A real rally is possible but requires confirmation of specific technical signals, including breaking resistance levels and seeing buying volume spike into the $82,000–$83,000 zone for Bitcoin.
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06:43 See, this is going to move up and this is going to move down, which means price is going to start crunching at any point. Okay? The bears do still have a chance of doing this in the next few days. But the longer that they take, the more support starts to rise up, and the chances of us actually going down there start to get slimmer and slimmer and slimmer.
06:58 Right? So when it comes to the short time frame, what I'm actually seeing is I'm not fully trusting this bounce just yet. Now, this doesn't mean it's not real. Okay? But I want to see something. I want to see us break out of this four hour. So you can jump to the four hour here, and I'm just tracking these down. I know that's the main trend on top, and I'm just tracking down the four hour here.
07:21 As you can see, we are still quite far. We are sitting with these lows over here, these previous lows, as resistance. We're sitting with a ton of Fibonacci levels. Just to highlight here, we've got the 0.5 and the 618. So here, between these areas of late 78,000 and mid 79,000, there is still a lot of resistance in the markets, specifically on Bitcoin.
07:44 So if we don't start breaking through there on this specific bounce, it's very likely that we could actually see this come into play from here: push up, dump down, and then we start moving up. Okay? That is something that's very much in play. Now let's speak about the next scenario, where we actually go and look to hunt some liquidity. There is a bunch of liquidity on Bitcoin sitting at 82,000.
08:03 Right? So if you've got highlights and you zoom out, this is why, again, trend lines for me are just something that's really good to have on your charts. It's a simple line, but it lines up with a lot of different things. So if you draw this line correctly, you should get the tops in it. There's the top. You can see that if we decide to go from here to the trend line, what price is that?
08:20 82,200. You then go look at the liquidity, and you see it's lining up exactly over here at the 82,400 to 82,500 area. The trend line at the top here is 82,600. Right? So that's the next scenario. The next scenario is, hey, we're actually going to put in a good bounce here, which means that it will give us a sign that there is actually buying liquidity sitting down over here.
08:44 One thing that I want to see within this bounce: I know we are at bounce areas, we're getting near those zones, but I want to see volume come into the market. As we stand right now, do I see a huge volume spike? No. Do I actually see some bearish divergence? Yes. Okay? So for me, I'm not super convinced just yet. However, over the next few hours we can get a chance.
09:07 If price decides from here to shoot up to these areas of 82,000 to 83,000, and we start to get a volume spike in, that is a very good sign that we are really getting buys at these areas over here, which means that this is still the scenario that can play out of a higher low. But the good news is we want to see strength actually in the market. Otherwise, strength is waiting down at the area over here.
09:29 That's where strength will be waiting. So again, the plays. The first one is we actually don't go much higher from here, anywhere here, mid to early 79,000, and we tank. The other play is we actually start shooting through here. Those are the two scenarios. If we do this, there's a good chance we're going to put in a higher low rather than a lower low.
09:52 And if we do this, there's a good chance that this is the new low into a higher low breakout. So those are the major plays as we see them. Now, as this is all coiling up, guys, we are going to start building huge amounts of high time frame liquidity at 85 and then at the 100. Once we go down to this patch and get through here, I'm still expecting the market to get ready to start actually looking to hunt the 100,000, and still possibly by the end of the year.
10:20 So when it comes to the other charts here, which is the USDT dominance, this is still indicating the same thing for me. I'm bearish on this chart. I think it's going to go down overall on the high time frame. Right? But at the same time, I need to look at how far we are from the major trend, and there's still liquidity sitting higher up. So this one is indicating to me that the market's actually going to pull back again.
10:38 And not only that, it's very likely to be a little bit more of a Bitcoin catch up. Because if I'm speaking about Bitcoin going down to 73,000, what does that look like on the altcoins? So if we look at the alts over here, I want to highlight the very clear supports on alts. The 200 day and the 618 is a huge one right now. The good thing with the 618 of this entire leg is it is sitting slightly lower down than the 200 day, which means we actually have not officially hit the 618 perfectly.
11:02 Right? So something like Bitcoin going down to the 72 or 73 area looks something like this. And the concern that I have with altcoins right now is we have this resistance right ahead, which means that there is a chance at any moment now the market does start to tank pretty quickly. Okay? And again, if it's the other side, it's going to be a push up here, and then we're looking at some downside, possibly into a higher low.
11:26 So we have a very interesting time when it comes to where the market's at, but the good news is we are getting to a point of actually making a real move. Now, there's a couple of trades. I'm still a little bit bearish on ETH, just to show you guys. I am on Insert Trade. Again, we're going to be doing a lot more trading today. We've been trading a lot yesterday.
11:43 If you don't have a WEX account, guys, there's another 24 hours until this expires. Here's all the coupons that you can get. If you deposit up to $5,000, you can do 10 million in volume, which is actually not that much on five, and you get a 400, 100x position airdrop. So here's all of that if you use the link below. From that, guys, you can get into Insert Trade, where we do live trading outside of the streams.
12:10 Right? So just to highlight that. Then let's get back over here. So things like ETH, this is just a trade setup that I have in there at the moment. Okay, but I want to show you guys this over here. ETH is still sitting quite far. Here is the first trend, which means that if we don't break through now, we are going to dump back down to the bottoms.
12:31 And again, 2,100 and 2,200 are the strong supports on ETH right now. If we decide to break through it, then we're pushing up to around 2.5, then a higher low, then a push up. So what I'm trying to get to here is you're sitting with a range of up to 10, 15 to accumulate altcoins. Right? This is a place where I'm personally accumulating a lot for the cycle.
12:50 Accumulating a lot in these areas. NEAR, guys. NEAR did drop down to 3.7. Now, it's still got a little bit ahead, and there's still time on when it's a real breakout, but there's still a chance of us actually dropping down to around 3.5 to 3.3, and that's an area where I'm accumulating NEAR. Your Chainlinks, everything like that. I actually highlighted these to you guys yesterday, to show that Chainlink dropped down over here, and something like this.
13:18 Solana, guys, one of the big bags that I'm paying attention to. I just missed my limit order at $89. I still think there's a chance of this. I don't think altcoins are going to go much lower, guys. I think Bitcoin still has a chance of going lower, but I don't think altcoins have a lot further to go lower. Here is Render, down, up. Injective is breaking out, so this rejects, down, up, very likely going to make a higher low here on Injective.
13:39 AVAX, down, up. That is what I'm seeing for now. If there is another break to the upside, what you want to see is them break out and retest, and these will be the next new major entries. Guys, have a fantastic day. Come and join Insert Trade. Lots of love. Bye bye. Fam, on Monday we spoke about the market starting off red this week. I said we were over here, and we started to push down, and then when we get down to this big zone here, specifically on Bitcoin and altcoins, we must look for a big bounce.
14:03 Right? We are starting to enter a very big area now, and as you can see here, the altcoins have now officially tagged the 618 Fib and the 200 moving average. This means that this is the area where we are fishing and looking for a strong move to the upside. What we also saw is a bunch of liquidity was wiped on the downside on Bitcoin, and now we're sitting with the big yellow patch over here.
14:03 Right? So now the question is, from here, are we about to short squeeze into the mid 80,000s again, and what exactly does that mean for altcoins? Guys, lots to speak about today. Do me a favor, smash the like. Let's go. I try and help everyone in my space, and this is what I get. I try and fight the devil's... but inside I'm just like Sniper. Welcome to the show.
14:04 Search for the bottom. The bottom, that's where we're at right now. So guys, I want to highlight here again that alts are also now coming into that big impact zone. Right? And as you can see, just one thing to highlight here: what we're basically looking for is a support move here and a move up over here in quite a short period of time. We were not getting buying pressure up over here.
14:05 The sellers eventually came in once the bulls lost control in this area over here. But what we're looking for now is the buyers to come in. We're looking for volume and buys to come in. And as we're now coming down to the big zones, I want to highlight to you that when we break out of these bear kind of cycles, you are going to have these pullbacks.
14:06 One important thing that I want to pay attention to here is when we break out, we tend to come around 60% of the way back as the retest. Sometimes we dip slightly below the 200 day. What we are paying attention to is the healthy level of the pullback. So if we look at this again, the first signs were a break of structure and new highs. It's quite clear that things have started to shift from what they were for multiple weeks and months.
14:07 But as you can see, we tag into the 618 and then we get going. Now go and look at where we are now. First, we have the 200 day moving average, and secondly, if we now drop the Fibs, as you can see, the 618 is sitting in the area over here too. So we're going to jump into the short time frame now to see, hey, from here, because I'm not fully convinced that from here we're just going to move up.
14:07 I think there might be another attempt to the downside. But at the same point, I do think that this is a big area of where to fish for a strong bounce. And for me, the bounce is basically preparing itself from here up to the top again, to these areas. Now, again, a little bit later, possibly around the December areas, we're possibly looking at new highs.
14:08 But for now, we just focus on the strong bounce, because we are now making this slow momentum to the downside that I want to show you guys. The slow move over here, this is very likely to get engulfed ...pretty quickly. Okay. So if you look at this previous time, slow moves down, big move comes out of nowhere and catches everyone off guard, right?
14:09 Something pretty similar here. As you can see, there's still some space to the trend. Okay, so I still want to give the bears a little bit more time here to say, hey, you might want to keep testing lower down. Okay, but again, in any of these zones, if we have a bounce or break of the trend, I'm looking at a stronger value. So not only that, I think in a couple of days we could be back up to these areas over here.
14:10 So I do see a very big double-digit green week incoming on alts. Okay, we might just be seven days away from possibly seeing that. Okay, then again, when it comes to Bitcoin, Bitcoin is now sitting at this important zone, and I'm going to speak about that specific scenario over there shortly. Okay, but Bitcoin is the only one that's still slightly not at the best, best, best supports, right?
14:10 So a couple of things I want to pay attention to is the main momentum trend. But we still have some space to that trend. Okay, and as you can see, we're basically still looking at anywhere between 5% and 6% until we're at that trend. In the same area of the trend, right, and the same area of the 200-day moving average, we're sitting with the 618.
14:11 So as it stands right now, right, this is still an area where Bitcoin is possibly looking to get the real bounce we're looking for. Now, we do have a scenario from where we are now where we can see a bounce from here. But as it stands, this is something to really pay attention to, because the momentum is moving up, which means that if we don't start moving there pretty quickly and...