← All transcripts

URGENT: Last Time We Saw This Signal The Market Moved Like Crazy! [My Trade Plan] Transcript, AI Summary & Key Points

Crypto Banter · 24 days ago · News & Politics · 36:31 · EN-US

Watch on YouTube

Answer

The signal — a VIX-and-sentiment pairing last seen in April before a big move — points to outsized volatility either way; the plan is to hold profitable longs (Bitcoin, QQQ3, MAGS) while the pink box holds, use VIX rules as the cheat sheet (below 20 hold, 20-30 normal, 30-40 expect new lows), and rely on risk management with soft stop-losses rather than closing trades.

AI Summary

Fear of a Black Monday stock market crash dominates sentiment after a low-volume Sunday sell-off, and the VIX sits at 19.98, just below the 20-point threshold that separates normal conditions from correction territory. The last VIX spike above 50 marked major market lows and happened only three times in five years, so the setup resembles April's signal that preceded a sizable move. The Dow Jones needs to reclaim 53,000 to confirm strength, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq (QQQ3) long positions stay in profit and are held above the 200-day EMA. Individual MAG7 stocks look fine, but the semiconductor and memory ETFs show real weakness — the memory ETF has been down since early October with its last major low near 44, and Micron has broken its key red line. Bitcoin's long from Friday is in profit: the line in the sand is the pink box around $79,500-$81,000, and holding it opens a range targeting the untagged liquidity near 88K; losing it opens a drop to $72,000. Crypto is in a tight volatility compression with daily exchange volume defending $30 billion, but interest metrics remain muted — a player-versus-player market until new money arrives. Altcoins fell about 5% on average over the weekend, and many are testing hourly downtrend lines where a confirmed break would signal a bounce.

Key Points

  • Black Monday poll: 62% of viewers say it probably won't happen when everyone is calling for it, 24% say 50/50, and 11% expect an AI unwind because debt can't be serviced
  • VIX cheat sheet: below 20 (currently 19.98) is normal — hold positions; 20-30 is normal territory; 30-40 usually brings new stock market lows but corrections don't last long; spikes above 50 happened only three times in five years and marked major lows
  • Past Black Monday calls — credit rating downgrade, US-Iran strikes, US-China trade war, the Iran war, SoftBank collapse, interest rate hikes — all turned out to be blips or higher lows
  • Dow Jones: reclaiming 53,000 confirms strength, making the Black Monday fear a buy-the-rumor setup
  • QQQ3 and MAGS longs remain in profit (about 1% higher overnight); a throwback to the 70 region would be a back test of the breakout, so holding unless a meaningful breakdown occurs
  • MAG7 stocks look okay: Amazon holds up, Google presses its symmetrical triangle with the 200 EMA below, Apple consolidates at all-time highs, Meta broke out of its triangle, Microsoft trades near highs, Tesla pumped on a flying-car announcement then retraced
  • Semiconductor and memory ETFs look bad: the memory ETF has been down-only since early October with the last major low near 44; Micron broke its key red line, Intel retraced to entry, Caterpillar was cut in profit, and SanDisk must bounce off its 200 EMA
  • Weekend altcoin unwind dropped alts about 5% on average, similar to before March 2026

Links mentioned

  • Copy Micron Technology Long https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/MU-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=107961&strategyType=0 09:28
  • Copy Intel Corporation Long https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/INTC-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=107963&strategyType=0 09:49
  • Copy Bloom Energy Long https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/BE-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=107962&strategyType=0 33:08
  • Copy Aster Long https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/ASTER-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=107964&strategyType=/0++Aster+long 30:51
  • Copy Nasdaq Long (QQQ3) https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/QQQ-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=107992&strategyType=/0++QQQ+(Nasdaq+long)
  • Copy Google Long https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/GOOGL-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=113373&strategyType=/0++Google+Long+Trade 11:32
  • Copy Amazon Long https://www.toobit.com/en-US/futures-strategy/AMZN-SWAP-USDT?strategyId=110204&strategyType=0 11:32
🔒 Full analysis locked

Unlock more videos and the full analysis

A credit unlocks one video's full analysis for good — the build steps, the tools and how each was used, the methods behind every use case. Pro opens the whole library instead, and raises how many videos you can analyse a day.

Unlock full analysis — free

Transcript

Searchable transcript of URGENT: Last Time We Saw This Signal The Market Moved Like Crazy! [My Trade Plan] — Crypto Banter (36:31). Search for a phrase, then click its timestamp to jump straight to that moment in the video.

Captions sourced from the original video on YouTube, published by Crypto Banter. The video, its captions and all related intellectual property remain the property of their respective owners; AINotes claims no ownership. Provided for research, accessibility and search — see the Transcript Notice and Copyright Policy.

00:02 We saw some intense selling over a Sunday with low volume in the market and a lot of fear that came into specifically the stock market with many people calling for a black Monday which would of course be today. In today's video we'll discuss what is the probability of a black Monday actually taking place. We also talk about a signal that we saw previously the last time was in April and we got a sizable move off of that.

00:24 We're seeing similar profiles take place within the market now, specifically within the trady market. So, uh, let's get straight into make sure you smash the like button and come and vote on the poll over here. Will we actually see a black Monday in the stock market, which of course if we did, that is absolutely going to affect the crypto markets and you can vote over there.

00:42 Well, 62% of you have said that probably not. Not when everyone is calling for it, which has been the case for those of you that are still on crypto Twitter or X. If you are scrolling along there, you'd probably see a lot of stuff around a black Monday. We got 24% of you saying it's 50/50 at this point because there was a bit of a sell-off in the um you know uh stocks that are listed on crypto exchanges which allows for them to trade 24/7.

01:08 Uh we did see because those markets remain open all of the time, a bit of panic and a sell off coming into those markets. And then we have 11% of you voting that there's an AI unwind coming into play because they believe that they can't service the debt. Right? So a little bit of panic around that and consequently the markets have somewhat come down.

01:26 So if we look and plotted across a chart over the last uh year or so and we have a look at the amount of times that a black Monday was called for well this has been the points on the chart, right? So credit rating downgrade. Uh we have the US Iran strikes. We have the uh USChina trade war things going on. The actual Iran war, Soft Bank which collapsed over there.

01:48 We had interest rate decisions uh being hiked. Everyone expecting the big hikes over there. Um and then of course the most recent one over here uh on social media. Is this just going to be a blip and a higher low within the market and continuation further on? Well, we can have a look at the VIX. We'll talk about that in a moment. So, if we plot the VIX across the S&P 500 over the last couple of years, most specifically focusing on the biggest spikes that have occurred, anything I've considered large, anything over 50,

02:18 so 50 to 90 within this territory has marked major major major lows within the market. You can see over here, major lows within the market. We came close again in March 2026 over there with the VIX spiking up to as high as 35. And now many are looking at this little move up over here on the VIX, which is the volatility index, expecting that we're going to get continuation.

02:40 So what do you do next? And what are the guidelines around the VIX? Well, this is quite a good cheat sheet over here that you can utilize to know when to buy and when to sell when using the VIX. Um, typically if the VIX is between 20 and 30, which right now we're just below 20, we're on like 19.98, so literally 002 below uh 20 over there. It's pretty much normal, right?

03:02 just hold your positions over there. If we do start to spike 30 to 40, you're probably going to see some new lows coming into the stock market and that could be the start of a larger correction. But they don't usually last very long, right? We typically don't see the VIX holding within that environment for very long periods of time. Again, just giving you a viewpoint over the last couple of years, this is since 2020.

03:22 Um, so give it six years, we've only had the VIX spike above 50 three times in 5 years, right? So, uh, what are the probabilities of that actually taking place right now? Well, again, we'll have to look at the individual price charts. I'll remind you, we still have that long trade on the table over here on Bitcoin, which is in profit. Um, and that was given on Friday.

03:43 So, I'm still holding that position, but of course, you do need to be somewhat cautious when it comes to the market. um if uh if if the VIX does begin to spike over here and there is pressure on the stock market, it's going to unwind crypto which is also from a volatility perspective showing one of the tightest periods of volatility in a long long long time.

04:05 Right? You can see the last time that we had the volatility on the daily like this was in back in October and of course prices did expand towards the downside in that time period. And we've seen the 5day which is the main one that we use. This was the tight volatility pre-expansion up there and that Ballinger bandwidth percentile is now squeezing back into those low levels once again.

04:25 So we're getting that complete contraction on the market as everybody waits to see what happens next. So over the course of the weekend, we also got one of the largest unwinds when it comes to the altcoin sector over here. So the fear coming into the equity markets dropped uh altcoins on average, right? It depends which one you're looking at, but on average down 5%.

04:44 Um and the last time that we saw that was before March 2026 uh which was this period over here where the stock market also came down quite significantly um within that period. Right? So what does this mean for the markets? Well, if we look at each of the US indices independently, we can see that the Dow Jones is still positioned in that high low territory and attempting to move up higher.

05:09 Now that will start to confirm this if it recaptures the 53,000 mark. So right now this is just short-term noise. If you see anything like that bobbing and weaving and chopping about to reclaim 53,000, this is going to be a sign of strength actually. And it means that it's probably going to look very very very similar to this on a chart whereby we've seen the black um the black Monday coming into play as um pretty much a you know uh buy the a buy the rumor scenario over there.

05:38 So buy the rumor and prices tend to go up higher. So, if we look at the S&P 500 as well, we can look at this one over here. We've had a bit of a throwback potential bump and run run coming into play, which is very similar to QQQ3. Here's QQQ3. You you guys will know if you've been following for a long time. This is one of the trades, the more sizable trades that I have on the table right now alongside the mags, right?

06:00 In the form of MAG X. So, many of you have tagged me on X and things like that asking what am I doing with these positions? Well, you can see the positions are in profit and in fact the overnight trading has shaken off some of the bad news and is trading a couple of percentage points higher. So, you're about uh just over 1% higher. So, what am I doing with this?

06:20 Of course, from a technical standpoint, I'm continuing to hold this position because this is a fifth attempt at a strong horizontal which did break out. Any throwback into the 70 region over here will be a back test of the breakout level which will be a confirmation that this is probably going to be going higher. So therefore, I'm continuing to hold this position over here.

06:40 QQQ3 looks a little bit worse for where compared to the MAGS, which is tracking the the ETF for the the top seven stocks in the S&P 500. But from a trendbased perspective, it's still very much higher highs and higher lows and a throwback into that trend. And just below that, you of course have the 200 EMA um on the daily time frame. So therefore, I'm going to continue to hold this position unless we actually see a meaningful breakdown.

07:03 It does create a bit of a catch22 position because even if you do break down over here, this is still going to be a throwback into technical support. For example, if you do see QQQ coming all the way down into this zone, um very much similar to MAGS back testing into 70, which is going to be the yellow box over here. That's what that would look like on the um you know, NASDAQ.

07:22 So therefore, there's no point in my opinion of closing any of these trades, but rather I would take a sit and wait approach and continue to hold the positions. We at the end of the day are up on all of these trades if you took the original entries with me. Um so therefore no need to change these. We'll continue to hold these positions. But when you do go into some of these stocks individually, specifically within the AI sector, the chips, right?

07:48 Not the MAG 7s. The MAG 7s for the most part look okay. We can go through some of these, right? There's Amazon still pretty much holding up over there. Google really applying pressure into the symmetrical triangle and the low boundary, which is your supporting level. But you do have the 200 EMA just below that. So, it's an important one to watch over here.

08:05 Apple still trading way up in profits and pretty much consolidating at alltime highs, which there's nothing bearish about that. Nvidia very choppy all over the place, but similar to the NASDAQ probably going to continue up. We had the huge move up on Meta, breaking out of the symmetrical triangle, and any consolidation around here is pretty much still bullish.

08:23 Microsoft still trading near the highs. Nothing bearish over there. And then we had Tesla with its um flying car announcement uh which pumped it towards the upside and almost immediately got retraced. But for now it's still holding up right. As long as it doesn't break below the symmetrical triangles low boundary um this is still theoretically holding on.

08:42 So if you do go into the individual things though it does look a little bit worse for wear. Right. If we look at these semiconductor um ETF over here well this is not looking good. So there is some cause for concern if the AI trade does unwind. Consolidating at these lows and even opening new candles down there does increase the possibility that this will start to fall through.

09:03 And if this falls through um it won't be good. And we can if we look at the memory stocks as well, the ETFs tracking the memory stocks. It looks very very very similar. Once you broke this trend all the way up here in uh early October, it's been down only ever since. And your last major low is coming in at about 44, which you're not very far off. So there is definitely some cause for concern over here that you need to keep an eye on.

09:26 One of the levels that we spoke about on Micron Technology was uh this red line, and we said you really don't want to start to see this breaking below there, which it has. Sure, you're getting a little bit of a technical bounce now, but it opens up the possibility of coming in towards the 200 EMA over there. And this is going to be the case for a lot of the trades, right?

09:44 This one almost moved into full profits over there to the final take-profit zone. We did take profits along the way, but now coming all the way back to the entry over here on Intel. Um, and uh, yeah, big retraces across the board, right? Caterpillar, we had a trade on there. We cut the position uh, while still in profit. And then we got AMD, which has been the strongest of the lot.

10:03 Also retracing a lot of the move over there. So, there's definite weakness over here within some of these, right? Look at SanDisk. If Sandis doesn't bounce off of the 200 EMO over here and threatens this low, it's going to start to look like the memory ETF over here threatening that low which came into play all the way late July. Right? If that does start to unwind, sure, this can actually start to usher in more fear, spike up in the VIX and a deeper drop within the stock markets.

10:30 Um, so something that you need to consider. How do you handle this? Well, at the end of the day, it's going to all come down to risk management, right? Risk management, risk management. um you know, don't be overly exposed. Know exactly where your stop loss would be in place. Even if it's not a hard stop, that that immediately hits you out of the trade as soon as the tick gets uh tagged.

10:49 But if it's even just a soft stop where you say, "Hey, price starts to consolidate and hold around these lows, I'm going to start to exit those positions." Right? So, you need to have a plan in place. Right? Um, a lot of the trades will still be scaling in that we've taken previously because we set quite wide um, uh, bid orders or grids that are scaling into the position.

11:10 So, you'll find those over here on two, but everything is listed below in the uh, description by the way. So, you'll find these are these are a lot of the trades that we've taken for the ones that are slightly red. These are scaling into the positions, right? Remember, I've taken these trades on my brokerage account previously, and these were later trades that we opened up for those that had missed out.

11:30 So, if you took the later trades like Google, Amazon, you marginally down, right, 3% and 6%, but most likely these are going to start to bounce out um over the course of today. Uh I think that if the stock market opens green because people are selling into the weekend in low volumes, that's where you typically see the new week open uh strong towards the upside.

11:47 So, for anyone that wants to actually allocate into those trades, you can always look at this list over here and you'll be getting a better entry price if you copy the trade setup over here. You just click that link. By the way, if you do copy any of those trades, um, make sure that you also look in the description, it will say spin to win. So, once you signed up to two bit, go to spin to win and then you can connect your two bit account over here and you can come and spin this wheel which has a whole series of prizes,

12:13 right? the iPhone, $1,000 prizes over here, $25 prizes, $100 prizes, and then obviously a couple of no spins. So, we know that there was someone that that came here and spun this thing about 300 times. Um, and I think he won like two iPhone duos, right? So, you you will be a winner if you spin this thing enough. So, go use that link in the description below.

12:33 All right, we can go on to crypto over here. See what's happening in the land of crypto. Um now in terms of the long to short ratio things have balanced nicely over the course of the weekend but yesterday this was a different picture. There was quite a massive negative skew. Of course a lot of people going short uh on that Sunday into the low volume and consequently getting liquidated 186 million uh worth of longs got taken out.

12:57 And then I think still the most important chart is I guess this is you know cautious optimism at its best which is going to be the fact that the daily exchange volume 7-day moving averages defending that $30 billion mark but uh we coming off of low volatility as per this chart over here. We've have this volatility compression things are squeezing. It's been somewhat boring over the last couple of days and we will get some form of expansion over here.

13:22 And when we get that expansion, it's going to be really telling in terms of uh firstly the direction of the expansion, is it up or down? Because expansion is direction neutral. And does the daily exchange volume hold up over here and expand towards the upside? Because we still have this lack of interest coming into the market. If you look at things like Google Trends and and uh all the different social metrics, YouTube views, uh interactions on different ex accounts and Twitters, it's still very very much muted which

13:49 shows it's very much player verse player, right? Um this is still player versus player market and until such time we need new money coming in to um establish those strong trends towards the upside. So one of the first signs price action is the most important thing before we look at any underlining factor. According to this, we are still at very much the start of the trend, right?

14:10 We can see that the uh anchored VWAP is holding up. We have the 21 EMA which is holding up over here. And as long as price is above that, that cautious optimism can be maintained alongside the daily exchange volume holding this uh $30 billion mark. Right? So cautious optimism with the hopes that new volume comes into the market and new buyers come into the market and therefore this long trade is still valid which was the original trade setup that we're looking at defending that 50 EMA on Bitcoin and expecting a move up

14:39 to take the liquidity which we believe is right for the taking simply just based on all these daily wicks over here at exactly the same level that have been untagged. So I'm expecting there's still a real chance of a sweep into that level. Now, of course, if the stock market bounces today and shakes off the fears of Black Monday and um Bitcoin obviously catches some of that volume and bid, then you can expect this is going to start to accelerate towards the upside and that 88k level getting tagged is still in the realm

15:08 of possibility. Now, your line in the sand is absolutely crystal clear. You don't want these lows to be taken out. That 79,500. The line in the sand is extremely clear. It's this pink box over here. price support, resistance, resistance, potentially flipping into support now. And that opens up the new trading range, which I'll keep it super simple. Range low up to mid-range, which is going to be the tag of that liquidity up to range high.

15:33 Therefore, this becomes the new trading range, right? As long as prices can hold here, that becomes the new trading range. If prices cannot hold here and you fail and you start to consolidate below the pink box, which is what we just said is very much the line in the sand at about $81,000, that opens up the old trading range, which means another move down deeper into the old mid-range, which would be that $72,000 level getting tagged, wrought with confidence, right?

15:58 Um, we got the 200 EMA, we got the anchored VWAP, we got the 21 EMA on the weekly. All of those levels come into play, right? So, for now, which is the more probable? Well, what's more probable right now is that in the face of fear, the market is still holding on to these levels. That tells you something. That tells you that it is still more likely that you're going to come for this liquidity.

16:17 That's right for the taking over here. So, therefore, we have the long trade on the table. This is the Coinbase trade. You can see we entered um on Friday. We had a bit of a weekend uh dip over there that if you missed the trade, you should have been fully filled. And now we have bulls attempting to reclaim the RSI pivot level, which is your orange horizontal line.

16:35 As long as price is above there, you're getting back above that 9 and 18 EMA, crossing those EMAs back up, holding above the RSI level. That gets your RSI trending back up. And we've seen the market dip back into neutral territory. It's unfortunate that we haven't come deeper because we've seen the uh stock market move deep into that fear territory um with key support levels coming into play.

16:58 We have the key support levels coming into play for Bitcoin as well. Unfortunately, this hasn't dipped um more. Why do I say unfortunately? Well, if it were deeper in the fear zone whilst coming into key supports like the stock market, it gives you a much higher probability trade setup. But nevertheless, you're still coming into the neutral territory, which is the yellow line over here around the 50 zone.

17:18 So, um there's still a bid opportunity as per this trade setup. uh it just I I wouldn't be able to size up with the same confidence as I would if this came deeper into fear or extreme fear which would be either the red or the orange color coding over here um on the fear and greed index. So therefore the market at least in the short term I would say still has the ability to take out that liquidity on the upside and we can see the liquidity building over here.

17:45 We got 16 million on the 24h hour period. Let's go on the weekly over here. I'm not logged in. I I can't share all the codes unfortunately. um to to log into that. So, we'll we'll cover that um on the next stream. All right, let's go into a couple of the altcoins as well and see what's going on within these markets. So, if we have a look at Ethereum on the um you know, daily time frame, this also may be one of the most, you know, crisp entry points, potential entry points over here, right?

18:12 Uh you have these candles attempting to reverse. What I would have absolutely loved to see is one more spike down and then a strong close back above. Right, holding that trend line that would fulfill the fair value gap that came into play over there, the inefficiency candle from the large move up. Bitcoin would have to go down into the low 70s for that to happen as well and would tag some of these key um uh Fibonacci levels like the golden pocket and the 50% level.

18:38 But no guarantee that that happens, right? You have to have a plan in action. One of the plans that I would have in action is simply just looking at this downtrend that's occurring over here. And if you start to break this downtrend, that may be the indication that that's it. ETH's put in its uh low, its higher low on a daily scale, which are these wicks that have occurred over here and is attempting to start to break out.

19:01 So, I believe it's high time to pay attention. If you do see something like this, any pullback that occurs from that point might be bid worthy, right? very very very close to the supporting trend line on ETH that's coming into play. Um, you know, if you're keeping a trend as simple as possible, it could be as simple as that, right? Is it just simply high lows?

19:18 Low, high low into the next high low that's occurring right now um around this 2003 to 2,400 level um on ETH. Right? That that's something to be aware of for continuation into the next major zone. So, if ETH does play that move out, you know, you're looking at um your next move up into about 3,000, which is the last bearish order block early Jan that broke price down um on Ethereum over there.

19:42 All right, so let me know in the comments what else you guys want to have a look at. We can definitely go through a couple of other requests. Let's see in terms of some of the other trades. Um let let's have a look at some of the majors like okay, Salana. Um you know, these things are trying to hold on to absolute dear life. Why do I say that? Because from a trendbased perspective, it's really as simple as tracking those high lows, right?

20:05 So, you have your lows, you have your high low, you have your high low. This is where we initially went long um at about $72 on Salana uh before that breakout. You have your next high low, which means this is the level to defend 94.44. If you can start to bounce out of this zone over here, it's going to have to do a lot of work to get going on Salana, but if you can start to bounce out of this zone, the hope remains alive, right?

20:28 There's still a possibility that you could see continuation on Salana, which means you're very close to the full invalidation, right? If you're considering absolute invalidation from those lows, that was only about a 6% move to uh entirely invalidate the trend thesis over here. Um, so yeah, I think it's high time to pay attention and to consider what the stock market's going to do as well.

20:50 All right. Um, let's go to a couple of other trades over here. See what else is going on in the market. Uh let's look at the things that have had that historical strength. Same story, right? We spoke about this 75 level being defended over here on hyperlquid and you can see how close you came into that zone. So could this be the bidding opportunity I think just like ETH?

21:08 It's very simple. Mark out the trend over here. This has been an hourly downtrend and at least wait for that hourly downtrend to break. If you do, if you start to to breach this hourly downtrend, which you're attempting to right now, and you can take out some of these lower highs, uh that might be where your real opportunities start to come into place.

21:26 So, I think that one way that I'm going to handle this is you because there's so much confluence on this hourly time frame, which ties in with a potential higher low on the daily time frames with fear in the stock market. I think one good way to analyze this and have a look at this is allow for the Monday range to develop and then we come in for the rest of the week and we have a look at those Monday ranges and any deviation of the Monday high uh that sweeps back down.

21:51 Maybe sweep the Monday low, maybe you just come into the mid-range. That's where the bidding opportunity is going to come into play, I believe. All right, so let's have a look at lighter. Lighter's been more heavily hit, but it's thrown back all the way into key support, right? So that's officially the test into key support. This is your SR flip zone.

22:06 This was your big breakout level for the um cup and handle formation that we originally traded that move up and now you've got a crystal clear perfect retest over there yesterday. So that yesterday's candle's lows coming in um at 28365. You'll probably have a bit more time to allocate into something like this. But definitely watch this area if light is going to continue to be bullish alongside the other perexes.

22:31 It's one to look at, right? Another one to look at is um which I won't have over here because I think you have you have to look at this on hyperlquid but it's paper right paper is another one that's perex that has all these buybacks uh coming into play huge huge bids coming into the market um that could play out very similar to hyperlquid and lighter so you can add that to your watch list just just just launched all right uh next let's have a look at what elseondo we can we can have a look at I do have it right over

23:01 here okay throwing back into the golden pocket we spoke about the original long trade off of this zone over here. So, you've had the big move up. So, I guess really this is it. Where's your confirmation that you have a beautiful high low that's in play from yesterday? Well, your confirmation comes in on if you can get above uh 4655 which is your purple line that reclaims the SR flip zone.

23:22 becomes a SR flip previous support resistance resistance resistance and then obviously the strong move down recapture get back above that 50% level and you've confirmed your high low ono and you can continue the trade up hopefully to 7377 right so there's for sure certain trade opportunities on the table over here um I think in the face of a lot of fear within the market's another one it's still trading with a lot of strength this has absolutely insane relative strength um you know I'm not saying this is an absolute

23:53 but often times when you see a move up like this and it consolidates it's like an uptrending bull flag right you tend to see another strong move towards the upside so um I I guess if you are long on this you're keeping tight stop losses below these recent wick lows and you're obviously hoping that that is exactly what's going to happen over here on NE protocol I'm not long on NE because I have other trades on the table with at least what I believe was better risk-to-reward um ratio opportunities but for those of you

24:21 that are in near I would It still has a lot of relative strength, right? The fact that it's um already turning green so quickly is a good sign. All right. Uh next, let's have a look at what else we have over here. Um okay, we've done near uh SpaceX. Let's have a look at SpaceX. I believe SpaceX have some earnings that are coming up very very very soon.

24:39 So that's of course going to be uh something that all the SpaceX bulls want to keep an eye on. it it's broken this trend over here, but I wouldn't say that it's, you know, a disaster. I you don't have much to work with because there's not that much candle history over here. So, all you can work with is those ranges. And you can see those ranges work, right, in terms of marking out the low to the high.

25:01 Literally, yesterday's candle or this or Thursday's candle at least dipped exactly into the 50% level. So, this is the level that you want to hold. I think that the strategy for something like SpaceX is pretty much just um and I'm not I'm not a massive fan of this. I don't say this very often, but dollar cost averaging, right? So, SpaceX, you're just dollar cost averaging from the 12th of June this year, which is when it IPOed into the 12th of June next year, which is where all the uh or the majority of the stocks

25:29 would have been released to early investors and they would have the ability to sell. And then it's a a 5 to 10 year hold on something like this. Um, and you'll probably be up in in massive profits at some point. Okay. So that gives you the dollar cost averaging will give you that gradual entry to make sense, you know, of all of this noise. If it does something like this, then your average entry looks something like that, right?

25:50 I'll change the color over here. Your average entry looks something like that yellow line over there, which means that you avoided all of this chop below, above, below, above. It gives you that gradual entry into the market. Okay, amazing. So that is uh SpaceX. What about McDonald's? We have the short trade on. We covered half of the position over there.

26:08 We got a little bit of a technical bounce. Um, yeah, big level to overcome. Things start to change for McDonald's if it can get above 250 2.5, right? 250 2.5, I would say, is where and and what we'll do is we can I get that uh, no, I can't get it. All right, let me let me just mark it off with a horizontal over here. So, I'm watching this candle over here.

26:29 There we go. 250 2.5. If it starts to get back above there, that potentially begins to shift things. Otherwise, pretty much where it's at right now, this has the ability to uh put in another lower high and then obviously continue its journey down. All right. All right. Let's have a look at pump. So, pump is one of the other requests over here. Uh big retraces on pump.

26:47 You know, broke this trend line over here. Uh you've got also a very very very strong horizontal coming into play. Yesterday's candle, you know, is this going to be a swing failure pattern attempting to swing fail towards the downside. We get a sizable bounce. It could potentially be, I think, just similar to the rest. Um, I'm going to be looking for a break of this trend line to have a little bit more confidence that the the trade is beginning to turn, right?

27:13 So, you got a couple of trend lines that you can put into place over here. Um, maybe you can make the argument that you've already broken the one, but the main trend line coming into play is this one because if you do break that one, at least you've taken out those lower highs, right? So, it's been lower high, lower high. This is your last lower high.

27:27 So, you want to see this get back above here and then any throwbacks that occur. Sure, maybe you can say that that daily candle was a major major low within the market. Okay. Um, next, let's see. Let's see what else. So, guys, let me know in the comments what else. If there is anything else that you want, just drop it in the comments over there. Luna, surely this must be laughing.

27:47 You can't be for real there. No offense if you are for real, but I can't imagine that's a real request. Um uh okay, cool. Also, just a quick mention for those of you that still want to take advantage of the uh three for one special. This is your buy one get one free plus another extra one on top of that for Bitfunded, you can do so. It's still available.

28:10 I think uh there might be a few more available. remember that you can get up to a an expert level which is basically or the Apex trade which is basically giving you access to $150,000 in um funding which you can trade with. Right. So all of that is linked below for those of you that still want that. Um there is your Bitfunded link. All right. Uh all right comments backpack.

28:34 We can have a look at backpack. Uh backpack is is there enough chart history over here? That's the real question. Let's let's see. We'll have a look at it anyway. Let's go. uh dailies. Uh actually there is. Wow, it's unbelievable. There's a lot of chart history. This is still very very very strong, you know. Um strong invalidation. If you're long on this trade, you're basically targeting some fib extensions.

28:54 I I I would pretty much just be long like this. Keep a very tight stop loss underneath uh relative to that wick over there. And yeah, I mean, you can obviously trade it towards the highs. Not that liquid. You can see in terms of these candles, it's not that liquid. This was uh some some big selling pressure over there. But if you if you want to get some trendbased uh targets over here, you're going to be looking at the low to the high back down to the low.

29:20 And in if you were to repeat that move, your 100% mark takes you to $2.13. All right. So, if this trend is going to continue, you basically want these recent lows for for this. It wasn't on Sunday. It was on Thursday that it put in its major low. Uh that's what I'd be looking at on uh backpack. All right. So I'll leave the trendbased fibs over there.

29:41 I'm not going to leave the trade setup because I'm not taking that particular trade myself. All right. Pingu. So let's go to Pangu. Uh Pangu USDT. Let's let's see what's happening on this one. Um all righty. Okay. Very similar to the rest of the market. You know, this is really the last last last line in the sand. All of these lows, right? So you have your major lows, you have your high low, you have your high low.

30:07 This level must be defended. If you come down and you start to sweep this low, it it could sure you could get a swing failure pattern, meaning you do something like this, you know, wick them out, get back inside, and then it just becomes a rangebound trade, trading back to the top side of the trading range. But I think things start to get really ugly if the if things start to fall below here.

30:27 like the swing fail should have happened over the fear yesterday while the volumes were low and everybody was max shorting the market. Um which means this becomes a strong candidate of as a bounce zone over here within the market or at least a little bit of a relief rally where whether the whether the market puts in a lower high or not off of this bounce that's a different story but in the short term I think that still bounces are probably on the table.

30:49 All right. Okay. Um Astera we can have a look at Aster. Uh, let's see what's going on on ASA. All right, pretty much positions all in the same place. Um, you know, I have my my bids all the way down to I think like 58 cents. So, yeah, I'm up on this position because I've been buying into these wicks down here, right? So, no change over here on AA. Still holding on to this position.

31:14 Still getting compression. I want to buy while the volatility is low. Nobody's really looking at it and sell once the expansion takes place. VV which was also one of the strongest. We'll have a look at VVV. All right. Uh SR flip, right? Similar. It looks similar to lighter in the sense that it's had its SR flip coming into the zone. Very very very critical point over here.

31:37 Um of course you want to start to start to turn a corner from here. So uh this is really the line in the sand around this 20 mark. Anything below 20 and you're going in for much deeper retraces. All right. Micro Strategy. We can have a look at that as well. We haven't looked at Micro Strategy for quite some time. Um, let's see where is MSTR. Here it is.

32:01 All right. Micro Strategy very very close to tagging into that midpoint over here. You might still get a little bit of wicks into there, but um, generally speaking, you know, you want to see that reaccumulation take place over here. This is the equivalent anything that comes down to like um you know between in a more extreme case 115 a more realistic case this 130 region it's the equivalent of Bitcoin coming into like around 75K.

32:28 All right. So you want to see over the next if if you're bullish that is if you're bullish on Micro Strategy you probably want to see this rounding out over here into November and forming a high low. So you'd have this as a major low. This is a macro high low and then continuation. Sure. Bloom energy we can have a look at. This is thrown back very close to the original entry.

32:47 So let's quickly look at oil as well first before Bloom Energy. Oil is still very strong. I mean oil we said is probably going to trade up over here into close to this 120 into the pink box. And if oil does trade into this and breaks above and consolidates, you know, it gets real, that can also spike the VIX up and cause a bit of damage. So it's one to watch.

33:08 Um, so, uh, Bloom Energy, I'm still long on the trade. You're getting a bounce very close to the, uh, 200 EMA. Stops have been moved to break even. No need to lose on this trade. Um, from the original entry, the trade moved up as much as 45%. And even currently to the overnight trading, you're up 12.5% from the original entry. So, um, this is going to be the Thursday candle low is the invalidation.

33:31 And if you come back below there a second time, it's going to sweep all this liquidity and it's going to um this thing's going to fall through. All right, so just be aware of that on Bloom Energy. All right, amazing. Amazing. So, we've been through a whole lot. Let me just see if there's any other common ones or requests over here. We can look at um there's a lot of requests over here on Zcash.

33:51 So, let's go to Zcash. Yeah, it's very much a do or die zone just like the rest of the market. You need that candle yesterday to be the low. Um, waiting for that confirmation, you know, go on to the hourly, mark out that trend and wait for a break. Let's see if there's any kind of a meaningful trend line that's formed over here. This is a pretty decent trend line.

34:13 You have a you have this is a strong a strong level that must break. If you start to form a lower high over here, which you know that that hourly candle is rejected into right now, but you can see as keeping it as precise as possible without breaking the rules of drawing a trend line. So wick to wick, no breaks of bodies wick to wick. You can see over there wick to wick.

34:34 This is the level to overcome. All right. So if you can start to break and clear this level out, sure there'll be a bit of opportunity over there and this needs to be the major low. So, it's a critical day. Basically, the picture is that we're seeing over here. It's a pretty critical day for the markets. Um, a lot of things have the potential to bounce based on what the daily suggest, but as of the show right now, the alies are all coming into trend line resistance, which you need that confirmed break to confirm that

35:01 the dailies yesterday were major lows within the market and we're going to see some continuation or a larger bounce. All right, that that that's probably what I would say is going to be the summary. And of course, it's going to depend on what the stock market does. The good news is that um you do have some overnight trading in some of these markets already, which is showing uh overnight trading is opening towards the upside.

35:23 So, you might see um some follow through on on a lot of these candles. All right. So, guys, everything is there. If you want any of those trades, I'll remind you on Twit, you're getting up to $30,000 in signup bonuses. So, for example, if you are going to build a big portfolio using grid trades, you put 300K in, they'll give you $30,000 which you can use additional on top of that 300K to enter into trades.

35:47 And these are a lot of the trades that I have. So, I'll update on these trades. You can see the Aster traders here as well. So, a lot of you are just asking about AA. If you want to copy that setting that I have, just go to the Aster trade, click that over there. Um, make sure you claim your bonus and then make sure you come through and spin the wheel as well to attempt to win.

36:06 um one of these iPhones. All right, I'll see you guys all on the next one. I hope all of you have a wonderful day. We'll catch you tomorrow and we'll see if we get that continuation uh for everyone in Room. I'll be updating you as well with those trades. I'll see you guys soon and cheers for now.