of where we are, evaluate what we're seeing out the window, ask ourselves whether the period right in front of us is likely to provide more clarity on the appropriate protocol. My judgment, the judgment of my overwhelming number of colleagues is that it would.
43:27 Steve, please. Mr. Chairman. Before, thanks for taking our question. Before the meeting, several members of the board and the committee went out and told us that it was going to take more time and that had a profound effect on the outlook for the funds rate. Were you involved in discussing that message with them? And if you don't mind, I'm sorry, but a protocol question.
43:56 What will be the disclosure public disclosure on the meetings where you're not going to have a statement? So, two questions. I'm sorry. So, two questions. Did you not hear the one question rule? I did, but I thought there was like a protocol thing I could do. I would, that was like a parliamentary procedure question you were asking. That didn't count.
44:15 I hesitate to indulge the second question. I fear what it would do. But let's, let me see if I can do it and not have the slippery slope among us. Your first question was about my colleagues. I've got 18 quite independent colleagues. If you were inside that room the last couple of days, you would come to believe that to be true. One way to test the independence of my colleagues is, I don't know if you've heard, Steve, but I don't submit a dot.
44:40 I don't plan on submitting a dot, but the 18 of them do to suggest somehow that I am some kind of all-knowing person sending messages out that that's not the committee of the FOMC that I know. These are serious, sober, responsible people. We had a serious, sober discussion. So that's the answer to that. On the parliamentary question, which doesn't count as a question, I'll just say this.
45:06 We've made a decision that at that strategy meeting in '27 and the two strategy meetings in '28. I do not anticipate making any policy decision, putting out a policy statement. But what might we come out with? It's not obvious yet. There's more news to come on that. The decision on the new format for the meetings is relatively new. It was a robust discussion over a couple of meetings of how to handle that as we get details of that which are still now not until next fall.
45:36 We'll be prepared to share them with you, Nicole. Hi, Nicole Gen with Barren. Thanks for taking my question. In September you mentioned that the Fed has a role in sustaining the economic progress happening in America right now and in the rising opportunities that come with it. I'm wondering if you can expand on whether you see this as a mandate and how you intend to fulfill that mandate.
45:58 So the mandate was given to us by Congress. The mandate was deliver stable prices and deliver full employment all in the context of financial stability. Now, they gave us some other homework to do on supervision and regulation and payments, but I presume you're talking about monetary policy. So, what's the best thing we can do in this environment looking at our window to deliver on that remit?
46:22 Ensure stable prices. I mentioned, I think at a prior press conference, if you were trying to do the most harm to the least well-off among us, you would let the last six years of inflation above the Fed's target, usually well above the Fed's target. You'd let that continue. So, that's the most important thing we can do as we look out the window. And that's what we plan to do.
46:46 You probably heard me say this, we will deliver price stability. No ifs, ands, or buts, and that continues to be the case. It's not saying much. Eleanor Mueller with 74 wanted to ask you about the working groups when we can expect the reports to come up and if there is anything you can preview for us whether it's on AI or data or balance sheets. Sure.
47:09 These five task forces are hard at work. I have scarcely seen anything that would constitute a final report, but I have done some periodic check-ins with them and I am impressed by the rigor of the intellectual discussions, by the seriousness of the task that we've given them. Now some of the questions that I ask to kick off the reports, they want to answer those and answer a whole range of other questions which might go to other task forces, but I'm impressed by what they're doing.
47:44 I gave them, like I told you, a year-end deadline. I think some, but not all of the groups will probably hit their deadline and turn their homework in on time. But that just begins the process by which we're going to be consuming, which is intellectually serious work. That's a catalyst for us to think anew about productivity and jobs and an inflation framework and what's the best data to help us do our job.
48:09 How to think about the balance sheet task force. These are huge intellectual investments that I think are going to bear fruits in the next policy conjunction. Unlikely to find their way into this policy juncture given the important role as consumers of these ideas that my colleagues have. But I will have one small, I previewed this when I was at an IMF meeting much to the chagrin of some of my colleagues around here on November 16th.
48:40 The productivity and jobs task force will be doing a field hearing, inviting a broad range of people who have strong views. What are the implications for jobs in the economy near-term, medium-term, long-term? Is this a productivity miracle that's going to happen or will it happen slowly? I know I for one am keenly interested in refining my own views on that question.
49:05 But that task force decided they wanted to hear from more people as part of their undertaking. I plan at attending. I might have a few words to say at the outset of that conference. I expect the conference will go three, four hours. It'll be pretty wonky stuff. I don't know how good the material will be for the likes of you and your colleagues. But it's a purpose to do a lot of listening for me to interrogate the reality in front of me.
49:26 What do experts in their fields think about this? What are the implications for the dual mandate that I referenced to your colleague? Is this going to make it harder or easier for us to achieve price stability over the next several years? I've got a good thought for you guys while I mute him. Right. This is 49 minutes of your life that you'll never get back.
49:50 It's wonderful. Exciting. James Rosen, thank you so much. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. James Rosen with Newsmax. You spoke of interrogating reality. Since reality is a no-show here today, I'm going to satisfy myself with interrogating you. You spoke earlier in your remarks here today about how your colleagues are serious and sober people who are committed to price stability.
50:15 In an event in the Oval Office on October 7 of this year, President Trump said, and I quote, "Kevin is great, but Kevin's one vote out of a board with numerous people that were put on by Obama and Biden and a couple by me. So, you have a board that would like to see the country do badly in my opinion. Do you agree with those comments?" So, James, I appreciate the question.
50:35 I'm not going to be responding to quotes from public officials. What I can tell you is my experience in five months here. We just came out of a heck of a family fight. Serious, sober discussion. I think we came to the right policy decision for this moment. And I'm honored to be here and honored to be the chairman of this group. Chairman Wel Sakapuro with Bloomberg News.
51:07 So the economy is strong, inflation is well above 2%. You're saying inflation expectations are going the right way, but surveys show that households expect inflation to remain above the Fed's goal and not just for the short term. You didn't hike today, aren't waiting for more data. I haven't really heard the clear arguments as to that decision. So do you worry that with today's decision, households may not believe your pledge to bring down inflation clearly and at sufficient speed and instead will read this
51:38 decision of holding rates steady as a sign that the central bank has in fact a soft inflation target? Yeah. So what I can do is tell you there's no soft inflation target. There's no implicit inflation target. There's a target of price stability and it's 2% as measured by PCE. It took six years to for inflation to have the effect on consumers that you reference, but I would say this, when consumers interrogate reality, they look outside their window, too.
52:12 They go to the gas station, too, and they see that prices are up. I am not going to be the guy who says that oil prices haven't gone up, and when they fill up their tank, they don't see it. And so inflation's gone up in expectations in the very near term because they're doing what we're doing, interrogating reality. But if you look out over the horizon, if you look at most, but not all, measures, what you see is households, businesses, financial markets, they have the confidence that they should have that this
52:48 central bank will deliver price stability. Edward Lawrence. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Edward Lawrence for Fox Business. So, do you see a direct line correlation between oil prices and the inflation we're seeing in the United States? And if so, how fast could inflation fall or react to falling oil prices? So, I don't want to engage in hypotheticals, but I can look out our window and see what's happened.
53:13 There had been a stable correlation between oil prices, they've moved up this year generally, and interest rates, not the interest rates that we control, but interest rates set in the market. That correlation has been quite strong until very recently. We've seen oil prices continue to move up largely due to geopolitical events. We've seen crack spreads between oil and refined products continue to stay elevated.
53:43 But what's happened? Interest rates have rolled over to the downside. I'm not a Wall Street newsletter. I'm just telling you when I look out the window over the last several months, that is what we've seen. To the extent that oil prices were to move lower, again, probably due to geopolitical events, that's something that we're going to have to interrogate.
54:10 What are the effects on the Fed's dual mandate? What are the effects on financial market prices? And what are we going to do about it? But that's a hypothetical. And in fact, if we look at financial market prices, futures prices for oil, they've moved up over the course of the last several weeks. And I can't help but take note of that, too. Claire.
54:38 Thank you. Claire Jones, Financial Times. Much of the growth that we're seeing in the US economy now and quite a bit of the inflation too is coming from the AI boom. There's quite a lively debate as to whether or not, you know, this is a part of the economy that's sensitive to interest rates in the same way as say housing. I'd love to get your sense of, you know, do rates need to rise more given that so much of the US economy now is about AI than it otherwise would if say, you know, housing was a bigger part of
55:11 the story. Thank you. Thank you, Claire. So, there was a narrative for quite a while, maybe even in this room over the course of the last several press conferences. Well, they're going to raise rates or talking about raising rates, but it's not going to have any effect on AI because the returns that investors are expecting are so different. I was skeptical of that view.
55:32 Interest rates get in the cracks. Interest rates affect directly or indirectly almost everything. And what have we seen since early September? What we've seen inside of the technology complex. Outside of the technology complex, I think enough torturing us. The guy's torturing us. Time. Guys say nothing. The price, the markets aren't moving. We're out of here, bro.
56:07 Guys say nothing. The markets are not moving. Or is the market moving? Degen Dave, is there like something moving on your charts? Like anything? Yeah, I, we're getting some a little bit of green with some of these alts I'm looking at. I mean, I kind of sense we're going to get some kind of green rally after he's done and then maybe Asia sells it.
56:21 So, you think short-term green and then Asia destroys it in the morning? Let's actually go to the bubbles and just go live on the bubbles because you can actually see it. We've got the Microsoft Google AI trade still hanging around for later on. So, some of these AI alts might rip a little bit as well and then maybe sell on that. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, that's true.
56:41 I mean, I'm watching the bubbles. You can actually look at the stock bubbles in real. Look at Oracle up $145 today. Wow. Yeah. I mean, it's a pretty dull day and I don't think he's pretty much saying anything. So, I don't know if there's much of a point in staying on. While I'm here though, while we're all here, I want to just remind you guys that if you have a Banter linked Bybit account, Blofin account, or Toobit account, you can go and spin the wheel.
57:06 And if you, if so, for example, you see, I've linked my Bybit account here. It works out based on my volume. It works out exactly how many spins I've got because you get one spin just for making a deposit and then you get a spin for every $25,000 of volume that you do. What can you win? You can win an iPhone Duo, the new iPhone Duo, which is going to be an amazing trading machine.
57:25 You can win trading bonuses into your account. So, like it's told me now I've got 31 spins. I mean, I'll spin it. You'll see it'll go to 30 spins. I got, I won $10, which will go into my Bybit account. I go, okay, no win on that spin. Let's press spin again. If I win another $10. So, it's so simple. You just go here. You link your account. So, like if you're on Blofin, you just link your account.
57:47 Log. You log in. You link your account. If you don't have an account, just go over here and link your account or sign up or get a deposit bonus, link your account, and then you can spend literally every day for a long time until we decide one day to switch us off and there'll be amazing prizes here. So go and try and do that. What else? I see Ethena Pay came out or something today.
58:04 Ethena Pay has got, they've just launched their new product with a 12% earn. So that's the, that's their card product, their card and app product. 12% rewards. That's insane. Imagine, imagine you buy a plane ticket and you get 12% back. You book your accommodation, you get 12% back. That's, this thing's still going down. Are you bullish on this Ethena thing?
58:25 I love Ethena. I think if, when the bull market comes, Ethena is going to be the number one. Eh. Okay. Wow. Yeah. Earn 12%, 12% earn. It's not. Yeah. It's 12% rewards. Holy moly, bro. Crazy. Why don't we show them the terminal quickly where they can access some trades? I mean, just go to InsertTrade and I think from next week we're going to go all in here.
58:50 There's going to be trading rooms here. It's going to be insane. So, I think next week we'll show it to them. This is our trading terminal and next week we'll actually show you exactly how it works. I mean, I've got a live room in there if you want. It's open. Anyone can jump in. There's a room here and it's live. So, click on the live. So, I've opened this for a short time just to anyone.
59:07 And what we're doing is live trading today. And then we got trades obviously from the streams that we do. And we've got a ton of preset orders from myself and the team that you can literally one-click copy now. They're sitting in the trading room. So, just go in there. Yeah. You connect your exchange over here. You connect your exchange. Whatever exchange you want to connect, you can connect.
59:28 And then you can just literally follow Dylan's trades, whatever size you want. And it shows you all the people who have taken the trades, how many of them are profitable, what the leaders are, etcetera, etcetera. Join Dylan's room. It's InsertTrade. Next week, we'll have 10, 10 traders live in this thing. It'll be amazing. Yeah. All right, family.
59:41 That was a bit long and boring, and I'm sorry I stole an hour of your time, but I mean, that was Kevin Warsh. I mean, that's what it was. But good to see Degen Dave here doing his art and his like, I mean, I don't know what you call that. It's not trading. It's, what is this? Crash. What? Sorry. What is this? The laptop crash. You drop your laptop and it just like the ink goes everywhere.
01:00:02 You'll be surprised what that mess can create. I know. He wins all the trading tournaments. Makes magic. He wins all the trading tournaments. The guy wins all the trading tournaments. He wins. Who would have thought? Who would have thought that mess can make money? Okay, there you go. Andre, Andre, come. Okay, let me explain to you how this works.
01:00:28 Okay. That's the laptop. That's the internet. That's the screens, right? You want to share the screen, you go screen. See screen, screen. Yeah. Okay. So, that's how you share the screen, right? Okay. That's how you unshare the screen. Sure. That's how you share. And you can just flip, flip between tabs. Okay. Okay. From now on, it's your show. Where are you going?
01:00:46 Home. Put it down. Okay. So, put this in your ear so you can hear Dylan. And you guys like this. Put that in your ear so you can see Dylan and Dave. Now it just became the Andre show. You got 2,000 people watching you. Yeah. If you want a more funny and handsome Ran, you got me. So, let's go. But I don't think I can hear anybody. You should be able to when, yeah.
01:01:18 Dave, Dave speak. Yeah. Dave speak. Yeah. Oh, no. I can hear him. Just very, how do you hear this thing? They're so, hold on. Let me help. Help me here. Okay. So that you put this in your ear like this. Okay. And then you, if you want to turn it up, you can turn it up here. Okay. Okay. So you drive. You know what? You know what you're doing, right?
01:01:34 Yeah. Yeah. Sure. Sure. Sure. I'll see you tomorrow. Bye, man. Have a nice day. Bye. Let me see the other screen. Oh, Dylan's sure. So, it's just me and Dave. What up, man? What up, David? I haven't talked to you since Singapore. Actually, I want to see your charts. I would like to see an explanation of the charts please. Yeah, sure. I just here, making fun.
01:01:58 I want to actually understand them. Bro, I left you here to give them an alpha. I'm getting messages on my phone. There's no alpha. No, get David to explain the charts. You make final charts. I want to understand them. So, if you want to switch to David's chart, you go like that. You see that's his chart. That's, oh, you didn't say that. You never mentioned that.
01:02:29 Okay, cool. David, now, now we can actually see them on the chart. I'm going home. Tell the people I'm going home. Okay. Cheers. Ran's going home. So, we're going to just keep it for like five minutes. Let me see what the people actually think in the chat. So, what's up, man? Are you bullish on Ethena as well? Yeah, Ethena. Yes, they actually did an announcement today on Ethena Pay.
01:02:48 I think they're, they, if you see me, they kind of bundle announcement together. So they do like one and then they roll out like a few over one, two weeks. So I think they're going to roll out a bunch more. Okay. Yeah. I mean it's looking like a short here though. Maybe it's a, I know they had that announcement which is this little pump right here.
01:03:08 But we've got the 50-day moving average. We got point of control. We've got the hacker zone. We've got some kind of downtrend here. So I kind of suspect we get some kind of pump here and then Asia sells it. I don't know. Looks good though. I got my eyes on this level here at 2078. 2078. Just a short-term scalp kind of thing. Yeah. Do you have LIT?
01:03:29 Somebody's like asking about LIT. I actually like LIT a lot on the long term. But yeah, don't look at a short-term charts, but LIT on the long term. I think first the unlocks. I think they're going to be bought back. Not bought back, but like they're going to sell them OTC probably to other investors. And I think the Robinhood integration is going to happen in 280 days starting from next month.
01:03:51 So you have basically 180 days to 280 days starting from next month after they apply for the CFTC license. And then all the news for the Robinhood license and the Robinhood integration is going to happen after that. So I'm quite bullish LIT longer term. I'm actually looking to accumulate. Yeah. Yeah. Nice. Nice. Well we actually gave a LIT short last Thursday during the chart request there on my channel.
01:04:17 And the short is, was pretty much bang on there. It's, I guess, dropped 20% since then, but I have eyes on flipping long right here at 264, 264, 26, 264. So maybe that aligns with kind of what you're talking about with that news or that update. And yeah, we have a MAX extension 618 here. So I've got a fib from the absolute low to the absolute high.
01:04:38 I love how we have this hacker zone. This is what we call the hacker zone in the Chart Hackers. This little pocket, two, two blue lines here, and then we've also got a point of control on this range volume profile. So, I think that would be the banger. And then, yeah, maybe that's what really kicks on here for a big measured move. I mean, if we break that, if we hit the trend, that's 30%.
01:04:58 And then if we make our way up to the 50-day, 60% move and then, so, you expect a short-term basically drop to that level and then a pick up from there. Yeah, that's kind of what I would prefer. It's just under a lot of resistance at the moment. We've got this VWAP here. We've got point of control. So, when price action is kind of drifting below that this red line here, this is a level of resistance.
01:05:25 So, kind of expecting price to kind of just find its way here and then I think that's where the banger is. So, I think that's a very good entry. I agree for the long term for me for like DCA. Yeah, I think that's a very good entry. Yeah. Yeah. So yeah, that's LIT for me. There, there's so many charts asking. So let's do one more. One or two more.
01:05:48 Okay, sure. And then we're going to end the stream because we have to wrap it up. Somebody's saying AEX. Do you have anything on AEX for us? Actually have nothing on AEX fundamentally. So I have nothing on the fundamental side. So only, only technicals on this one. Yeah, I haven't looked at it in a while. So I was looking for some kind of bounce in this territory.
01:06:13 I guess whenever we had the last request which was 10 days ago. So this long idea was invalidated here. So we'll clean the drawing board a second. Was looking for a short ultimately if we got into this territory. So never really got that spike. But it's under the point of control right now. We're under the 50-day moving average which is kind of a bearish thing here.
01:06:37 But we do have kind of a macro rising trend in play. And I've got that drawn from the 18th of August with that second touch on the 16th of September. And then this would also kind of align with a 100-day moving average and value area high or let me see is this a value area high or low? Yeah, a value area low. So, I think a really good long would be kind of in this territory here.
01:07:02 So just eyes on the 100-day moving average. So, let me zoom in here and get that for you guys. So it kind of just, this is the zone here. And I would say that's going to be right around 863 down to this value, you know, value low 100-day moving average and yeah, there's some signs of wanting it, you know, a bounce that's needed here. We got a bullish divergence on the 6-hour time frame.
01:07:26 Let me check the other higher time frames here and see if there's other signs of bullishness. Daily bullish divergence, but it was completely ignored. 12-hour was completely ignored. Hidden bullish divergence on the daily here. 3-day still curving down. Weekly looks kind of top either. Okay. Well, we'll do one more. One more. Let's see in the chat, guys.
01:07:45 If you want it, this is the last one. So, put it in the chat now. I'm going to look now to see what will be the most interesting one that I think could be nice. I see Hyperliquid a few times. Okay, let's look at hype. Let's look at hype because I think hype has something fundamentally going for it and I think has something fundamentally going for it.
01:08:04 I see Worldcoin also, we can't do it, but we're going to talk about Worldcoin probably on tomorrow's show or like in a few shows after with Ran. So, let's look at hype. Yeah. So, we, so, I've got hype here. That's kind of tying into what I was looking at with LIT and AVAX, right? We have this 100-day moving average acting as a bounce zone, right?
01:08:20 So, nice to see hype bounce off of that so far. We've also marked out this horizontal here and, looks like it is a nice little zone to pay attention to. But one thing that we can see is that we have the 50-day moving average and this anchored VWAP from a high coming in together here. So there's a high probability that if price action finds its way here that we will get some kind of pullback.
01:08:51 You know whether it's a small pullback and then continuation or an actual pullback like this. This is definitely a zone to pay attention to. So if you're in a big long for example I would say 85, 85. Just make sure to pay yourself something. The other thing we can do too is we can also draw, you know, some kind of top trend here and see how that's looking, you know.
01:09:10 So ultimately if we play this trend that would be kind of an ultimate target. Let me draw, get the full fib here. So I like that, you know, if you take a fib from the absolute high to where it's currently reversed, you know, when we have a hacker zone situation tying in with the trend line here that's kind of, you know, the bullish bias as far as the target goes.
01:09:30 So kind of looking at $90 in the short term if we could really get some, some bullish momentum here. But again, a lot of resistance in this territory here. And what we want to see is like a pop above that and then a retest as support and then continuation. So that's kind of my two cents on the fundamental side. I think hype, I do agree with going for the 90 cents, $90 target because we have the Anthropic IPO and it got listed on Hyperliquid.
01:10:02 Hyperliquid is also pushing for regulations in the US. And if you remember, remember how well hype did when the SpaceX IPO happened. It was all buzz. It was all over Bloomberg. It was all over every terminal. Everybody was like guessing if the price of SpaceX was going to come exactly as the price on Hyperliquid was shown and it created a lot of buzz and momentum around Hyperliquid plus the trading volume that comes from actually trading Anthropic for example now and hype previously.
01:10:29 So I think hype is quite aligned on both sides here. I think it's one of the coins that's loud on both sides. That's awesome. And I had no clue of that, man. So I can appreciate the fundamental alpha there. So yeah, guys, pay attention to hype. Yeah, I think that's all for today. I see there's a bunch of charts, but it's quite late here, so we're going to wrap it up here.
01:10:53 Yeah. Cool. Andre, how do I end the stream? You want to end the stream? Yes. How do I do that? I have no, tell everybody bye-bye. Like, subscribe, and see you guys tomorrow. Cheers.