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This ALWAYS Tells YOU When To BUY For A Generational Entry! [My Legit Plan] Transcript, AI Summary & Key Points

Crypto Banter · 21 hours ago · News & Politics · 37:14 · EN-US

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Answer

A generational buy is signalled when the first major flush pairs with a Fear & Greed Index reset into fear or extreme fear while 7-day daily exchange volume defends the $30 billion level and price stays above the 21 EMA — but since that flush is not guaranteed, keep a dollar-cost-average strategy running so you are never stuck on the sidelines.

AI Summary

CPI inflation data lands today around the US market open, with energy prices expected to push the headline higher while core prices stay tamer — prediction markets on Kalshi, including the historically reliable Big Mac price markets, point to rising inflation. The energy sector is in a clear bullish uptrend and should not be faded, while the biggest risk to stocks is the KOSPI: SK Hynix has already broken below its 200 EMA and a breakdown there could roll over the entire chip sector that has held up the market. Equities are entering the historically strong November-December seasonality window, and the QQQ long (via QQQ3) and MAGS long are being held toward the 80s. Bitcoin sits at a line in the sand of 83,844 (the RSI pivot), still in a reaccumulation phase rather than an uptrend — the single most important chart is 7-day daily exchange volume defending the $30 billion mark, which is the lifeblood of the next bull leg. The generational-entry plan: wait for the first major flush paired with a Fear & Greed reset into fear territory, while price holds above the 21 EMA (now ~76,000) and the stop-and-reversal indicator (~66,700, rising daily); historically the USDC depeg produced exactly this setup and became the generational buy. Rather than being paralyzed on the sidelines, dollar-cost average daily — $100 of Bitcoin on Coinbase — and spread funds across tier-one exchanges, which carry insurance funds and Fireblock security amid hardware wallet hacks. On the altcoin side, FET holds above 0.211, PUMP needs to reclaim 565 for a potential 72% move to 8,710, Solana must clear 11,360 to confirm its higher low, and the probability skew favors 88k liquidity being taken before any larger correction. Variational Omni has overtaken Lighter in open interest and passed 1xTrade in RWA volume ahead of its Q4 points/airdrop — consistent trading there, even with a $5,000 account risking a couple hundred, earned an ordinary trader 5,000 points. Also covered: Intel position closed (opportunity cost + parabolic downside risk) with capital rotated into Nike, SanDisk profits taken with stops at breakeven, AMD strongest of the chip stocks, HYPE bullish above 75, Lighter possibly retracing to 280, Robinhood chain hitting the 0.786 retrace with 0.1 as confirmation, Uniswap needing a reclaim of 835, and Bitcoin currently in the bear moon phase.

Key Points

  • CPI comes out today around the US market open; energy costs are expected to drive the headline higher while core prices read tamer, and traders will be extra reactive because energy is on a tear
  • Kalshi prediction markets — including the historically strong Big Mac and Coke/Pepsi price markets — point to inflation rising
  • Energy is one of the most bullish trades: higher highs and higher lows, Bloom Energy long still on, and the XLE ETF making new highs — don't fade it
  • Stocks enter seasonal strength: over the last 30 years November-December shows the most aggressive uptick, and the S&P hit its highest candle close ever last Tuesday
  • Held positions: QQQ long via QQQ3, MAGS long expecting a move into the 80s (overnight at 74.62), Amazon cooking, Apple strong, Nvidia forming its next higher low, Meta breaking out of a symmetrical triangle
  • Tesla is the laggard of the MAG 7: needs to reclaim ~412 resistance after pulling back to the ~342 (50%) level, mirroring Meta's triangle breakout
  • Biggest risk: KOSPI consolidating below its 200 EMA, Samsung Electronics turning bearish, and SK Hynix already breaking below its 200 EMA — a breakdown could roll over the whole chip sector holding up the market
  • Crypto positioning into CPI is mostly short (~3% bear skew), 24-hour liquidations collapsed from ~$800 million yesterday, setting up a squeeze and volatility; a bounce to test the bears is expected

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Transcript

Searchable transcript of This ALWAYS Tells YOU When To BUY For A Generational Entry! [My Legit Plan] — Crypto Banter (37:14). Search for a phrase, then click its timestamp to jump straight to that moment in the video.

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00:02 It's a big day for the markets. We have a couple of high impact things which is going to be coming out. For those of you who follow me on X, you would have already seen it over here, which is that uh the rest of the week is actually pretty high impact. We have CPI which is going to be coming out today. Energy sector is still on an absolute tear moving towards the upside and consequently traders are going to be hyperfocused and even more reactive on today's CPI.

00:24 Um so mark that off on your calendar. This depends where you are in the world, but it should be around the US uh market open around New York time um when the stock market opens that we'll get these results. And of course, everybody's going to be on high alert waiting to see what happens over there. Now, uh the market has been coming down over here. You can see for the most part over the last day in the hourlys, some of the market, let me just do a refresh over here quickly and see.

00:49 There we go. Uh on the hourly, some of the coins have started to bounce, right? So, um, is it going to be long or short into the CPI? Well, you can vote as well. And then I'll show you what the prediction markets have to say about where they think inflation is going. So, how do you predict that CPI results later on today will move price right for risk assets, that being the stock market as well as Bitcoin and cryptos?

01:12 Do you think it's bullish and prices are going to go up? That's 32% of you bearish. Down 26% and the majority of you think we're going to just be um basically flat and chopping around in terms of price action. Well, usually that is the outcome, right? That is what we typically expect to see. Now, more broadly speaking, what does the market think is going to happen?

01:32 If you go to Kulshi markets over here, and I found this interesting, it's the McDonald's Big Mac prices in October, and they think that the price is going up of McDonald's burgers, right? And it sounds funny, but it's actually been historically a very, very, very good predictor, right, of what's happening in terms of inflation. Another one that you can look at is the price of Coke, right?

01:54 Or Pepsi, depending on where you are in the world. So, if you go to Kulshi markets over here, you'll actually find under the um inflation data, economics, and then inflation as a sector, a whole bunch of different things that you can look at. And ultimately, what are you seeing over here? It's going up. So the likely outcome which a lot of the big banks and forecasters are predicting is that there will actually be um a rise in energy costs and prices for CPI and the headline uh will be driven up but the uh you'll get a

02:24 tamer reading in the core prices over there for the CPI. So we'll see later on today what happens over here with regard to the market. For those of you that um are going to go there on Kulshia and check that out, I do want to remind you that you can also trade uh indices, perpetuals, all different markets over there. We are partnered with them, which means it comes with a sign up bonus of $25.

02:43 So, trade $50, no questions asked. You get $25. It's as simple as that. And then you're in the draw for $500 weekly giveaway. All right, so let's move on. Let's go look at the energy sector. There it is. I told you most likely going to continue to push towards the upside. Uh you this is definitely a bullish trend. There's no two ways about it. High lows, high lows, high lows, higher highs.

03:07 And ultimately the next push into this resistance area could easily see a breakthrough. If you break through, this is where things get super interesting. Not only for inflation, but for the whole world um in general. All right, just a quick question over there. Hardest. Are we Is everything still good over here? the the count looks very weird on my side, but uh you can just give me a thumbs up or down if everything is all fine.

03:28 Okay, cool. Uh just in terms of our software over here, guys, it looks like everything looks stopped for me. But let me know. Actually, just let me know in the comments. That's actually the best way. If you just uh hit it up in the comments over there, let me know. Uh is everything all good on your side? Yes or no? And if there's no reaction over there, then we know there's a problem.

03:47 I can also look over here. Um yes. Okay, I see myself over there in the top. So, there is something happening. Okay, that is good to know. That is good to know over there. Um, all right. So, let's move on. Let's move on over here. Bloom Energy long trade still on the table bouncing off of that key support area. So, possibly the next higher low and continuation from this point.

04:07 We'll go into as well the trady markets. I'm going to continue to hold these positions basically despite uh the little bit of draw down that we saw over the course of yesterday. So, let's start off let's start off with the yields as well because I wanted to quickly have a look at this. These are coming down ever so slightly. Um, if this does come down deeper, I'm not expecting really much of a dip below 5% on the 10ear yield.

04:30 And if we look at the 30-year yield for that, I wouldn't expect much of a dip below about 5 uh 5.4 is probably going to be on the lower side what I would expect. and that um coming down could obviously drive up the next leg for the stock markets which although a lot of the people are feeling very bearish on the stock market. Um I'll show you what the data suggests and the data says again follow me on X over here.

04:55 I've been posting this uh these things this morning. You can see we entering into the seasonal strength period. Right? If you compare over the last 30 years what we've historically seen is leading into November, December into the end of the year, we do tend to see that more aggressive uptick. So, don't get confused with the short-term noise um and the higher time frame trends, right?

05:19 The short-term noise is obviously going to be the CPI, a little bit of increased volatility, but the broader trends are still towards the upside and the stock market theoretically um just a couple of days ago, last week on Tuesday was trading at the highest candle close ever, right? Um and then you can see the day after then on Wednesday was a down candle but we opened at the highest candle and traded uh that single candle at the highest ever.

05:42 So consequently I'm going to continue to hold the uh QQQ long in the form of QQQ3. Everything looks good over there. Another quick look over here at MAGS also long and strong towards the upside. Traders playing out beautifully over there. Overnight trading sitting at 74.62. So no need to change anything in terms of these positions with our exposure in the form of MAG X in expecting this move to trade up over here into the 80s.

06:08 Now we can look at the individual trades. Amazon also cooking. Everything looks good over there. Soon we'll be able to minimize the risk. But for now I'm going to give it a little bit of breathing room and a chance to get going over there. And then the more recent trade over here closest to the entry level still is Google. For those of you that want a trade opportunity, there it is.

06:28 Um Apple. Let's have a look at Apple. Another one that was pretty close to entry but already started to move up nicely. And we've given this one many, many, many times along the way. Um, it looks strong, right? Everything is fine over there. No need to worry. And Nvidia possibly now putting in its next high low. And obviously the grind continues towards the upside.

06:44 We also gave the trade on Meta. Everything is in profit, right guys? This is why you come to the show every day. We look for new opportunities for you. This is breaking out of a big symmetrical triangle. Um, and you know this trade you can talk about uh targeting much much much higher, right? This is just a low time frame trade entry to get you position, but hopefully the trade moves into profit and if you didn't have exposure um now you should have some and you can basically hold that for a much much much larger trade.

07:11 Microsoft was the only one that was in the middle of no man's land with no real clean entry or opportunity over there, but nevertheless trading near those highs and probably going to break out. And then we got the most lagged of the MAG 7 is Tesla over here. It needs to still get back above um this major resistance at about 412, which if the rest of these do so, which looks to be the case, uh by do so, I mean push towards the upside, you should see Tesla having put in its higher low over here, which is what we're

07:39 looking for, that pullback towards the 50% level around that 342. You got it higher low, and that should break it out. Um uh and and again you can see this compression right into a kind of a symmetrical triangle. We have a deviation below over here. And I'll just change this over here to make it consistent with the other one. Let's put in white over there.

07:58 So you can see over there this compression into this triangle. This is very similar to what happened on meta. Um you can see over there meta compression into the triangle and it broke out. So you could be looking for something very similar on Tesla. Just understand that this is the lagged one, right? it is the lagged and therefore I've placed my bet on MAG X so I don't have to make these individual stock pick predictions within these but the the the total um index will just move towards the upside all right so all in

08:27 all that looks good energy looks like it wants to go higher I think we covered Bloom Energy all in all that is um moving up nicely even XLE if you have a look at this this is the ETF uh for the energy sector state street energy sector moving into new highs so it's one of the most bullish trades still is the energy trade over there. I wouldn't be fading it, right?

08:48 Okay, cool. Um, let's move on. A couple extra things to look at. We can cover metals. I'm going to give you the TLDDR, which means the, you know, the short story of metals. Uh, they probably still risk off and going to go down a little bit lower. I'm not going to go through those individually. I still think that they're broadly, uh, weak and I don't think that there's any real play over there.

09:09 Palanteer, we in a long trade over there. That looks good. No need to change that. Robin Hood has presented another opportunity. I think this is a long over here. If you're not in the long trade already, sure, it's been pulling back slightly, but I think the next time it pops up over here uh above this yellow box, which is about 115, um you know, that's going to be considered the reclaim and the SR flip of a pretty critical level.

09:32 And you're going to start to see this play out towards the upside. So, I think another trade opportunity on the table over there is still um is still Robin Hood, right? And then importantly, we need to reook as what's happening within the uh the chips. We we touched on it yesterday because we saw that weakness coming into the Cosby um which is a uh you know a big risk factor for the rest of the market.

09:54 And there it is still struggling, right? Consolidating at these uh levels is not going to be a good sign. This can easily start to fall through. You're losing that 200 EMA and this thing could begin to roll over. So it's one that you absolutely have to keep an eye on. Uh and then of course whilst keeping an eye on that you can look at the um individual makeup of that which is going to be Samsung electronics also coming into this pretty bearish over here if it starts to break below the 200 EMA and then same thing

10:20 already breaking below on SKH highix these trades have played out. So we took the long trades we got the bounce we gave another long trade played out in full no need to um uh keep that on the chart right so we'll move that off. What what does this mean? It means that there's a good chance that SKH Highix is probably going to fall through over here and if this falls through into that zone that could roll over the rest of the uh the the chip sector, right?

10:46 Um which has been uh dominant in holding up the overall stock market, right? So just be aware of that in terms of your uh your trading. Okay, those are the main things I think to focus on. Let's go into what's happening in the rest of the markets over there. So the DXY still strong as well in breakout mode. Crypto slightly short across the market over here with a negative 3 uh or just a 3% skew.

11:14 Slightly more bears basically um currently in terms of of if you're looking at what's happening with the open interest um and the funding rates. Well, it suggests that the market is going into CPI for now, mostly short, and we'll see how that rebalances leading into um into the US market open, which I'm expecting there'll probably be a little bit of a bounce to test uh those bears that are in the market at the moment.

11:37 And then 24-hour liquidations have dropped off massively. I want to remind you yesterday this was sitting at like 800 million. So, we've seen a real squeeze over here into a high impact event uh which is a recipe for increased volatility and um for the broader trends. Of course, we want to see this level defender which we focused on pretty much all of last week and that is the $30 billion mark on the 7-day daily exchange volume.

12:01 This is really the lifeblood. This is really the most important thing if we want to see this bull run truly kick off. We need this chart to go towards the upside. There's no two ways about it. It's unavoidable. uh if you want to zoom out when in doubt and eliminate all noise, all you have to do is look at this chart and ask yourself, is it in an uptrend or not?

12:21 And the answer is it's not, right? It's more in a reaccumulation or consolidation phase. Okay, so uh you could kick into an uptrend very beautifully if you bounce off of this $30 billion mark and see this um soaring with new volume coming into the market. And I guess the only way that happens is price action leads, right? So, of course, that means price probably goes up first, but then you have a confirmed trend, which brings me to the point you the title of this show today is this always tells you when to buy um for

12:52 generational entry in the market. And what am I talking about? Well, there's a couple of things that have to be lined up. First and foremost, we know that price is above the 21 EMA. We like that. That's good for bulls at least. And we like that price is above the stop and reversal indicator. So, what are you looking for? Well, you're looking for the first major major major sell-off and dip, which you haven't had.

13:12 And it's not to say that you always get it, right? That's the tricky part, which is why you have to have some kind of a dollar cost average strategy and a breakout trade strategy to gain exposure to the market. But if you look previously um when something like that happened, the market kicked off over here. This is an example of the environment that we're in right now.

13:31 These candles, there you go. And then you had your first big flush. So, what are you looking for? looking for the first big flush paired up with a reset on the fear and greed index which is going to be this one over here. And that needs to drop down into more scary territory, right? Either fear or extreme fear uh combined with uh the 7-day daily exchange volume holding up and defending this level.

13:53 Okay, so these are some of the factors that we lining up over here. We'll touch more on this um in a moment. I mean, we may as well do it now. Let's just go back in time. So, we'll go back to that environment which was over here. That was this environment over here. And this is exactly what I'm talking about. Right? So at this point in time, the uptrend was already confirmed and then there was some sort of massive reset.

14:14 It's not always going to be the same thing. Back here, this was USDC, the stable coin deped everybody was losing their minds and um because it was still fresh in their minds that we had Terra Luna that had collapsed a couple of months before that. So when USDC started to d peg, it was like the end of the world and we dropped into the fear zone and this became the generational buy.

14:35 All right. So if you're sitting on the sidelines 100% cashed up and you're looking for that generational buy opportunity, it comes with patience. You need to have patience, right? It will take time and it might even mean that you would be buying even higher than what price is now. Um but at least you would have a very very very strong confirmation. So, for now, we still have this broadening wedge in place and uh things are struggling potentially starting to roll over.

15:04 You're right at the line in the sand, which is 83,844. That is your RSI pivot level, which means if we keep staying below here, you're going to continue to get compression uh with the 9 and 18 exponential moving average, adding resistance, which means all those bots and algos begin to kick in and this can start to fall through. But the good news is that that falling through towards the downside, if you get the deeper dip and you can line it up with what I just showed you on the fear and greed index, resetting into more

15:31 neutral, preferably fearful territory, doesn't need to be extreme fear, which is the red, but neutral is going to be the the yellow over here. Um, orange is going to be fear and then red is extreme extreme fear. If you get it into this zone over here, right, this should be good enough for macro high low with a healthy reset. And that's basically your signal to start to um you know allocate aggressively and and especially if it lines up with price still being above the 21 EMA um which let's look at where that lines up.

16:02 So the 21 EMA right now is at 76,000. Price could run through it and then close back above. That would be an even healthier reset signal, right? And then below that we have the stop and reversal now at 66,700 which will be rising each and every day. So in terms of range trading though um this is also a pretty critical level. You can clearly see over here we got the range low the mid-range which I labeled over there and this is the range high.

16:27 And if you can successfully flip this range high you know this is tradable for more short-term traders into uh the next level which is where we spoke about that squeeze to take out this liquidity over here um which is going to be 88k. And I still think before that large correction comes into play like that, I still think that that 88k is likely to get taken first.

16:49 Right? Remember that in trading there's no guarantees, there's only probabilities. And I would say that right now the where's the draw on the liquidity the highest. Of course, you can use things like the liquidation heat map as well as additional confluence. But if you have to ask yourself where's the most amount of liquidation to take place? uh is it over here or is it over here on the upside?

17:12 Right, these two white lines are going to represent where the liquidity is the highest. Well, right now you're closer to this. I still think something like this and then that is more likely to take place. But time will tell, right? So, we have to be positioned accordingly. So, your confluence with the lower levels has your mid-range, your um 50 EMA as well as your anchored VWAP, which is all going to be coming into play on the daily time frame over here.

17:37 Excuse me. I think this is the uh 200. It's not the 50. Let's just double check that. Um yes, the 200 EMA. We're currently at the 50. So bouncing off the 50, but the red one and the anchored VWAP are coming into play over here. That's going to be a very, very, very strong buy signal um should you get that. All right, so we can move on. So what do you do with all this information?

17:55 Well, again, I told you you don't want to be caught on the sideline. So one thing that you can do is um you know, you can just continue to dollar cost average, which is something that I do and have been using Coinbase for. Uh, obviously one of the more secure places to keep your funds out. I don't know if you guys have seen I I always said this, right?

18:12 How many of you remember me saying multiple times, this is going to be one of the most controversial things that somebody would say in the crypto space because we're all meant to be super pro for hardware wallets, right? And now there's all this stuff going on at the moment uh with hardware wallets getting getting hacked and compromised. So go on crypto, Twitter or X and you'll very quickly find what I'm talking about.

18:34 So, make sure that you stay safe out there. And I've said that for many, many, many people, they probably better off spreading their risk across top tier one crypto exchanges. I'm not saying put 100% of your net worth over there, but spreading your risk across those exchanges because these guys have full teams to protect their capital and they have insurance funds, Fireblock security, all sorts of different things to protect the crypto because they're incentivized to do so.

19:00 If they lose all the users funds, it's the end of the business model, right? Um so uh you know ultimately uh it it depends on you know how OG you are in the space right where a lot of people of course if you come from like a development background and things like that and you know exactly how to work with software hardware then sure maybe you're better off custoding your own funds but I'm talking about for the average Joe the person that basically just wants to come on and put some money into crypto to try and uh

19:29 capitalize on that upside you're probably better off with tier one exchanges anyway So, every day I just come on and I buy myself $100 of Bitcoin. Right there it is. $100 of Bitcoin order filled. And it's literally as simple as that. Just continue to dollar cost average. For those of you that want to do the same thing um on Coinbase, we have got the link fixed over here that says sign up to activate your rewards.

19:52 Remember, a lot of you had issues claiming the rewards. That is fixed, right? You can click that button now and get your $275 in USDC. And then you can use that like I just did to buy Bitcoin, right? To DCA into Bitcoin. All right, so let's move on. Let's move on into the altcoins and see if there's any picks, if there's any actual trades that can be taken over here today.

20:14 Um, you know, in terms of positioning, there is still uh in in the altcoin sector still a lot of risk. For example, if you look over here, uh, Sonic had a huge move up. I know that um the uh banter or or in what is the channel again? It's the insider one that Ran has. There's so many channels where he did the interview with now the new CEO of Sonic.

20:38 Right? So, a lot of people saw that got very excited. Pump price up 26% to get slammed back down. Right? So, be careful guys when it comes to it's not to say that Sonic is not going to flip bullish and that they have the right people in place, but just be careful buying into hype. Right? Especially with leverage, spot, sure, that's one thing you can always recover, but leverage, I'm sure a lot of people got hurt because of that.

21:01 So, just be aware of that. Let's move on to the next things. Right? So, we can have a look at a couple of these coins. Let me know in the comment section if you have any particular requests. FET is one of them. So, let's go to FET. Um, this is FET, right? We're obviously positioning into this all the way down here. Still up in profit. This is the big SR flip zone.

21:19 Uh you can see over here the breakout retest. You want to hold this area. Um that we drew the line in the sand. No closes below there which is going to be 0.211. You're still holding above. I think it's going to be dependent on if Bitcoin is going to run for that 88k level first. If it does, we should see a high low form over here and continuation up.

21:41 All right. A I'm still building positions over here. I have all those orders spread all the way down. Uh haven't got much more filled because we haven't taken out these wicks. I need price to obviously drop a bit further to get fully filled. Pump, we can have a look at that. Pretty critical area for pump because the expectation is that pump is in an uptrend over here, which means this needs to be the high low.

22:00 So, we need to see pump recover and start to reclaim at least 565, right? 565 is going to be the level that gets you back above um this orange line over here. If you get back above the orange line, uh you can start to put in your next higher high move, which I would be looking to profit take into that at 8710. So to give you a percentage from current price, if this is going to be the high low that forms, we're looking at another 72% move.

22:27 All right, which is very very very decent over there. And this thing's getting futed to death on the timeline as well, by the way. Um, obviously because a lot of people lose money through the pump launches, so they're trying to boycott uh pump, but we'll see if it works, right? At the end of the day, the chart is the ultimate source of truth. Even if that's currently the narrative, this is almost a perfect retest into the golden pocket from the swing low to the swing high.

22:53 Uh, you can see over there, it's narrowly narrowly missed it on this candle yesterday. So, I was looking for that retest. Okay, cool. Uh, what else? What else, guys? What else? Uh, let's see. Let's see. Let's see. How's Salana doing? All right. So, Salana is going to be very similar to pump. Uh, you know, I want to remind you this was one that we're looking at that compression into here and we took the long trade.

23:15 I know that um the the color is pretty light. I can just quickly change the the visibility on this over here. Let's just do this so you can see the original trade setup that we had. There it is. This was the original trade setup and I said there's no need to close the position. you've now thrown back retested higher low as was same as pump. Um your confirmation that the high lows in is if if Salana can start to trade above that uh breakdown candle which occurred on 12th of October on Monday and that is coming in at

23:45 11360. So get above $11360, you'll start to confirm this is a high low. Yesterday's candle looks good. So I think broadly speaking going into um CPI despite the McDonald's um indicator thinking that prices are going to or inflation is going to go up maybe a lot of it's already been priced in on that move down and I think that just based from a technical standpoint yes there's low looks like a really good invalidation on longs.

24:14 So, I'm more inclined to be long into the the CPI. If I had a gun to my head and I had to pick a direction, I'm picking up uh for for a bounce out of the zone. All right. So, those are my brutally honest thoughts. All right. I don't know how many other people on YouTube speak so openly, guys. You must let me know. Send me their channels. I also want to I also want to watch to get other people's brutally honest um thoughts on the market and instead of beating around the bush the whole time.

24:43 Okay. Uh let's move on. Another thing I wanted to make mentioned yesterday I was super sick but I did tell you guys variational right. So if you watch that far uh through my croaky voice I said variational is on the app and I've saw this come out today in terms of the open interest. Uh this is to farm for the airdrop points which are coming out in uh it must be what we're in October.

25:06 So it has to be next month or the month after because they said Q4 of this year and now this is uh just behind Hyperlquid and it's overtaken lighter in terms of open interest. What that means is that obviously people are starting to buy into the hype of this token launch and they're coming on to trade here right so you can see for the first time in over a year variational also overtook trade XYZ in terms of real world asset per volume.

25:31 So, for those of you that want to trade it, um I've been asked multiple times on uh Twitter, uh you know, what is the uh the how do you get the bonus? The bonus is here. The bonus is here, right? You need to go and apply that code. Omni dupes, that will give you a 15% points boost or bonus. Um all right, so you can go do that over there. They got massive, massive liquidity.

25:56 Um I met somebody as well in Singapore by the way because a lot of people also came on Twitter and said that uh you know I have a lot of points because of referral bonuses but I just want to let you know I met I met an ordinary person who started trading on variational um and I met them in Singapore and they told me that they have 5,000 points which is not far off from what I have um and and they don't have any referral right that's just simple trading over there so and they only trading also they told me they're only

26:24 risking uh a couple of hundred and trading with like a $5,000 account. But it's more about the consistency. So when you see these opportunities, simply just trading here gets you the points. It's about being consistent over time, right? Okay. So you got to you got to use the opportunities that that are provided. All right, let's move on. Let me know in the comments if there's anything else.

26:46 MU I know in terms of uh stock pick. So we can go and have a look at that. I think didn't we just cover that though? I I'll quickly have a look again. Um, so let's look at AMD, MU, etc. So, MU, it's okay. Look, the the problem is if Cosby starts to come down over there, this can easily take out these lows. You got to have your stops to break even over here and be um careful on these trades.

27:08 Uh um Intel also pretty much the same thing. It's a must bounce zone. You need to start to see this picking towards the upside, putting in high lows and moving up. I've closed the position over here. I'd let you guys know that yesterday. So, this trade I'm out of. it's taken too long to get moving. Um, sure, it could bounce from here and still run all the way through to the measured move over here.

27:27 But I'm I think that from an opportunity cost perspective. Um, and also not only that, but the downside risk, uh, because this thing's mega pumped, right? So, there's a difference between a chart that's been smashed and one that's already been parabolic. If this starts to lose this, there this can get ugly real quick. So, I've closed this position and I've moved the capital into um well, I'm going to DCA the capital because this was a larger position for me.

27:52 I'm going to move that into Nike. Okay. Uh just because I think that Nike is pretty much bottomed out and we should get some sort of bounce. And then we'll look at AMD, the strongest of the lot, right? The strongest of the lot. This is what we're the type of move that we've been looking for across the rest of these which have similar chart patterns.

28:09 So, no change over here. This is um of course nothing goes up in a straight line. Got a little bit of a dip already fully recovered. This is super strong. SanDisk starting to get super weak. You've broken this level. Profits have been taken. Stops at break even. The rest that's remaining um you know it's either going to hit the stop loss or it's just going to continue to run.

28:30 But we can't take any loss over there. Okay. Amazing. Amazing. Amazing. Um what else? What else guys? What else? Uh any other alpha? Let's see. Um, all right. Let me just do a quick scroll through. Let's just quickly look at these per dexes. So, you know, hype is still bullish. It's still very much in an uptrend. Of course, this is the obvious low that you want to see um held over here, which is about 75.

28:55 If you take out that 75, you come for this uh daily fair value gap, which has been untested. And that will still probably become a more macro high low that would form if you do drop this far lighter. All right. um played out the cup and handle. Smashed it actually straight through the target over there. I wouldn't position in this yet. I think it needs better structure to form.

29:16 I think there's even a chance that will come all the way back down here to about 280 whilst variational steals some of the thunder. All right, still farming TX flow. For now, I'm focusing more on variational because I know we have a set date that's closer. So, that's where I'm I'm spending more of the time. But um yeah, it's not to say that uh TX flow is over, right?

29:40 Absolutely not. Like, sure, I still have trades there, but I'm just not more actively looking for new trades there. All right. Okay. Um it's on pause for a bit. All right, let's move on. What else do we have? Nia, how's Nia doing? Also, still strong, right? Still strong, but it's been such a huge move. I couldn't really position into a long over here.

30:01 Unless you get a a deep throw back down to like $3. You got to wait on this one. You got to wait on these. Um, all right. Amazing. Another thing to make mention of, guys, for those for the Bitfunner traders out there, there's an absolutely insane promotion that they're running right now. I'm not sure how much longer it is, but it's linked over here below.

30:23 It's a three for one, right? So, BOGO plus a surprise challenge. You buy one, you get one free, and they give you another one with that, a surprise challenge with that, right? So, everything is list over there below. um that is uh you know I guess while stocks last. I don't know how many they're doing this for but I don't think I don't think that it's um unlimited.

30:47 All right. Okay. Ponds Marscoin things like that. Yeah. The the memes are in terms of Robin Hood chain. I think that basically the worst is probably over. So let's have a look. You've come all the way down here retested. you've actually officially hit that 0.786 on the nose. Usually look for those extreme retraces on big moves. You look for the you look for uh support between the 786 and the 886.

31:14 So you've hit it on the nose. Of course, your confirmation will come if you get above um 0.1. 0.1 will take you above this candle breakdown which breaks that downtrend over there. All right, but looks like Robin Hood chain is starting to bounce today. It's going to be dependent on the CPI as well. If we're going to get follow through and this is going to be a high low across the board.

31:37 If it is a high low across the board, expect that. Um, again, these are going to trade with extreme volatility, right? So, you know, when it's when it's good, these candles singlehandedly were 103% in a day. This candle over here was a 50% in one day candle. So, of course, the downside is going to be extreme. Um, that's why you got to hold those. It's basically spot and chill, right?

32:04 You're buying a spot position. Um, whereby whatever you put in, you can afford to lose. That is your risk. There's no stop losses on these things. That's your risk and that's it. You leave it alone. All right. Radium. We can have a look at Radium. Radium over here with a super chat. Um, all righty. Let's have a look at Let's take this one over here on OKX.

32:35 Uh, it's had a huge move up. Wow. It's had a huge move up. Of course, in the the you probably don't want the longer term history. You're probably more interested in the shorter term, but there is going to be a big resistance zone over here. Of course, you can see this is where price failed the previous times. So, from a risk-to-reward perspective, like you're really longing um from here to here, you know, you're looking at about 380 over there and then we can go on to the 12-hourly.

32:57 Um, of course, coming down, it's it's a very very steep trend which, you know, theoretically could already be broken, but um assuming that you're in from lower, that's going to be the hard validation at 181. So, similar to the rest of the market, critical zone, do or die, it has to bounce now if it doesn't start to turn up. If I were to position into a long trade on this pretty much now, I'd wait for price to first turn and start to move in the right direction before positioning.

33:26 So, I'd be looking for, you know, price action like this. Uh, let price actually start to turn and then chase rather than trying to catch a falling knife over here. Moon cycles. One of the questions on the moon cycles. Look, that's one of the things is if you look at Bitcoin over here, I'm pretty sure we're in the bare moon phase right now. So let's quickly have a look over here.

33:48 So you're getting the compression between the 9 and the 18 and we're in the bare moon phase. So it's done its job, right? You know, if you look over here, even within this chop over here, bull moon, price moves up, bare moon, we get the dip down. Um, of course, that one failed slightly because you ran through it afterwards. Bull moon, price goes up, bare moon, what's what's going to happen over this twoe period, right?

34:11 So um to get better positioned, you can also just start to wait to start to close candles, get daily candle closes above these previous wicks on the dailies which have been failing at about 842 84267. All right. All right, guys. Let me read the comments over here. A lot of chart requests. Look, I think we've done a lot today in terms of chart requests.

34:44 We're 35 minutes in. We can have a look at unis swap. I know there's a request over there from Michael Sailor. Welcome, Michael. Uh, let us hands. It looks like you have letters hands there. Um, unis swap. Okay, let's go have a look at unis swap quickly and see what's going on. Is still strong in the short term. Obviously, broadly speaking, it it has a a big downtrend, but in the short term, rangebound, right?

35:16 So, a rangebound environment, I don't like this more recent price action from a bullish perspective. Uh, this cluster over here could easily turn into a bearish order block and a deeper drop down. Uh, you're going to have to look at this on a lower time frame. So, at least look for a break of this trend and then you can also map out the mid-range. Let's quickly map out the mid-range over here.

35:46 All right, mid-range going to be looking to get back above there. All right, so I just keep it simple. I think that the unis swap can start to move back into position of strength if it gets above 835 the orange line because that will simultaneously break the downtrend and recover the mid-range. Okay, so you're looking for a reclaim of this and that becomes tradable into range quarterly and into range high.

36:20 Otherwise, this downtrend may just persist, right? you might just see this thing fall all the way through down back to $4. So that's my thoughts on unis swap. All right. Uh we've been through the medals. Well, just TLDDR and the medals downside risk. It's still there. The downside risk is still there. You got to be patient. So guys, let's leave it at that.

36:44 Um everything is linked over here for you guys below. Make sure you take advantage. Again, also especially with that Bitfunded, you got to uh buy one. you get two for free. So, it's three for one special. I'll see all of you guys on the next one. I hope you have a beautiful day wherever you are. And cheers for now, guys.